Doomstead

RAWSTORY.COM • 2026-01-26

Trump makes major U-turn as he lavishes praise on Tim Walz (https://www.rawstory.com/trump-2675034016/)

Amid the ongoing chaos in Minnesota thousands of federal immigration officers continue to swarm the state, In a Machiavellian performative pseudo-alliance President Donald Trump 'revealed' that he had a "very good call" with Gov. Tim Walz.  Fantasy made into reality in real time.

Amid the chaos of "Operation Metro Surge" in Minnesota, Donald Trump's claim of a "very good call" with Democratic Gov. Tim Walz isn't an olive branch. It is deception from a grifters handbook. Pretend to be the friend of your enemy.  That is Trump's game. Facing blistering legal and political blowback for deploying thousands of federal agents to Minneapolis, Trump needs to silence critics. Pretending to be Tim's friend is the Trump way to do it.  The murdering warmonger claims he should get a peace prize, so lies concerning a "very good call" are natural to Trump.

Walz's office states Trump's call was brief and transactional. The call was initiated by Trump. Governor Walz advocated for federal disaster aid in the call following severe storms and tornadoes that struck Minnesota in response. An official from Walz's office emphatically rejects the Trump characterization of a "very good call" as implying any political alignment or agreements.

Walz's office confirms the call was brief, focused on securing federal disaster aid after severe storms.  A governor doing his job in an awkward moment. But in Trump's alchemy, that routine request was spun into gold, an illusion of consensus.  It did not really matter what Tim Walz said.  Trump twists events to his own purpose.

Real time Machiavellian politics. The substance of the conversation was irrelevant. The utility of the conversation is everything.    By fabricating a public facade of cooperation with governor Walz, Trump aims to achieve three goals.  Normalize the unprecedented abuse of power, confuse and fracture public resolve, and legitimize murder by distraction.

Normalize the unprecedented. This deployment of a domestic army of ICE and CBP agents is terrorizing Minnesota. Their occupation vastly outnumbers the Minneapolis police force. Re-framing the interaction as a "very good" chat deflects Trump's radical assault on state sovereignty into being just another day's business.

The message to Minnesotans is that your governor and I are getting along, so how bad can this really be? Trump sows doubt, he fractures resolve. He blunts the condemnation of his critics.  He does this with intent. The Trump occupation is mired in lawsuits and clear video evidence shows two people murdered. The "good call" narrative is a planned distraction. It pushes the cold-blooded murder of Alex Pretti and Renee Good out of the headlines. Replacing Trumps brutality with a staged show of control is meant to confuse the public and legitimize the illegitimate.  It is a weaponized lie.

Trump is a cult leader. A cult leader like Jim Jones and America is Trump's Jonestown. Like Jones, Trump stages a public persona of compassion and alliance. He performs for politicians and press in a meticulous performance.  Fabricating the perception of widespread acceptance to silence skeptics and disarm critics. Trump followers like sheep to slaughter trust their Trump curated reality over what their own eyes see. Trump's "very good call" is a performance of consensus, designed to discredit the actual verifiable reality of fear, occupation, control, and grief playing out in Minnesota. Trump demands the public drink from the poison cup of his false narrative to ignore the bitter truth of his occupation which can be clearly seen from multiple angles.

The people of Minnesota aren't confused. They see the agents in their streets. Their businesses are closed, and they live in fear. But Minnesota is only one State, and Trump performs on the national stage, for the whole country.  National deception.

THENEWCIVILRIGHTSMOVEMENT.COM • 2026-01-26

Trump Shifts Minnesota Messaging After Second Deadly Shooting Sparks Backlash (https://www.thenewcivilrightsmovement.com/2026/01/trump-shifts-minnesota-messaging-after-second-deadly-shooting-sparks-backlash/)

President Donald Trump seeks to deflect nationwide condemnation of the actions of federal agents in Minnesota after the second killing of a U.S. citizen in Minneapolis.

I2-PROD.MIRROR.CO.UK • 2026-02-07

Jeffrey Epstein 'ordered two girls killed during fetish sex to be buried near ranch' (https://i2-prod.mirror.co.uk/article36679886.ece/ALTERNATES/s1200f/3_Britain-Prince-Andrew-25304036398317.jpg)

The email - sent by someone claiming to have been employed by Epstein - alleged the victims were strangled to death during "rough, fetish sex" and buried near his New Mexico ranch


I said there would be dead girls a while ago.  And now we know Epstein was killed by Trump.

