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#31
Against War / Iranian culture
Last post by K-Dog - Apr 02, 2026, 06:24 PM

  • EXCLUSIVE: Isfahan Governor Addresses War, Housing Destruction, Protests, and US Negotiations Amid Ongoing Conflict
    Reporter: Demetri Lceris | Outlet: Reason to Resist
    Date of Recording: March 24, 2026 | Location: Isfahan, Iran

    1. INTRODUCTION & UNPLANNED GOVERNOR MEETING
    Reporter Demetri Lceris reports from Isfahan, Iran on March 24, 2026. He is riding a bicycle handed to him by the Governor of Isfahan Province, who spent approximately one hour answering questions. The governor's decision to meet was impromptu and unplanned. He walked in public without any security, interacting warmly with shopkeepers and citizens.

    Key Facts:
    • Location: Isfahan, described as a "museum without a roof" and a city of history, culture, and handicrafts
    • Governor's Demeanor: Warm, respectful, without security; interactions with public were positive
    • Reporter's Note: The video is unedited and uncurated
    2. ISFAHAN'S HISTORICAL & CULTURAL SIGNIFICANCE
    The governor provided extensive detail about Isfahan's heritage.

    Historical Background
    • Isfahan's history dates back thousands of years
    • It served as Iran's capital in three different periods over a long span of history
    • The city was a key player on the Silk Road
    • It carries the "footsteps of all different periods in history"
    • The city is lucky that many historical footsteps have not vanished

    UNESCO and International Recognition
    • Isfahan province contains underground cities dating back thousands of years (e.g., Nooshabad underground city)
    • The city has a clay palace (Guran AR/palace) which is the biggest clay palace in the world where life is still ongoing
    • Isfahan is a member of 17 international organizations, including the Metropolis of Muslim countries and ICC
    • The city was the secretary for two years for one of these organizations
    • Over 200 types of handicraft are registered with UNESCO — a unique number in terms of variety within one province
    • The city itself is registered as a creative city in the field of handicraft worldwide

    Handicrafts and Artisans
    • Some handicrafts are unique in the world with UNESCO approval and signature
    • Artworks use silver and gold; some take 6 months to one year to complete
    • One artisan (Ahmed Satv) represents seven generations of craft, learning from childhood at age 5 or 6
    • Another artisan (Leila) learned for two years (Iranian years 1383–1385) from a master and has worked for 15 years; she learned from her aunt
    • One art form (using camel bone and special metals) dates back 5,300 years
    • Traditional nomadic carpets were woven by imagination without patterns — mistakes are natural and part of the style
    • A carpet seller named Ali (20 years experience, self-taught in English) notes that a single large carpet can take 1.5 years for one person to weave

    3. IMPACT OF WAR ON CIVILIAN INFRASTRUCTURE AND ECONOMY

    Tourism Decline
    • The square used to be "compacted with people" and visitors could barely walk
    • Currently, there are fewer people due to the war
    • One artisan stated that as soon as the war started, tourism declined
    • The governor expressed sadness that handicrafts are not selling as they previously did, stating, "I wanted here to be full of people and customers"

    Housing Destruction from Airstrikes
    • The governor confirms receiving complaints from people whose houses have been destroyed
    • A single strike destroyed approximately 2,700 to 2,800 housing units
    • The houses were described as "very expensive"
    • The residents were "about the average" income level

    Government Response to Housing Destruction
    • Affected residents were provided temporary housing in hotels
    • The governor states that residents "did not complain"
    • The municipality is responsible for minor impacts (broken windows, glass)
    • For heavier impacts (lost structure), the municipality will provide temporary living for 1–2 years while renewal occurs
    • For completely destroyed houses, a government NGO called "Maskan" (housing organization) will carry out reconstruction
    • Residents who wish to rebuild themselves can submit their expenses for reimbursement
    • The first two levels of damage are paid by the municipality; the third (complete destruction) is paid by the housing organization, provincial government, or central government

