How long do we have, nobody knows. The best we can hope is to muddle through the crises that await us - breadbasket failure, coastal flooding, heat deaths, fascism, genocide, war. Sometime soon, the global population could be under 1 billion. I don't know what the end state is. Half a billion? A million? Zero? Regardless of the end state, the transition - already underway - to get there will be terrifying.

The "end state" will be Zero, but it's likely to take a long time to get there.  It's the kind of decrease best measured in Half-Lives.  We could drop out of the Billions after just a few years or perhaps decades, but the rest of the trip down through widely scattered Millions in different geographical locations probably takes Centuries or more.  At some point it could stabilize and even rebound, but "civilization" as we know it won't exist.  When we reach Zero isn't very important.

The next decade will be Interesting Times.

RE

Quote from: K-Dog on Jul 31, 2026, 07:15 PMI looked at the estimated price when it hits the market.  $122,000 has been estimated.  Any day now.  I'm saving my pennies.

Be patient, wait a couple of years and at least one Zero will get knocked off the price.

RE

Look at the positive side.  When these Data Centers find they can't get enough power to run all those chips, a lot of those machines will get scrapped and sold for parts.  You'll be able to pick up barely used chips for pennies on the dollar.  Nothing wrong with a used chip, they're good as new.

RE

We need just ONE Proposition on the ballot in November:

Proposition A

POTUS Donald J. Trump should be Impeached

__ YES

__ NO

If  this does not come back with at LEAST 60% YES, then Amerika deserves every bit of the mayhem ahead of it.

RE

The critical point of this article comes right at the top in the sub-Header:

Without any reason for Iran to trust in negotiations, this is a one-way elevator until U.S. capitulation

This conclusion is what the markets refuse to accept as they bounce up and down with each tweet from Chump either announcing Peace is at Hand or I will VAPORIZE THE TOWEL HEADS!, often in successive posts.  In REALITY for numerous reasons, on any timescale longer than about 2 weeks, the only direction this conflict will go is toward further escalation.  There is NO common ground upon which to build a diplomatic solution and neither side will compromise on the key dispute, control over Hormuz.  Which means Trumpolini must continue raising the stakes militarily to try and take control by force.

Given that actually succeeding in achieving that outcome is close to impossible and would require mobilization of a massive ground force of grunts, more countries will be drawn into the battle as each becomes increasingly more desperate over their inability to either sell or buy Oil or Food.

What is most annoying about the whole dynamic is how long it is taking for the whole thing to evolve and how BORING this sort of war is.  There's no strategy, each side just randomly picks targets on the other side to demolish each day.  It's not even exciting video.

What Chump NEEDS is some kind of dramatic action that will justify a ground campaign, so a False Flag would be worth watching for.  If it happens close to the election that would kill 2 birds with 1 stone and give him an excuse to declare Martial Law. Stay Tuned.

RE

The interconnection between all the Oil Resource Wars has really become apparent with the latest expansion to include the Red Sea, Black Sea and Caspian Sea.  Iran is the only OPEC country with substantial reserves aligned with Russia.  The global war being fought here is designed to take as much of this oil production as possible off line, thus raising the price and allow oil flowing out of the FSoA and other West aligned nations reap Windfall profits as long as they can still refine it and bring it to market.

The main questions revolve around how long Russia can go with their revenue stream so reduced and how long the Chinese can last on their reserves and using alternative energy resources.  At some point both countries will need to more directly interfere with the oil production out of other nations to retaliate.  I can see oil pproduction facilities in Africa and South America becoming targets fairly soon.

Further into the future, the question is how long before Hot War crosses the pond to the New World?  Production facilities in the GoM would be most likely, Oil Platforms out there are Sitting Ducks.  Most of the Drones don't have the range for attacks from Iran or Russia, but it shouldn't be long before long range drones capable of making the crossing become available.  Also possible that Brasil or Colombia could get drawn into the wars as staging ground.

Finally, when, where and who will it be that becomes desperate enough to use a Fusion Nuke to really do some damage to production?  One massive H-Bomb air burst blast over the GoM could take out a dozen oil rigs without killing too many people or leaving to much area uninhabitable. Not out of the question strategically speaking.



RE

QuoteWhen  people grasp this fact of life, the bubble will pop.

Then I can have enough cards in the box to run a 80 GB model without quantization. 

* The Russian Language thread starting is gone, I think it is implemented well.  Any other language too.  I added logic that makes it impossible for any new member who has never posted in a topic to start a new topic.  The 'bots' immediately adapted and made a post in an existing topic, I forgot where it was.  I deleted it and then tested the new deletion function which deletes members who have not made a post in the registration grace period which is now set to four hours.  A new member has to make a post or the member gets deleted after four hours.  If for any reason you or I (or any moderator) does not like the post we delete it.  Without posts the new member will be deleted within and hour.  The deletion function runs automatically once an hour to check the grace period.