WEGOTTHISCOVERED.COM • 2026-02-06

Officials say 'orange shape' on Epstein security cam could show 'unusual' inmate activity the night Epstein died (https://wegotthiscovered.com/true-crime/officials-say-orange-shape-on-epstein-security-cam-could-show-unusual-inmate-activity-the-night-epstein-died/)

Officials have said the mysterious orange shape on Jeffrey Epstein's floor spotted on security cam footage the night he died was likely a corrections officer (CO), but newly released documents show that finding was far from a foregone conclusion.

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 06, 2026, 05:51 PMI said there would be dead girls a while ago.  And now we know Epstein was killed by Trump.

So help me out...how do you get from claim #1 to it proving statement #2?

Quote from: TDoS on Feb 06, 2026, 06:15 PM

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 06, 2026, 05:51 PMI said there would be dead girls a while ago.  And now we know Epstein was killed by Trump.

So help me out...how do you get from claim #1 to it proving statement #2?

Cool your jets.  I had a dialog open to add the second article.  The dialog lets me send it to the Doomscroll before I show it here.  That lets me fix the image but I can click wrong and close the dialog before I post it here and that is what happened.  I had to edit to get the article here as intended in the first place.  You started driving before I had the car door closed.

The second article justifies my claim, YMMV.

But it was an inside job.  In a federal prison.  In a federal prison when Trump was running the fucking show the first time.  We now know Trump gets off on snuffing people.  It gets his mushroom hard.  You can do the math as well as I.

WIONEWS.COM • 2026-01-31

Explosive Epstein files accuse Trump of raping 13-year-old, murdering a newborn; White House says THIS about allegations (https://www.wionews.com/world/explosive-epstein-files-accuse-trump-of-raping-13-year-old-murdering-a-new-born-white-house-says-this-about-allegations-1769823565436)

A new batch of US Justice Department documents linked to Jeffrey Epstein has resurfaced unverified allegations against Donald Trump, including a claim that he raped a 13-year-old girl. Here's all you need to know.

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 06, 2026, 06:36 PMCool your jets.  I had a dialog open to add the second article.  The dialog lets me send it to the Doomscroll before I show it here.  That lets me fix the image but I can click wrong and close the dialog before I post it here and that is what happened.  I had to edit to get the article here as intended in the first place.  You started driving before I had the car door closed.

The second article justifies my claim, YMMV.

But it was an inside job.  In a federal prison.  In a federal prison when Trump was running the fucking show the first time.  We now know Trump gets off on snuffing people.  It gets his mushroom hard.  You can do the math as well as I.

I do math fine, correct. But I don't intuit conspiracies very well. I understand the words used of course, as when they are laid out in terms of A) interesting factoid + B) interesting factoid + C) interesting factoid =   Planet X.   But when the addition is like.....Phase of the Moon is full + wolf howls at it + I like carrots =market crashs..... well....it could be true, sure. But we aren't really talking about "do the math".

Post hoc ergo propter hoc, which means, Aristotle figured this out WAY before someone like Mike Ruppert came alone and specialized in it.

Eh huh, funny yes, and a rube-Goldberg assembly of disconnected facts.  Much ado about nothing.

Murder inside a federal prison is X times easier and cheaper if it is an inside job commanded by a three letter guvmint agency spinoff with the proper paperwork giving them power inside the prison rather than if instigated by an outside agency which would require an enormous amount of planning and knowledge they can't easily get.  The time required for an outside agency to pull off such a caper makes it pretty much impossible,  X^^at where at > 1.  Time is a variable to be seriously considered.  More often than not it it is a variable disregarded.

I am serious, I'll say X is at least 50.  The difference between easy and hard.

To the ignorant there are obviously no connections to be made.  To the ignorant everything in life is a weird conspiracy theory made from magic and disconnected facts.  Think about it, their ground must always move.  Nothing solid.  They can't make, refine and possibly disregard theories in the face of new evidence.  Evidence ??? What's that.  Nothing solid enough for analysis in their sphere, or in contrary reality is for them as solid and unmovable as rock and nothing can change.  Take your pick.

The safe path is the middle ground.  In this case X is very important.

Cui Bono?  Who benefits from Epstein's death?  Who has enough money to bribe the people necessary to pull it off?  Who has goobermint connections and access to the full list of staff, schedules, floor plans, cell assignments etc?  What does Occam's Razor say?

RE

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 06, 2026, 09:41 PMEh huh, funny yes, and a rube-Goldberg assembly of disconnected facts.  Much ado about nothing.