    4. GOVERNOR'S RESPONSE TO PROTESTS AND DOMESTIC DISSENT

    Context of Protests
    • The reporter notes that Western narratives about protests in Iran (January) differ from the government's perspective
    • The governor acknowledges that for 47 years since the Islamic Revolution, imperialism has increased its animosity against Iran in different shapes: imposed war (Iran-Iraq war), the "12-day war," the ongoing war, and "riots"

    Nature of Protests in Isfahan
    • The governor states that people protest "every day" about rightful issues: welfare, insurance, economy
    • Smaller protests come to his office; larger gatherings occur
    • This is described as "quite normal and natural"
    • However, the level of violence in recent protests had "a plot behind it and a plan"
    • The violence was "very professional" and "not in the blood of our people"

    Response to a Young Woman's Criticism
    • The reporter recounts speaking to a young woman who was reluctant to be on camera, fearing government trickery
    • She stated she does not like the government because it imposes religion upon her
    • She noted that the lack of mandatory hijab is a recent change that "we had to push for"
    • She feels unrepresented and wants the government to stop choosing what is best for her
    • She identifies as culturally Muslim ("kind of") but does not practice; she is not an atheist
    • She does not support an attack on her own country

    Governor's Response to the Young Woman
    • The governor denies imposing anything: "We will not impose anything on you. Not at all."
    • He attributes some youth discontent to foreign media channels (TV, social media) creating propaganda to "destroy that country, defy that country"
    • He states that young people watching these channels have their mindsets "struggled" and "dealing with these thoughts"
    • He acknowledges a generation gap exists in all countries
    • He contrasts Iran's 47 years of sanctions without serious structural collapse against countries that faced destruction after short sanctions
    • He notes Iran has 22,000 tourist and historical attractions that should be full of tourists, asking, "Who has made this atmosphere that they are not full today?"

    5. GOVERNOR'S POSITION ON NEGOTIATIONS WITH THE US

    • The governor states Iran has experience negotiating with the US
    • He claims that assassinations were carried out "in the middle of negotiation"
    • He states that even during the ongoing war, the US did the same
    • He refers to a "messenger carrying a message" (apparently referencing an assassination) during negotiations
    • His conclusion: "Our people do not trust" negotiation with the US
    • He states that the US "does not believe in negotiation at all"

    6. UNCOMFORTABLE QUESTIONS & GOVERNOR'S STRUGGLE TO RESPOND

    The reporter pressed the governor with direct, uncomfortable questions. The transcript shows the governor becoming increasingly defensive and struggling to provide coherent answers.

    Key Exchange:
    • The reporter confronted the governor with an account from a young woman who said she does not like the government because it imposes religion upon her
    • The governor initially denied any imposition: "We will not impose anything on you. Not at all."
    • When pressed further on the gap between government claims and citizen experiences, the governor's responses became fragmented and evasive
    • The transcript contains the governor saying "Foreign speech" multiple times — apparently dismissing critical questions as external propaganda
    • At one point, after an explosion-like sound is heard, the governor responds with "Foreign speech" followed by a dismissive "Cool."
    • The interview ends with the governor uttering fragmented, incomplete phrases: "animal," "Come again," and other disjointed words

    Assessment: The transcript does not show technical recording issues. Rather, it captures the governor's visible difficulty in answering legitimate questions about domestic dissent, religious imposition, and government accountability. His responses become shorter, more defensive, and ultimately fragment as the questioning intensifies.

