A deal could end a conflict that has choked global energy markets and pushed U.S. inflation to its highest level in years. "An Agreement has been largely negotiated, subject to finalization between the United States of America, the Islamic Republic of Iran, and the various other Countries," Trump said in a social media post. The agreement includes a memorandum of understanding as a first phase, Iran's foreign ministry said, before broader talks within 30 to 60 days.

Yea, right.  What does IRAN say?

Iran's Fars news agency reported the Strait ⁠of Hormuz would remain under Iran's management, according ⁠to ‌the latest ⁠exchanged text between Iran and ‌the U.S. The report dismissed ‌Trump's ⁠announcement of reopening ⁠the ⁠strait as part of a "largely ‌negotiated" deal as "incomplete and inconsistent with reality."

Reading between the lines, the "deal" is just the "memo of understanding" which states that they'll keep talking about it and keep disagreeing on the fundamental points.  Iran at some point MIGHT agree not to work on nuke weapons, but they will not do that unless at least $100B in war reparations are paid and ALL sanctions are lifted AND they can collect tolls on Hormuz.  Those are conditions Trumpolini can't agree to without looking like a total fool.  Which he is of course.   He also is in desperate need of a reality check.

Don't count on ships lighting up their Bunker Fuel burners and steaming out of Hormuz loaded with Oil anytime soon.

RE

 When the conflict began, warnings of another "forever war" seemed exaggerated. No longer. As matters stand, the negative international humanitarian, economic and geopolitical fallout from this fiasco looks set to prove more permanently globally damaging than any of those past US-made disasters.  That being the case, an urgent question arises, not least today as reports suggest the US president and his secretary of war are planning to rain more bombs on Iran: who will stop Donald Trump?

This approach certainly should be tried, but unfortunately it's not likely to work and at worst could backfire badly.

The first problem is I'm not sure you could get all the countries on board with sanctions of the FSoA that really bite.  Many are quite dependent on the FSoA for more than just military aid.  Food is a big export item, and it wouldn't be easily replaced.

The bigger problem though is Trumpolini's psychology.  Everybody lining up against him would increase his paranoia and increase the likelihood of him ordering the use of nuke weapons.  Then it would depend on the Generals refusing to follow the orders, and so far I haven't seen any indication they have enough backbone to do that.

The only plausible legal solution at this point is if the Repugnants lose both houses of CONgress and an Impeachment is successful.  However even that requires the conflict to stay at relatively low level until Nov, and then probably at least 3 months for the Impeachment hearings.  By the time he's out of office, the global economy will be toast and food and energy shortages will be widespread.  We're probably already guaranteed millions will die, this solution just gives it a chance of not escalating to 10s or 100s of millions.

Unfortunately, there's no plausible legal solution to the Trump problem.  A Coup d'Etat could work, but that also would take backbone from the Generals and might star a Civil War.  It's a major Wicked Problem.

RE

Quote from: TDoS on May 22, 2026, 06:08 PMYou have an objection to someone hiring actual experts?

No., I have an objection over someone reversing his arguments from one post to the next.  You can't have it both ways.  You argue like Trumpolini with Iran from one post on Truth Social to the next.  First he says he  won the war, then he says we gotta keep bombing them.  First he says Hormuz should be open, then he blockades it himself.  First you say you charge, then you say you give it away.  Same stupid methodology.  It just demonstrates your hypocrisy.

QuoteI told all the peakoil.com folks everything that wasn't propritary for years for free. 

RE

Quote from: K-Dog on May 20, 2026, 08:21 PMA wife beater need not beat his wife every day to be a wife beater.

A doom claimant every year of their adult life need not ever be right in their lifetime to be a doomer. Of course, others have a different name for someone so....touched....

Quote from: RE on May 20, 2026, 06:13 PM

Quote from: TDoS on May 20, 2026, 05:53 PMThere is no requirement that expert advice has to be expenive. I told all the peakoil.com folks everything that wasn't propritary for years for free. 

You just bragged about charging for it. 🙄

You have an objection to someone hiring actual experts? When someone has cancer, you figure they should go online to Mama'sHomeRemedys.com and throw together some ginsing and pepper poultice to handle it?

Was your neck fusion done by a local medicine man dancing around a fire using tom-toms to convince the God's to intervene on your behalf? Not that this is the equivalent of what peakoil.com did....but from a scientists view...well....maybe it was that bad.

Quote from: K-Dog on May 20, 2026, 08:21 PMA wife beater need not beat his wife every day to be a wife beater.

Especially if he never stopped beating his wife.

RE

Quote from: RE on May 20, 2026, 06:13 PM

Quote from: TDoS on May 20, 2026, 05:53 PMThere is no requirement that expert advice has to be expenive. I told all the peakoil.com folks everything that wasn't propritary for years for free. 

You just bragged about charging for it. 🙄

Quote from: TDoSYou guys spinning your tales for free scares the paying customers who then come looking for the real answer from the professionals and pay better for it on short time frames!

RE

A wife beater need not beat his wife every day to be a wife beater.

Avoiding such an outcome will require alternative trade routes, restraint on export restrictions, protection of humanitarian flows, and buffers to absorb higher transport costs, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) has warned.

6 months puts us right around the Nov elections.  Skyrocketing food prices should Doom Trumpolini, even if we manage to avoid food riots here in thee FSoA.  The rest of the 3rd Worlld will probably have a Global "Arab Autumn".

RE