I didn't use much of any facts. I just used an example to make a point. I could do a dissertation with a ream of footnotes on how this has been done on the interenet forums I've perused over the years.

Of course I expect better from an EE.

Quote from: K-DogTo the ignorant there are obviously no connections to be made.

Not necessarily true. Peak oilers, ignorant of oil, geology and the geosciences at large, were happy to make connections. As are conspiracy folks at large. Some could argue that ignorant and conspiracies go easily hand in hand. I could probably put that correlation just from memory in the peak oil world.

I can NOT necessarily extrapolate that experience with the ignorant and/or uninformed making connections into other topics.

Quote from: K-DogTo the ignorant everything in life is a weird conspiracy theory made from magic and disconnected facts.

To the ignorant everything in life can be a weird conspiracy, or they can be so ignorant that don't have a clue what one might be. Such is the nature of ignorant....and interestingly, I have become convinced that ignorant is not required to be correlated with intelligience. I can name some smart PhD types that prove it.

Quote from: K-DogThink about it, their ground must always move.  Nothing solid.  They can't make, refine and possibly disregard theories in the face of new evidence.  Evidence ??? What's that.  Nothing solid enough for analysis in their sphere, or in contrary reality is for them as solid and unmovable as rock and nothing can change.  Take your pick.

I agree. And can name and have argued with PhDs who fit your description. Belief in something, be it religion or conspiracies, is  powweful thing, and can negate facts, logic, math and even interfere with the ability to think logically, when a given belief is contradicted by evidence.

Quote from: K-DogThe safe path is the middle ground.  In this case X is very important.

I completely agree. Few have the ability to speak truth to the power, and being punished by the Forum Gods for daring to fight back against the a commonly espoused idea is the usual response for those who do. So folks muddle around in the middle because....it is encouraged, socially acceptable, and most folks don't have what it takes to just.....dare.

When bored in retirement one day, I have considered writing a book on the topic.

Quote from: RE on Feb 07, 2026, 01:29 AMCui Bono?  Who benefits from Epstein's death?

About every rich child molesting cheating scumbag he ever met.

Quote from: REWho has enough money to bribe the people necessary to pull it off?

About every rich child molesting scumbag he ever met.

Quote from: REWho has goobermint connections and access to the full list of staff, schedules, floor plans, cell assignments etc? 

Just about every rich child molesting scumbag he ever met.

Quote from: REWhat does Occam's Razor say?

RE

He killed himself.

Quote from: RE on Feb 07, 2026, 01:29 AMCui Bono?  Who benefits from Epstein's death?  Who has enough money to bribe the people necessary to pull it off?  Who has goobermint connections and access to the full list of staff, schedules, floor plans, cell assignments etc?  What does Occam's Razor say?

RE

Exactly - And it turns out the noose was not around the body.  Forensic evidence establishes that he was strangled.  Hyoid bone injuries. 

There is your razor pivot point Mr Occam.  Forensic evidence knows the difference  between being strangled to death and being choked by a noose.

Like Duh,

DW.COM • 2026-02-05

UK's Keir Starmer struggles with Epstein Mandelson fallout (https://www.dw.com/en/uks-keir-starmer-struggles-with-epstein-mandelson-fallout/a-75824229)

The British prime minister apologized to Epstein victims in a speech, and accused his former US ambassador, Peter Mandelson, of telling "lies" to secure a spot in his government. Mandelson faces a police investigation.

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 07, 2026, 08:43 AMExactly - And it turns out the noose was not around the body.  Forensic evidence establishes that he was strangled.  Hyoid bone injuries. 

There is your razor pivot point Mr Occam.  Forensic evidence knows the difference  between being strangled to death and being choked by a noose.

Absolutely.  Besides that, his political power as POTUS giving him hiring and firing power and promotions and job assignments puts him far ahead of other wealthy pedophiles.   The CIA gives him access to the assassin needed to do the job.  Finally, his personality profile isn't consistent with being suicidal.

Suicide is a possibility, but unlikely considering the forensics and taking into account the threat he posed to Trumpolini as long as he was alive.  Anyone that much of a threat HAS to be eliminated.

Finally with suicides that are this convenient

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GFGarhsXAAAoLAX.jpg)

RE

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 07, 2026, 08:43 AM

Quote from: RE on Feb 07, 2026, 01:29 AMCui Bono?  Who benefits from Epstein's death?  Who has enough money to bribe the people necessary to pull it off?  Who has goobermint connections and access to the full list of staff, schedules, floor plans, cell assignments etc?  What does Occam's Razor say?