    KEY DATA SUMMARY

    • Date of Recording: March 24, 2026
    • Location: Isfahan, Iran (historical square and handicraft market)
    • Key Figure Interviewed: Governor of Isfahan Province (name not provided in transcript)
    • Duration of Governor's Interaction: Approximately 1 hour
    • Housing Units Destroyed in Single Strike (reported by governor): 2,700–2,800
    • Tourist Attractions in Iran (cited by governor): 22,000
    • Years of Sanctions on Iran (cited by governor): 47 years
    • UNESCO-Registered Handicraft Types in Isfahan Province: Over 200
    • Generations of Artisans Documented: Up to 7 generations (Ahmed Satv's family)
    • Art Form Age Cited: 5,300 years (camel bone and metal inlay work)
    • Carpet Weaving Time Cited: 1.5 years for one person to weave one large carpet
    • Governor's Demeanor Under Questioning: Defensive, evasive, increasingly fragmented; dismissed criticism as "foreign speech"

    End of Extraction
#32
Trump Fascism / Iran War Oil Issues
Last post by K-Dog - Apr 02, 2026, 04:35 PM

TIMESOFISRAEL.COM2026-03-31

Hegseth’s broker looked to buy defense fund before Iran attack

A broker for US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth attempted to make a big investment in major defense companies in the weeks leading up to the US-Israeli attack on Iran.




Being defense secretary must not pay so good

* As of October 2024, the Secretary of Defense's annual salary clocked in at $246,400 – a massive payout for most Americans, but pennies compared to what Hegseth has become used to seeing in his pocket.



TIMESNOWNEWS.COM2026-04-03

Who Is General Randy George? Pete Hegseth Fires US Army Chief Of Staff Amid Iran War

General Randy George became the US Army Chief of Staff in 2023. He is a veteran infantry officer and former aide to Lloyd Austin, Hegseth's predecessor.











Being professional and competent is not what the ship of fools wants.
#33
War / Iran War Oil Issues
Last post by K-Dog - Apr 02, 2026, 04:25 PM
You admitted it's personal, which explains the focus on Berman's speaking style instead of the math.

You claim Berman didn't 'prove' the world is constrained by debt. Global debt is currently sitting at over 315 trillion That is roughly 3.30 times global output. Explain how a system carrying that debt survives a wartime energy spike without demand collapse.  Finding that ratio was not hard.  Perhaps it was your responsibility to find out how much debt there is.

Weak growth is growth lower than the cost of the debt. If the debt grows faster than the economy, the system goes tits up.

Pointing out that Berman was wrong about shale in the past doesn't change the current laws of thermodynamics,  compound interest, or the laws of the universe.

Engage with the actual argument.  That a wartime spike in a debt-saturated economy will destroy demand before supply can respond.  Or admit you have nothing to add.

You have not engaged with the argument.
#34
War / Iran War Oil Issues
Last post by TDoS - Apr 02, 2026, 04:02 PM
Quote from: K-Dog on Mar 31, 2026, 08:13 PMDemand destruction and economic fragmentation are the most likely outcomes.  That is the correct framework.

For you. Because as I've mentioned before, some folks start with an angle they like, and when someone like an Art is espousing a similar view, he is easy to agree with, and to defend his view regardless of demonstrable professional hiccups demonstrating a distinct lack of knowledge or prognostication abilities on his part.

"Most likely" is a great hedge. I'll bet you a years salary he couldn't calculate what the fractile of probability is for that statement. But is sounds like it is quite certain to be bad, doesn't it?

Quote from: K-DogYour criticism of Berman is accusation without substance.
My criticism of Art is based on facts, evidence, and his own long discredited OTHER claims, more in line with his masters degree if not his history one. Past bad acts on the part of a felon doesn't mean they commited their most recent crime, but it does factor into the odds of residicisim. History might not repeat itself, but when it comes to people and their habits, it most certainly can rhyme.

If a person demands you accept that 2+2=5 is that accusation without substance?

Quote from: K-DogYou have found no fault with his argument.

An argument it is indeed. He uses WORDS. Here are some at the beginning of the article.

"Oil is more likely to peak with the crisis and then follow a weakened global economy into a longer period of softness."

Not sure what peak he is referring to, certainly not the ones he was declaring almost 20 years ago now in World Oil. But a weakened global economy and a period of softness? I can buy that. But notice how it progresses to this.

"In a world constrained by debt, weak growth, and systemic instability, it is unrealistic to assume that capital cycle dynamics from decades past will repeat."

