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#81
Tech is always to the rescue / The big AI revolution
Last post by RE - Jul 27, 2026, 08:51 PM
Quote from: K-Dog on Jul 27, 2026, 12:57 PM
Seriously, the world has too much money to invest because a growth slowdown does that. It is in the math, and it happens when limits are reached. Money collects in piles to grow, but without overall economic growth a money pile can't grow itself.  At least to the stratospheric level of unearned riches.  It piles up but can't grow. It gets hungry.


The problem is there's no money left to extract from most of the population.  The only people with surplus to spend are the rich, and there aren't enough of them.  The only biznesses that work are the ones people HAVE to spend on, like Food, Health Care, Housing and Transportation.

AI will never pay off the $TRILLIONS$ being borrowed to invest in the infrastructure.  When  people grasp this fact of life, the bubble will pop.

RE
#82
Tech is always to the rescue / We don't need no stinkin data ...
Last post by K-Dog - Jul 27, 2026, 12:57 PM


We don't need no stinkin' Data Centers. The Diner rolls its own.

Seriously, the world has too much money to invest because a growth slowdown does that. It is in the math, and it happens when limits are reached. Money collects in piles to grow, but without overall economic growth a money pile can't grow itself.  At least to the stratospheric level of unearned riches.  It piles up but can't grow. It gets hungry.

Hungry money created an imagined need for 'compute,' resulting in the biggest bubble of all time. Bubbles only happen in a bizarre world where a parasitic class reaps profit without contributing, but that is a story for another day. The point is that we are in a financial bubble that will either collapse or put god to shame with the brilliance of man. It is up to you to decide which is more likely.

Were society organized differently using sane ideas, universities could have supplied models to play with. And the evolution of the state of the art would have been developed on existing hardware, with new hardware built only as the organic need called for it, sans speculation and bad investment.

There are plenty of people like me who could make this stuff useful. A pair of RTX 6000 cards at a reasonable price would help. Currently, that pair would cost $24,000—somewhere in that ballpark. What I was able to do with $1,000 gives one-sixth the 'compute' capacity at half the speed, something like that. And the memory in this machine should not be worth over $4,000.

We have the fucking Borg taking over
, and I have to pay through the nose to have any fun.

Once again, convenience, inequality, and the accompanying foolishness kicks sagacity to the curb.

And previous generations had ignorance as an excuse.  The highly educated 21st century cretin can't say that.


QUANTABUNDANCIA.COM2026-06-04

South Sea Bubble (1720): the trade-riches story was a cover for a debt swap

South Sea shares ran from about 128 pounds in January 1720 to roughly 1,000 by August, then crashed to 100-200 by December. The real business was never trade. It was converting the national debt.


Then it was to convert the national debt.  It is to fund a new royalty based on financial conquest now.  In the land of amnesia, Americans now prefer being exploited to being free, showing that a lot can change in 250 years.

Regarding the performance of the system, I am happy. I am impressed with the results, and playing with this thing is going to keep me busy for a very long time, even without system upgrades. A single RTX 5090 would do as well as this system, and it would be faster. But an RTX 5090 currently is selling for eight times what a single RTX 5060 Ti card with half the VRAM costs.

Going with two cheaper cards yielding the same VRAM made sense. I can deal with the speed penalty. The 5060 is a slower card, but the complication of two cards is something I would have done anyway. Even with a 5090 I would keep one of the 5060 cards. That would be interesting. Sometimes they would work together, and sometimes they would not. Together, the speed could slow down to 5060 speeds, but in that configuration, the added VRAM would be there for a reason. I could use it for added context (short-term memory) when appropriate.

A fascinating configuration would be two RTX 5090 cards running together, which makes no financial sense, but which would work fine provided they were running a model that could not run without overflow on a single card and which would fill the cards without unused VRAM. The PCI bus would bottleneck power draw in that case, and a circuit breaker would not pop. Since getting both cards working on independent tasks where they both draw full power would require deliberate effort, the system would be stable. A breaker would only pop if both cards ran at 100%, and that would require programming. When cards idle, they don't use a lot of power, and some models use more power than others when they run.

The PCI bottleneck is minimal in this system and is a deliberate choice. This motherboard is intended for AI use. If the A.I. bubble bursts and I can pick up some enterprise-class cards cheap, that would rock.
#83
The American economy / Skyrocketing cost of eldercare...
Last post by RE - Jul 27, 2026, 07:55 AM

MONEYWISE.COM2026-07-27

‘It’s too expensive for most people’: Skyrocketing cost of eldercare is obliterating the chance of passing on an inheritance for many Americans

Most striking: the share of people who died with nothing left after care costs nearly doubled, rising from 6% for those who died between 2006 and 2010 to almost 11% for those who died between 2017 and 2022.


First off, "Generational Wealth" isn't measured in Millions anymore.  100s of Millions if not Billions is necessary.  Anybody truly rich sets up a Trust Fund for kids and grandkids they can start drawing on when 18 and/or manage themselves at 21 or 25.

Second, Boomers are living so long by the time they die their "kids" are already Geriatrics themselves.

The more normally rich people pay for all the stuff a kid needs to get a good start in life.  They buy the car, pay for college and grad school, at least put the down payment on the first house, invest money in the kids business like dental office or game software company, whatever.  Theoretically the "kid" should be successful enough to pay the outrageous cost of getting old for the parent.