RE

(https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.istockphoto.com%2Fvectors%2Fsherlock-holmes-detective-vector-id165725124%3Fk%3D20%26m%3D165725124%26s%3D612x612%26w%3D0%26h%3DcFFeKWoifxcyYDeHNd2kd48wBvrjHZtNAMTV9BE3ILk%3D&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=d652988341128624621c58a2c6205a5edb9c8f4f6b438db53e56af992a791d96)

Exactly - And it turns out the noose was not around the body.  Forensic evidence establishes that he was strangled.  Hyoid bone injuries. 

There is your razor pivot point Mr Occam.  Forensic evidence knows the difference  between being strangled to death and being choked by a noose.

So between your EE and my precognitive abilities when it comes to oil and whatnot, you figure that the Chief Medical Examiner lied?

QuoteChief Medical Examiner Dr. Barbara Sampson said she stands "firmly" behind her findings in the August autopsy report, which ruled Epstein hanged himself and temporarily quelled much of the speculation surrounding the financier's death.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/medical-examiner-dismisses-doubts-about-epstein-autopsy

What conspiracy accounts for someone of high moral fiber and expectations as well as experience deciding to risk it all?

I'll stick with Occams Razer because it is still working fine. Unless you've collected a decent forensic pathology certification along the way somewhere? And then reviewed the evidence?

Hey, I'll take your word for EE stuff without much quetion as long as it matches my basic courses in the same, and I'll trust RE's microbiology opinion.

But we are talking about a conspiracy again. I am trying to get past Toothpaste + electrical current and a splash of pepper = steak.

Quote from: RE on Feb 07, 2026, 12:34 PM(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GFGarhsXAAAoLAX.jpg)

RE

Can't disagree with this meme. Oh...but Epstein wasn't a duck. Maybe Monsta or someone we know has some decent forensic pathology experience and can review the evidence? As opposed to...you know....ducks being involved somehow.

Quote from: TDoS on Feb 07, 2026, 06:10 PMCan't disagree with this meme. Oh...but Epstein wasn't a duck.

The analogy doesn't reference & compare Epstein, it references & compares Suicide.  I taught Analogies on the LSAT for The Princeton Review.  You would not have scored well.

RE

QuoteWhat conspiracy accounts for someone of high moral fiber and expectations as well as experience deciding to risk it all?

I can't believe this is serious.  When I was 12 years old I believed stuff like that too.  Besides which there was nothing to risk,  much more to risk by defying the wishes of the men in black.  Orders of magnitude more risk.  Risk or a nice gift. 🎁  Maybe they told her that national security was at stake.  That going with the flow would save western civilization.  Going with the flow feels like it does.  The warm fuzzy feeling of doing what somebody important tells you to do.  Makes it not hard to do.  Like you are part of things.

MSN.COM • 2026-02-03

Sickening Jeffrey Epstein autopsy photos reveal staggering neck injuries (https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/crime/sickening-jeffrey-epstein-autopsy-photos-reveal-staggering-neck-injuries/ar-AA1VAmAh)

Images from Jeffrey Epstein's autopsy documentation exposed the devastating severity of the convicted sex trafficker's neck trauma.



"The postmortem examination revealed that Epstein's alleged suicide resulted from multiple fractured bones in his neck. While bone breaks can occur in hanging cases, forensic specialists note they appear more frequently in strangulation homicides. The report documented that investigators observed numerous "hemorrhages" extending from Epstein's lips to his eyebrows."

Quote from: RE on Feb 07, 2026, 06:53 PM

Quote from: TDoS on Feb 07, 2026, 06:10 PMCan't disagree with this meme. Oh...but Epstein wasn't a duck.

The analogy doesn't reference & compare Epstein, it references & compares Suicide.  I taught Analogies on the LSAT for The Princeton Review.  You would not have scored well.

RE

Really? Well...an interesting factoid. And I doubt the Duck analogy is limited to just suicide. Never had any teachers or instructors from Princeton....I learned from Harvard grads. Lawyers, mathematicians, and a very particular resource geologist running an E&P.

His story on why he accepted Harvard was very interesting. He interviewed with several Ivys, including Princeton, Yale and  Brown. Stanford just for fun. He said they all touted the quality of their professors and their accomplishments, how many Nobel prizes, their facilities, accomplishments, and future potential.