He doesn't prove the world is constrained by debt, he states it as fact. What is "weak" growth? Sure sounds like....GROWTH.....just not.. robust growth. Gee....weak growth before has certainly brought on the Apocalypse. Systemic instability! That one has me quivering in my boots! And all of this is mentioned...why? Because he has a strawman from others to attack, in order to sell what he has been selling for decades...some semblance of Doom!

There is a reason why the rubes love this guy. Have you seen how someone who doesn't know what his masters degree taught him pimps himself? His website is much better than it used to be. You think he makes much coin off pretending to just be the nitwit that declared the world ending and didn't know that the US could produce oil from shale? Nope..he is. ART BERMAN!


"World-renowned consultant? Check. Stellar keynote speaker? Undoubtedly. But above all, he's the energy world's unfiltered voice, seeing past the haze to what truly drives our global system: Energy is the economy."

Stellar keynote speaker! Every time I've heard him do a room he READS HIS SPEECH. He can't do off the cuff for shit, and when he tries, he gets facts wrong! Important ones!

Quote from: K-DogIt appears your dislike of him seems personal.  Are you jealous?

It is personal! It isn't as though geologists get much attention, but when they do, does it have to be some nitwit who doesn't know there is oil in US shales as opposed to the next Hubbert? At least Deffeyes had a functioning brain.

Quote from: K-DogMaking your criticism worthless.

Of course. Because believers do what they do, and if he was sucking his thumb and picking his nose while giving his talks while mumbling, it doesn't matter as long as they BELIEVE the words. Similar to religion I might add, belief is a tricky thing, and the first person it usually tricks is the person doing it.

I prefer science. If Art wants to collect a crowd that can think, he at least ought to throw the economic charts out there the way S&P and Rystad do. That's where the real money is....doing something right. Flashy websites though, well, the rubes go for that 9 times out of 10. The believers? 10 out of 10.
#35
Trump Fascism / Raw aggresion, Trump war crime...
Last post by K-Dog - Apr 02, 2026, 03:59 PM
I forced myself to watch FOX news.  They don't like the gas prices but the audience was assured that what Trump was doing was for the benefit of America's grandchildren.

The substance of this article is far beyond what a FOX viewer can comprehend.  And I have to conclude after forcing myself to watch, their ignorance is evil.



STRAITSTIMES.COM2026-04-02

Full text of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian’s letter to Americans

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian posted a letter to Americans on X on April 1.
#36
Trump Fascism / Raw aggresion, Trump war crime...
Last post by K-Dog - Apr 02, 2026, 03:17 PM

EN.APA.AZ2026-04-03

Iran reports rise in death toll from bridge attack

The death toll from US and Israeli strikes on an unfinished bridge in the city of Karaj, west of Tehran, has risen to eight, according to Alborz Province Deputy Governor Qodratollah Seif, APA reports.


EN.APA.AZ2026-04-03

Strait of Hormuz to be closed to US, Israel for long time — Iranian General Staff

The Strait of Hormuz will be closed to the United States and Israel for a very long period, a representative of the Iranian armed forces, Abolfazl Shekarchi, has stated.


SABA.YE2026-04-02

Armed Forces target vital Israeli enemy sites in occupied Jaffa with salvo of ballistic missiles

Continuing our support for the resistance and jihad fronts in Iraq, Iran, Palestine, and Lebanon.  The Yemeni Armed Forces, with Allah's help, carried out a military operation using a barrage of ballistic missiles targeting vital Israeli enemy targets in the occupied Yaffa area.
#37
Trump Fascism / ‘Beyond what we could imagine’...
Last post by RE - Apr 01, 2026, 09:55 PM

POLITICO.EU2026-04-01

‘Beyond what we could imagine’: Europe’s coming energy crunch

BRUSSELS — With the war in Iran threatening to choke off energy flows for the foreseeable future, Europe is facing a supply shock that promises to cripple manufacturing, ground airlines, hike up the price of food, spike borrowing costs and send inflation spiraling back to crisis levels.


