QuoteThis is why no matter what Trumpolini does, shipping through the straight has little likelihood of returning to pre-war levels in the forseeable future.  Anything leaving the Gulf will remain a target, and the risk premium that will drive up prices remains enormous.

Stupid is as stupid does.






Iran cannot defeat the United States militarily. It cannot win a conventional war against the US-Israeli alliance. What it can do is make the cost of the war unbearable for the economies that are funding and sustaining the attacks against it.  And it should do so.  Iran should force Regime change.  I'm Ok with that.

Anyone with a functional brain has known for thirty years that messing with Iran is grabbing Karma by the tail.






Look at his desperation.  While Trump claims victory.



The Donald Trump administration is evidently desperate, as the raging West Asia conflict has sent global oil prices soaring to multi-year highs, which in turn have led to a jump in fuel prices in the US.

It is an attempt to keep the price of oil -- lower.

Has anybody told Trump about this? From everything we're reading, the answer is probably not. Uh basically uh we're in a situation where the the court hearers don't tell the the emperor that he has no clothes and don't tell him that uh actually war in the Persian Gulf really hurts the United States a lot too.

So you know God knows and by the way I have no idea how this ends. Uh it's I I don't I don't even know what I would do at this point. I mean it take a time machine and go back and not do this, but now it's it's going to be really really ugly.  And have a nice weekend.

QuoteThis is why no matter what Trumpolini does, shipping through the straight has little likelihood of returning to pre-war levels in the forseeable future.  Anything leaving the Gulf will remain a target, and the risk premium that will drive up prices remains enormous.

Stupid is as stupid does.






Iran cannot defeat the United States militarily. It cannot win a conventional war against the US-Israeli alliance. What it can do is make the cost of the war unbearable for the economies that are funding and sustaining the attacks against it.  And it should do so.  Iran should force Regime change.  I'm Ok with that.

Anyone with a functional brain has known for thirty years that messing with Iran is grabbing Karma by the tail.

Quote from: TDoS on Mar 21, 2026, 12:13 PMDo you keep a running score to track your prognostication capabilities?

66.6% success rate.

RE

What is going on with unemployment.  As Americans we can never know because the numbers and definitions defining it are decided by the deciders and deliberately designed to obfuscate reality from the average guy.



But whatever the upper class number means you can decide which way it points by yourself.  And you can see where it has been going all last year.

Rumor has it the current number is exceptionally divorced from reality.

Quote from: K-Dog on Mar 20, 2026, 07:17 PM

QuoteOfficial source?

Get real, if the trim on one of those flying bricks isn't perfect they are going down.  But no, there are no 'official sources' that can be respected.  All official sources are now kissing Trump ass.  Or have you not been paying attention.  In today's world mainstream media pays to play, and they all stay in line.

Oh come on. You tried this same logic when BigBalls got beaten up in Wahsington, and when I calculated out the odds of the cameras catching it, or not, it turned out that spurious wasn't coming from the online sources in this case but from your argument of everything could be seen everywhere in DC.

Quote from: K-DogAnd seriously, a 12 year old can figure out that you are not going to talk about damage to a plane if you do not have to in a time of war.

You mean, except for this plane in question, and the tanker that went down while refueling others? Everyone talking about both of these is the proof that neither happened?

A 12 year old isn't even SMART enough to play this level of make believe, who are you going to trust, me making it up or someone willing to admit it because they know it happened?

This is why no matter what Trumpolini does, shipping through the straight has little likelihood of returning to pre-war levels in the forseeable future.  Anything leaving the Gulf will remain a target, and the risk premium that will drive up prices remains enormous.

RE

Quote from: RE on Mar 21, 2026, 12:02 PM

NEWSTATESMAN.COM • 2026-03-21

The world energy shock is coming

The US and Israel’s illegal attack on Iran will provoke a global economic catastrophe.  The US and Israel’s illegal attack on Iran will provoke a global economic catastrophe

We should be in the deep doo doo by the elections.  This will not end well.

RE

How many of your "this will not end well" have not even arrived? Do you keep a running score to track your prognostication capabilities?

Quote from: RE on Mar 21, 2026, 12:02 PM

NEWSTATESMAN.COM • 2026-03-21

The world energy shock is coming

The US and Israel’s illegal attack on Iran will provoke a global economic catastrophe.  The US and Israel’s illegal attack on Iran will provoke a global economic catastrophe

We should be in the deep doo doo by the elections.  This will not end well.

RE

QuoteFossil fuels are by far the most systemically significant inputs in (as yet) predominantly fossil fuel-powered capitalism. Food production depends on fertilisers. Helium and sulphur are necessary for microchips production, in turn needed for everything from lawn mowers to data centres sustaining the AI boom. The passage through the strait of these raw materials – key for making everything else – has been effectively suspended since the beginning of the war.

A very good read 😀

We should be in the deep doo doo by the elections.  This will not end well.

RE

When this is all over Americans will not get what they deserve.  Iranians are too civilized for that.




Nowruz, what is it?