Harvard didn't say a single word about anyone else. Those at the top of the heap don't have to pimp themselves.

Among my graduating class in high school, the most popular destination were the military academies. Out of the 40 of us 8 went to Annapolis, 1 to West Point and 1 more to Air Force Academy. Everyone I've ever worked with from BCG were Harvard grads. No more than another 10 in my high school went to various Ivys.

Deffeyes got his PhD from Princeton. You know....Mr "Peak Oil Happening Thanksgiving Day 2005".

Forgive my looking askance at what anything related to Princeton. Other than they get kudos for having Einstein and Oppenheimer hanging around at one point.

 

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 07, 2026, 10:01 PM

QuoteWhat conspiracy accounts for someone of high moral fiber and expectations as well as experience deciding to risk it all?

I can't believe this is serious.

Well, I haven't found any evidence that the medical examiner was in on a conspiracy. Have you? The only part of your quote that matters is:

"forensic specialists note they appear more frequently in strangulation homicides"

Being one of those experts that chips in, in my field of expertise, I am quite willing to allow another most certainly certified expert venture their official opinion and in order to contradict it, you need more than "more frequently".

Quote from: K-DogWhen I was 12 years old I believed stuff like that too.

Not sure what "like that too?" is referring to. That accredited experts know more about their topic than amateur hour folks?

The three of us here are all smart guys. None of us are forensic pathologists. I don't argue with you about EE issues, no one here is qualified to argue with me about the geosciences, and I don't tend to argue with RE about genetics and microbiology stuff.

<shrug>

So....what does another forensic pathologist say? "Appear more frequently" isn't even a reasonable statistic expression for anyone educated on calculating probabilities...which is where experts come in to make the call. One fully capable professional did that. So....how have you discredited HER or involved HER in your conspiracy angle?

And I wasn't 12 when I learned how to do statistical investigations, so you must have been quite precocious as a youngster. I was took busy learning to feed my family back at that age by hunting and trapping and whatnot. World class statistical analysis and stochastic modeling didn't happen until after I was out of college, learned it as a lark.

Quote from: TDoS on Feb 08, 2026, 07:18 AMThose at the top of the heap don't have to pimp themselves.   

Then you must be at the bottom of the heap.  You've barely taken a breath between self pimping posts for the last decade.

RE

Quote from: RE on Feb 08, 2026, 09:24 AM

Quote from: TDoS on Feb 08, 2026, 07:18 AMThose at the top of the heap don't have to pimp themselves. 

Then you must be at the bottom of the heap.  You've barely taken a breath between self pimping posts for the last decade.

RE

I would say last 7 years. Name anyone else who solved all future peak oils. What is amusing is how by the time I did it, those who couldn't, had managed to discredit the entire concept, and themselves, in the process.  And what I had done went virtually unnoticed. Sort of.

Quote from: TDoS on Feb 09, 2026, 04:26 PMName anyone else who solved all future peak oils.

Nobody has "solved" Peak Oil, anymore than they have solved the problems of the Atmospheric CO₂, the Federal Deficit, Palestinian Genocide, Falling Birthrates or Donald Trump.

RE

Quote from: RE on Feb 09, 2026, 06:25 PM

Quote from: TDoS on Feb 09, 2026, 04:26 PMName anyone else who solved all future peak oils.

Nobody has "solved" Peak Oil, anymore than they have solved the problems of the Atmospheric CO₂, the Federal Deficit, Palestinian Genocide, Falling Birthrates or Donald Trump.

RE

You are quite incorrect. There were 3 up and running systems that I am aware one, one commercial, one available for a price out of Palo Alto, and the one I was asked to build. You can buy results from the first two if you know who has them, but not mine. These can't be the only 3, but are just the ones I have access to, have built, or been asked to stress test before commercial sales.

The first commerical system was deterministic in nature, working from central tendency inputs, delivering scenario based answers...."if I assume this price path, what is production potential, and for what length of time". Completely manual, price path of hydrocarbons being the only input variable. Maybe you could control the probability estimate in countries that supplied them under the PRMS system.

The second is an LP, working with proprietary economic assumptions and some really poor resource assumptions, simplistic resource cost curves, deterministic in terms of volumes. Lacking any decent engineering component, building stochastic outputs primarily based on variable price paths. Primrily econometric in nature, not enough detail on the resource side.