And even if the war were to end today, it would take a year before the economy was back on track, IEA boss Birol told the same meeting of finance ministers. The longer the conflict continues, the worse it'll get.

It's not ending 2day or 2moro.  Far as semi "normal" traffic thru the Straight with 150 tankers/day transiting?  BEST CASE scenario on that would be MAYBE 3 months.  First the Iranians would have to give up their Toll Booth idea, 2nd some sort of convoy system needs to be organized, 3rd insurance companies have to offer insurance, finally they have to test it a few ships at a time gradually ramping up.  1 ship gets hit, back to square 1.

So what's the over under for the global economy in 6 months?

Short the Phone Book.



RE
#38
Peak oil / Cuba's energy embargo
Last post by K-Dog - Apr 01, 2026, 08:42 PM

EN.GRANMA.CU2026-03-30

Beyond the digital noise: keys to understanding the war against Cuba

The manipulators want Cubans to keep staring at the shadows they project onto the wall: shadows of violence, chaos, and despair.


The article referenced George Lakoff.  An argument was made that three techniques, are being applied with surgical precision against the Cuba : framing, agenda setting, and gaslighting.

The article is very convincing and describes the news distortions which have been inflicted on America accurately.



MEDIATHEORY.NET2024-01-17

A Pioneer in Cognitive Linguistics & Framing

Lakoff’s work has pioneered insights into how language shapes our perceptions, beliefs, and social interactions.



EN.GRANMA.CU2026-03-31

What is the blockade against Cuba, if not punitive?

This is the question posed by Political Bureau member and Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez Parrilla, in response to recent statements from U.S. government officials denying any formal changes to the sanctions policy toward the island.
#39
War / Iran War Oil Issues
Last post by RE - Apr 01, 2026, 07:43 PM
Quote from: K-Dog on Apr 01, 2026, 06:42 PM
QuoteEngage with the actual argument.  That a wartime spike in a debt-saturated economy will destroy demand before supply can respond.  Or admit you have nothing to add.

Is still on you.  The rest is gossip.

He can't.  Art is just making the same argument as Krugman & El-Erian.  PK has a Nobel in Economics and M E-E was CEO of fucking PIMCO.  Those guys have unassailable credentials.  TDos merely takes every opportunity he can to bash anyone else in the Peak Oil community with a different spin than his.  He always resorts to Ad Hom attacks to try and undermine their credibility.  At least Art isn't an Anonymous Troll poaching collapse  websites though, regardless of what he majored in at university, so his credibility here is orders of magnitude higher than TDos.  Besides  Art's analysis is the same as PK & M E-E, so it's 3 recognized, non-Anon experts vs 1 annoying Anon Cyber Troll.  I'll side with the 3:1 opinion as an Unrecognized Multi-disciplinary Visionary Genius Autodidact (UMVGA), making it now 4:1. 😁

RE
#40
War / Iran War Oil Issues
Last post by K-Dog - Apr 01, 2026, 06:42 PM
QuoteDr Campbell, Dr Hall, and Dr Bardi demonstrate that even advanced degrees are no defense against sometimes tripping over ones past conclusions, so there is no shame for a history major turned geologist to suffer the same.

You are preaching to the choir here, we all know the difference between highly educated and intelligent in the Diner, but that argument still suffers from logical fallacy.

Doctors (Campbell, Hall, Bardi) all having advanced degrees are presumably at the peak of rigorous expertise yet they still trip over past mistakes. Then it is expected and reasonable that a mere historian also trip over mistakes.  So no shame for someone with a different background to experience the same failure as experts.

QuoteDo you have your own evidence and logical assembly to support his claims.


I do not agree that it is my responsibility to do so in this argument as the burden to refute or defend :

QuoteEngage with the actual argument.  That a wartime spike in a debt-saturated economy will destroy demand before supply can respond.  Or admit you have nothing to add.

Is still on you.  The rest is gossip.