This growing disconnect is fueling serious concerns that widespread oil futures complacency could be risking global supply chains and credit markets and potentially setting up the next major supply shock.  Goldman Sachs recently warned of a disconnect in the oil markets, offering potential scenarios of what the rest of 2026 could look like, not just for the crude market, but refined products, such as jet fuel and petrochemicals. The potential paths the rest of 2026 might take range from a mere economic hiccup to catastrophe.

So which is it gonna be, sportsfans?  HICCUP or CATASTROPHY?

In my grand tradition as a confirmed Doomer, I'm betting on Catastrophe. 😬

Sooner or later the  physical shortages are gonna catch up to the rosy picture painted by Trumpolini.  Meanwhile, his buddies will continue to rake in the moolah in market manipulation of the NACHO trade.

Meanwhile, futures markets rise and fall based on a different host of speculative factors, including President Trump's often contradictory late-night posts on Truth Social, which seem purely for market manipulation, rather than anything approaching an accurate assessment of the situation.

Trumpworld insiders are making hundreds of millions on every announcement, with a $1.7 billion short on oil placed one hour before Wednesday's bombshell report in Axios, after which crude plunged 7%.

RE

"I do understand why people jump to that conclusion," Dr. Charlotte Hammer, assistant professor in Health Security and Infectious Diseases at the University of Cambridge, told CNN on Saturday. "We have a collective memory of Covid, but if you look at the virus and at the disease, we are looking at something quite different here."

"But I need you to hear me clearly: this is not another COVID-19."

Famous Last Words. 😷😬🤨

RE

What goes around comes around.




I have tried to find independent verification of this groups existence and have found none.  If this is some of Trump's fake news what is the purpose?

A powerful leader is both loved and feared by their people.  At this point love is impossible for Trump to get, and really Trump does not understand or feel the concept.  But Trump does understand fear.  Fear defines Trump after all,  Trump is still afraid of his daddy, and the whole world now suffers for it.

In the mind of the powers that currently be.  Making the Hoi polloi afraid of Iran is a good idea.

Quote"it is much safer to be feared than loved because ...love is preserved by the link of obligation which, owing to the baseness of men, is broken at every opportunity for their advantage; but fear preserves you by a dread of punishment which never fails."
― Niccolo Machiavelli, The Prince

The plan is to cultivate fear any which way 'they' can.

Quote from: K-Dog on May 07, 2026, 12:42 PM

Quotegiven that level of destruction that the current claim that only 13 grunts have been killed is a pile of horseshit. 😒

It makes you wonder why they even fessed up to 13.

They went down in highly visible plane crashes.  Iranian media crowed about it. Grunts on the ground, not so visible.

In this case among the many buildings totally demolished were BARRACKS, where MIRACULOUSLY there were no grunts asleep, smoking reefer or jerking off to internet porn.🙄

RE

Quotegiven that level of destruction that the current claim that only 13 grunts have been killed is a pile of horseshit. 😒

It makes you wonder why they even fessed up to 13.

Hitting hangars, barracks, fuel depots, aircraft and key radar, communications and air defense equipment, according to a Washington Post analysis of satellite imagery. The amount of destruction is far larger than what has been publicly acknowledged by the U.S. government or previously reported.

No big surprise that Trumpolini has been covering up the destruction of FSoA Airbases in Saudi, Kuwait and Bahrain.  I'd also still bet given that level of destruction that the current claim that only 13 grunts have been killed is a pile of horseshit. 😒

His Trumpness must be wildly pissed off at WaPo & Bezos for doing an end-around on FSoA censorship of Satellite Imagery and getting the facts out. 😁  Jeffy finally does something worthwhile with his media acquisition.

Obviously this clarifies why the Trumpenator wanted a Ceasefire, besides being short on Ammo, half their operating bases have suffered near total destruction and they're short on planes and radar installations.  Also why the war isn't close to being over and Hormuz reopened for shipping the Black Gold to power Happy Motoring and factories around the world.

The Market of course is still in denial and posting record highs on days El Trumpo makes a new claim that "Peace is Just Around the Corner".  When reality finally sets in maybe around Harvest Time, the bloodbath will be worth the wait.

RE

Quote from: TDoS on May 03, 2026, 07:17 PMHow well did your memory hold up after those cocaine partys you've described back in your Wall Street days? Any better than just boozing it up all weekend with friends?   

It works just fine.  It is selective though.  With people, I remember all the really hot women I ever met and anyone who had interesting ideas to chat about.  Anybody else is mostly a crap shoot, except for rude, fat, boring, stupid, anonymous and ugly people who I nearly always forget.  More than 1 of those attributes increases the chance you will be forgotten.  If the person also has interesting ideas besides being ugly for instance, it increase the chance I remember them.  So it's no surprise you didn't get a storage bin in the archives.


RE

Quote from: K-Dog on May 03, 2026, 03:01 PM

THEMOSCOWTIMES.COM • 2026-05-02

Japan Buys Russian Oil for the First Time Since Hormuz Closure

Japan is set to receive its first shipment of Russian crude oil since the conflict in the Middle East disrupted global energy supplies.

And the average cost of gas in Seattle is $5.795 a gallon now.

SHIT! We've only hit about $4.50 lately. Normally wouldn't notice when quietly zooming by gas stations, but the wife required me to take her out for a fountain drink and I noticed the price the suckers....excuse me...the ICE powered people who are forced to suffer from not being worldly wise to the limited nature of crude oil and products produced from them.

GO EV!!!

Quote from: RE on May 03, 2026, 01:04 PMHe said, she said. 🙄

Not at all. One of us has already described the events because we remember them. And the other has claimed no memory of said meeting. Your statement is contradicted by your previous claim of not remembering me at all. Tsk tsk.

Quote from: REAt the time, I COULDN'T stand up without having something to  brace myself against, and even then only briefly.

Well, the "briefly" could certainly be less than 30 minutes or so, as for a minute or two you were wobbling around demonstrating the toy like nature of that little electric scooter thing was when you weren't standing.

Perhaps you were still loaded from all the partying that weekend, and you can explain being able to stand as you were half in the bag?

Quote from: RECertainly did not stand talking to a boring fat man.
RE

Like I said, you can't claim to remember something when you've already claimed not to. I can only relate the facts of the matter. Facts are handy when working as a scientist. And they are easier to have when not half baked from a party masquerading as a sales pitch for a Amish park of some sort.

How well did your memory hold up after those cocaine partys you've described back in your Wall Street days? Any better than just boozing it up all weekend with friends?