Mine is stochastic, based on the three main moving dimensions to the peak oil problem. Lets call them #1, #2 and #3. In order to solve it for any two of these dimensions, you assume a deterministic answer to the third. You iterate on the two until you have a 3 dimensional equilibrium. You change #1 slightly, and do it again. And again. And again. You develop an envelope of performance for the combination of a single changing variable. Then you make #2 dimension the changing variable, and iterate. And then #3. You then have a database of substantial size containing as many pertubations of the underlying data as you'd like...or are willing to wait for. It does take awhile.

The trick wasn't in the overall design, I use this technique for quite a few routines, the trick was in then assembling all this data into a matrix of outcomes for a given input that was possible to display to the user, and not screwing it up with cross correlations and weird dependencies. Once you ran it initially, you tracked down combinations that were ridiculous, and began to fine tune the working input ranges in order for a high price to intersect reserves and resources at a country level, not get too crazy over kerogen, stuff like that.

Call it teething problems. Took 6 months to figure out how to use it intelligently and display the statistical outcomes for any given input assumption. What does world oil look like with high prices, low resources, political instability in OPEC, wars, higher taxes in which countries or region, Venezuela comes off the board because no one wants heavy crude, how much oil can come from Russian LTO in the Bazhenov and under what geopolitical circumstances and resulting price consequences, and so on and so forth.

Took 2 years to design. Another year to build. Six months to debug. Cost mid 7 figures. After debugging and testing it with our own scenarios of whatifs, spewing out scenarions and liklihoods based on what WE thought were interesting scenarios, we built a control system on top of it. The user gave the control system a global volume path, and it would work backwards to figure out the price combinations necessary to figure out where the oil and gas comes from (it did 8 hydrocarbon products I believe). You put in a given price for all countries for all 8 products, and it would take everything it already knew and reverse calculate out all the volumes by country. And if you ran it bunches of times, you could develop a range of outcome for all products and prices based on given input ranges of prices or volumes.

Please. Didn't solve peak oil. And by the time it was solved, prices had crashed and nobody even cared anymore. I still run it on occasion, just for fun to see how it looks compared to what happened since its completion. Nearly all top level global run results did come up with an interesting answer, one in particular that tended to cross all scenarios, or all reasonable, non war, non political nonsense scenarios anyway. And these years later, we are approaching that point. If it pans out, I will be quite happy and consider the model validated.

Didn't even need the PhD Harvard mathematician involved, but he did pimp the idea to the right people to get the money.   

Makes the Limits to Growth models look like a Model T if I do say so myself.

That's not the problem with Peak Oil.  The problem is that it's a finite resource essential to the operation of industrial civilization there currently is no good replacement for and we are running short of it.

Currently, the only "solution" is to take countries like Cuba and cutting off their supply and sending them back to the Stone Age, thus resulting in a rapidly dwindling number of living Cubans and an increasing number of dead ones.  The solution  is not too popular with Cubans, nor is it popular with Ukrainians. Palestinians, Somalians, Venezuelans and numerous other countries currently at war over this finite resource.

RE

QuoteThat's not the problem with Peak Oil.  The problem is that it's a finite resource essential to the operation of industrial civilization there currently is no good replacement for and we are running short of it.

Concern about the actual peak is like looking at a tree and not seeing the forest.

You can add Americans who have no medical care to your list of unfortunates.

Ukrainians. Palestinians, Somalians, Venezuelans and Joe Six Pack.

NEWREPUBLIC.COM • 2026-02-05

Trump Just Gave Us the Worst January Since the Great Recession (https://newrepublic.com/post/206208/january-layoffs-surge-trump-great-recession)

Layoffs have surged to a nearly 20-year high, as job openings plummet.

Quote from: RE on Feb 10, 2026, 06:29 PMThat's not the problem with Peak Oil.  The problem is that it's a finite resource essential to the operation of industrial civilization there currently is no good replacement for and we are running short of it.

Of course. The same as every other important non-renewable resource. But for some reason folks got their knickers in a twist over this particular one, and made it popular. And then fled like scalded cats when it turns out they didn't know even the most basic things about a single non-renewable resource.

I viewed it as a technical challenge that fit my skill set, as I already knew folks were getting it wrong 20 years ago, if not more, and took a crack at it.

I'm not a doomer, a class of folks that put the same level of thought into peak oil as they did Planet X and the Mayan calendar. I didn't feel like becoming an astronomist or learning ancient Mayan language to figure out if those were ridiculous as well, so I took advantage of the skillset I had.

Turns out it works well with other econometric models.