Obviously, the thing to do is get rid of your money BEFORE you reach the point of decrepitude and get covered by Medicare & Medicaid.  Sign you house over to your kid etc.  You need to do this a few years ahead because da goobermint will look into what you gave away and who you gave it to.

It has already cost over $1M for my retirement years, more money than I earned my entire life before.  I could never have saved for it, even had I saved every penny I earned.  I didn't think I'd make it to 70, now II'm starting to think I'll live to 100, unless I starve to death from inedible food.


RE
#84

247WALLST.COM2026-07-27

Data Centers — Not Iran — Are Fueling the U.S.’s Coming Energy Crisis

AI data centers are set to consume 20% of U.S. electricity by 2035, up from 5.9% today, threatening a structural energy crisis beyond oil.  Some households are already seeing electric bills double or triple as utilities raise rates to recover data center-driven infrastructure costs


I think the Energy Crisis has past the "coming" stage and has moved into the "already here" stage.  Forget the CO2 increase, the Waste Heat alone from these DCs will drive temps up by another .5C, not to mention sucking up what little free water is left.  Plus everyone from Europe to S America wants a new AC unit.  Pretty soon everyone will need a Nuke Generator just to power their McMansion.

Power Consumption is on an Exponential Increase which clearly cannot be sustained.  Just a matter of time before this engine seizes up.


RE
#85
War / The Donbas war of liberation.
Last post by K-Dog - Jul 26, 2026, 10:21 AM

APNEWS.COM2026-07-24

Russian ballistic strike kills 10 after Ukraine’s Zelenskyy hosts US company making Patriots

A Russian attack Friday on a site near Kyiv that was hosting a defense industry event killed at least 10 people and wounded nearly 100 others, Ukrainian government and industry officials said.


I remember when, 'what goes around comes around' was a thing.  Now such knowledge is archaic.








A law of social nature which does not apply to Trump, he made a deal.  Trump is the dealmaker king.


#86
Global heating / Wildfires in Spain and France ...
Last post by RE - Jul 25, 2026, 08:53 AM

ALJAZEERA.COM2026-07-25

Wildfires in Spain and France force evacuation of more than 250,000 people

Spain’s interior ministry said the flames have ravaged nearly 10,000 hectares (25,000 acres) in the Madrid region and “between 13,000 and 15,000 hectares” in the neighbouring province of Avila. The total is more than twice the surface area of the French capital, Paris.


This is new.  I've never heard of wildfires forcing evacuations of this magnitude in Europe before.  The climate change is really taking off.  Canada, Alaska, California old newzz, but Spain & Italy?

RE
#87
Peak oil / Oil supply
Last post by RE - Jul 23, 2026, 11:55 PM
Lately I haven't even found TDoS posts even worth a comment or deletion.  Just being snide.  He doesn't comment at all on the Iran war which is my major focus of Global Collapse dynamics these days.  He just recycles Peak Oil pet peeves, which are old newz.  Nothing there.

RE
#88
Peak oil / Oil supply
Last post by K-Dog - Jul 23, 2026, 11:44 PM
QuoteHaniel did personally warn me about RE during the great "revealing" exercise. When I met RE, I didn't find him all that objectionable in person....more just....quirky. Nothing wrong with quirky.

Seems TDos does not think 'Haniel did personally warn me about RE' is not insulting another Diner which this troll knows is against the code of conduct.

Five days on top of the five days I just gave him in another thread.

If you refer to the other thread and wonder if my insults directed to TDos are a violation of the code of conduct you can stop wondering.  They are not.  When TDos is banned he is not a Diner.
#89
Peak oil / Richard Heinberg - RIP Sunday ...
Last post by K-Dog - Jul 23, 2026, 11:14 PM
He died TDos, and the first thing you do is insult and discredit him.  Your insufferable trolldom is on my last nerve.  You contribute nothing here, and have never been in Sevastopol.  If you claim otherwise, you will have to prove it, and to do that you have to reveal who you are.  Which you won't do.  So go fuck yourself.  See you in five days.  You are in the cooler again. 


RESILIENCE.ORG2026-07-23

Devastating News: The Loss of Richard Heinberg

The world has lost a voice of clear, truth-telling wisdom—a man whose work reached millions of people and fundamentally changed the lives of thousands. Perhaps that includes you. It certainly does me.

He spoke a truth few could, and can, bear.
#90
Peak oil / Richard Heinberg - RIP Sunday ...
Last post by TDoS - Jul 23, 2026, 07:06 PM
Well Richard, it was a good time wasn't it? The talent that you applied to become a decent amateur violin playerg after dropping out of college because you loved that evil weed never slowed you down from delivering results. Results in the form of books on peak oil 20 years ago, making the board of directors at Resilience.Org, inspiring tens of thousands if not 100's of thousands into the lore and fascination of peak oil end times.

I stopped in to visit your office once in Sevastopol, but the office was empty that afternoon. I had been told not to, for fear it would lend credibility to your claims, but I just couldn't help myself. You were ahead of your time in proclaiming the end and advocating for a better way, and good for you having dedicated your life to such a worthy goal. I'm glad you received some level of fame for your efforts. While your technical acumen and peak oil claims were thoroughly baseless, the ideas you espoused about how to deal with AFTER oil were worthy of a great thinker.

Hopefully, in however many decades from now when peak oil finally occurs again, and for the final time, your thoughts on the "after" part will receive the attention they deserve.

RIP Richard...you instilled legions with hope for a post oil future, a better future in general. Good for you.