Quote from: RECurrently, the only "solution" is to take countries like Cuba and cutting off their supply and sending them back to the Stone Age, thus resulting in a rapidly dwindling number of living Cubans and an increasing number of dead ones.  The solution  is not too popular with Cubans, nor is it popular with Ukrainians. Palestinians, Somalians, Venezuelans and numerous other countries currently at war over this finite resource.

RE

Well, I'm not sure what problem you are solving by sending any country back to the stone age via lack of oil, but I would point out that a nice young lady wrote a peak oil book about how Cuba survived peak oil already. So I had my solution for the world, and she trumpeted how Cuba solved that problem decades ago.

How Cuba Survived Peak Oil. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Power_of_Community:_How_Cuba_Survived_Peak_Oil) Circa 2006

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 10, 2026, 06:46 PM

QuoteThat's not the problem with Peak Oil.  The problem is that it's a finite resource essential to the operation of industrial civilization there currently is no good replacement for and we are running short of it.

Concern about the actual peak is like looking at a tree and not seeing the forest.

Apt metaphor from a doomer perspective. But I'm not a doomer. And after we survived the Great DieOff proclaimed by the doomers during Earth Day 1970 (allegedly sometime by the 1980's) I figured you had to take their predictions with a grain of salt. As any thinking person might.

Quote from: K-DogLayoffs have surged to a nearly 20-year high, as job openings plummet.

Well, it has been awhile since we've had a hard recession. The Great Recession of 2008 was deeply involved in peak oil doom, folks who didn't know how to calculate peak oil randomly assigning it causality with any current event they could find.

The good news is that we aren't anywhere near RE's definition of collapse even with layoffs surging. A 20 year high puts it worse then Covid though doesn't it? Which was according to some the Biggest Recession Since the Great Depression. So we could be in for interesting times.

If it craters the market like the 2008 recession, I'll be dumping in available coinage just like I did back then.

Quote from: TDoS on Feb 10, 2026, 07:02 PMWell, I'm not sure what problem you are solving by sending any country back to the stone age via lack of oil

Oil not burned by Cubans available for Happy Motoring Amerikans.

Not sure what problem you are solving either.    Feel free to pat yourself on the back for whatever it is you think you did though.

RE

Quote from: RE on Feb 10, 2026, 09:28 PM

Quote from: TDoS on Feb 10, 2026, 07:02 PMWell, I'm not sure what problem you are solving by sending any country back to the stone age via lack of oil

Oil not burned by Cubans available for Happy Motoring Amerikans.

Not sure what problem you are solving either.    Feel free to pat yourself on the back for whatever it is you think you did though.

RE

I know what I did. I don't "think" I know what I did.

Quote from: TDoS on Feb 11, 2026, 04:39 AMI know what I did. I don't "think" I know what I did.

Well, I Googled "Who solved the Peak Oil problem" and top of the results and the closest I came to an answer was The Clean-Energy Equation No One Can Solve Yet (https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2025/08/peak-mineral/683833/), so your solution hasn't been pinged yet by their search bots.  Nobody on Reddit seemed to have heard of it either.  You seem to be a Legend in your own Mind.

RE

MOTHERJONES.COM • 2026-02-11

Pam Bondi Refuses to Apologize to Epstein Survivors (https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2026/02/bondi-jayapal-johnson-house-justice-epstein-hearing/)

Officials failed to redact their names—and did little to address the harm.


IRISHTIMES.COM • 2026-02-11

'This screams cover-up': Pam Bondi faces fury over handling of Epstein files (https://www.irishtimes.com/world/us/2026/02/11/this-screams-cover-up-pam-bondi-faces-fury-over-handling-of-epstein-files/)

Key committee hears US attorney general accused of 'incompetence' and 'jaded cruelty' over abuse survivors.

Quote from: RE on Feb 11, 2026, 09:43 AMYou seem to be a Legend in your own Mind.

RE

You appear to have presumed it was built for public consumption. What a quaint idea. As far as being a legend...the folks that asked me to tackle this project never asked Colin or Jean to tackle the problem, or Ugo, or Gail, or Art, or Nate or Simone or anyone you've ever interviewed.

I was sitting there with a nice lady from the Sloan Foundation after a conference in DC, neither of us were speaking, just participating on panels and whatnot. She speaks 3 languages, has 2 PhDs, a native Russian who had migrated west during her career. She was waiting for a flight and I was waiting for a ride, so we were just hanging out. 

We had bumped into each other before, she had seen my presentations at various conferences during the early shale years, I had asked her to review my publications as a technical reviewer on at least 3 occasions, etc etc.


She had bumped into me at other national conferences and was intrigued by the various topics I had presented  and published on, particularly the heavy tilt towards practical applications. I was telling idle jokes based on my online experience among peakers, she was familiar with the type and we had a giggle fest with what we had learned about them. She had a project that needed done and the money to make it happen.

....NAH....I was probably just chosen out of the phone book at random....  😀😀

(https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fcomicvine.gamespot.com%2Fa%2Fuploads%2Fscale_small%2F11%2F111746%2F4353056-boris_natasha.jpg&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=b541fb217881ad89d833b6e92b00930a172c8cd42f4d77e7dbcf2982cc9194fb)

Quote....NAH....I was probably just chosen out of the phone book at random....  😀😀

Did she make America great again 🍑🍆   ?

Yes, of course.  Your world shattering "solution" to one of the most vexing problems facing humanity remains hidden on some TOP SECRET, air-gapped computer 40 floors below ground in a safe with 3 meter thick depleted uranium walls available only to a select few corporate executives protected from search engine spiders.

If there REALLY was a solution to Peak Oil, it would be published in a major peer reviewed journal and picked up afterward by Scientific American for popular reading.  It would be subject to at least SOME discussion and review on the Peak Oil discussion forums.

When some anonymous Troll on a nearly invisible website claims he solved Peak Oil, why on earth would anyone believe him? 🙄

RE

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 11, 2026, 08:37 PMDid she make America great again 🍑🍆  ?

Nope. But when my model was integrated with others, it was interesting to learn and watch. Plus the gig paid well.

Quote from: RE on Today at 04:12 AMYes, of course.  Your world shattering "solution" to one of the most vexing problems facing humanity remains hidden on some TOP SECRET, air-gapped computer 40 floors below ground in a safe with 3 meter thick depleted uranium walls available only to a select few corporate executives protected from search engine spiders.

Nope. It went into action,and core components of it were used for years, I was occasionally asked to consult. I think the project was finally shut down a year or so ago. Ran on local servers, in Python, I've got a copy of my work leftover from the development days.

Talking to you about me made me go check my backups to see if I still have it. I could probably ask permission to publish, but peak oil happened like in 2018 and no one even talks about it anymore. Plus it work better with an integrated socio-economic engine, as opposed to just generating probability answers based on custom scenarios.

Quote from: REIf there REALLY was a solution to Peak Oil, it would be published in a major peer reviewed journal and picked up afterward by Scientific American for popular reading.

Been there. Done that. Not this work. I only wrote up a single result, it is in the public eye, but it wasn't oriented on peak oil at all. Once integrated within a larger ecoonomic context it was great for full socio-economic scenarios, regional or global, but no one gave a shit about the peak oil potential except me. I ran so many scenarios through the thing I can't even remember them all now.

Quote from: REIt would be subject to at least SOME discussion and review on the Peak Oil discussion forums.

Sure. This one. The others are dead except for peakoil.com

Quote from: REWhen some anonymous Troll on a nearly invisible website claims he solved Peak Oil, why on earth would anyone believe him? 🙄
RE

Facts don't require your belief. They just are. You are free to discount every word I say, as you always have. Previously when I mentioned Sun Tzu, you missed the point I was making entirely. I want you to just keep right on being comfortable with what you think you know. In your absolute certainty in yourself is my anonymity. 

Facts don't require belief, but they do need to be present.  There are no facts here, only your CLAIM that you solved Peak Oil.

The only thing I found on your link to PeakOil.com related to Peak Oil was a link to an article on OilPice.com by David Messler titled Why the IEA is Wrong About Peak Oil Demand (https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Why-the-IEA-is-Wrong-About-Peak-Oil-Demand.html).  A pretty good review of the estimates from the IEA and OPEC and the continuing dependence on oil to maintain and grow GDP.  Sadly, it doesn't provide a solution to Peak Oil.

Feel free to keep pimping yourself and blowing your own horn, although when you make claims like you solved Peak Oil you need to be able to back it up or you'll spend some time in the cooler contemplating your personality deficiencies.

RE

CONSCIOUSNESSOFSHEEP.CO.UK • 2026-01-20

What the right gets wrong (https://consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/2026/01/20/what-the-right-gets-wrong/)

Instead of congratulating Trump, the CEOs of the oil corporations politely rejected the invitation to resume drilling in Venezuela.