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#81
Tech is always to the rescue / The big AI revolution
Last post by RE - Sep 25, 2026, 05:35 AM
Quote from: Morpheus on Sep 24, 2026, 08:57 PMWhich collapses first - AI driven stock valuations or cryptocurrencies?

I think it kind of depends what the trigger is that sets off a panic selling event.  The financial markets are experiencing a lot of volatility and instability right now beyond just the mania surrounding AI.  Treasury yields are rising rapidly and numerous countries have deep debt problems beside the FSoA.  You also have the political component of the wars and possibilities for Russia hitting other NATO countries supporting Ukraine and/or China going after Taiwan as well as further expansion of the Iran war.

In some of the scenarios I could see it being beneficial to Crypto as some perceive it as a safe haven alternative to PMs if the Bond market continues its slide.  On the other hand, if some AI Agent manages to hack Bitcoin wallets or something similar, I think a run would start with Crypto and expand from there. Crypto doesn't have the huge Capital investment and concommitant debt that's being dumped into AI.  Even if all the Crypto currencies went bust, I don't think that would take down the TBTF Banks.  An AI crash on the other hand could undermine the capital structure of even the largest investment banks like JP Morgan and Goldman.  It would take down Crypto in due course though shortly after.  It's by far the more dangerous problem.

RE
#82
Tech is always to the rescue / The big AI revolution
Last post by K-Dog - Sep 25, 2026, 04:33 AM
Quote from: Morpheus on Sep 24, 2026, 08:57 PMWhich collapses first - AI driven stock valuations or cryptocurrencies?

Crypto does not serve a real economic purpose.  It won't trigger a collapse, and stock valuations fall with the crash, but do they cause it or are they more a result of it.

I don't know that AI drives really stock valuations.  Greed has been doing it for decades, and needs little help.
#83
Global heating / Thermogeddon
Last post by K-Dog - Sep 24, 2026, 09:04 PM
QuoteSo that's how it works now? Doing the math that doesn't deliver the official authoritarian answer is disappeared?

That is why we roll our own.  AI on a data farm is where the wild dogs piss.

I bought my original RTX 3060 when it came out planning on experimenting with neural networks again.  This was before the AI revolution.  I am not a gamer.  I built my own neural network to decode Morse Code when the hot processor was an Intel 486.  I would let it train at work overnight.  I fudged the dot dash on times within specification limits to generate the training data.  I got good results.  Now that original RTX 3060 is still worth what I paid for it.  It is still entry level AI.
#84
Tech is always to the rescue / The big AI revolution
Last post by Morpheus - Sep 24, 2026, 08:57 PM
Which collapses first - AI driven stock valuations or cryptocurrencies?
#85
Global heating / Thermogeddon
Last post by TDoS - Sep 24, 2026, 05:01 PM
So that's how it works now? Doing the math that doesn't deliver the official authoritarian answer is disappeared? How Orwellian....free speech for the benign overlords on preapproved perspectives but any post that demonstrates thinking backed up with definitions and mathematics contradicting the party line dare not exist.

Like we need to worry about the MIB when their purported opponents are just midget versions jealous of how well the smarter folks are doing the same thing at scale.
#86
Tech is always to the rescue / Tokens anyone?
Last post by K-Dog - Sep 24, 2026, 04:17 PM
I figured the cost of generating summaries for 30000 articles using a server farm is about ten bucks+.

The electricity for me to do it myself is going to be five bucks using the model I am currently using which has been giving very good results.  167 hours at 200 watts.  I could do it now, but I'm going to get more sophisticated first.

The model was loaded and all I had to do was press a button to generate. the summary.

BISNOW.COM 2026-09-23

Brookings Study Shows AI’s $10T Build-Out Cost Will Likely End In Market Correction

The U.S. is pursuing a massive infrastructure push for artificial intelligence, expected to exceed ten trillion dollars by 2032, surpassing historic investments. Tech firms are taking on unsustainable debt, fueling fears of oversupply and financial instability. Growing opacity in private funding obscures systemic risks, and experts caution that unchecked growth could trigger a collapse similar to past asset bubbles despite prevailing optimism about AI’s future earnings.

It could use some fire in the prose, and I may adjust things to give it some passion later.  For now the content is factually accurate if a bit milk toast, and as the model lives inside Diner code the only censorship was what was built into it when I got it.  We have to keep our eye on it an fix it if we see blind spots.  I do not see any so far.  Unlike trying to do the same thing using a model on the net which can call your grandma a terrorist if it wants to.  Spending a few weeks polishing the summary prompt would be worth doing so not to do 167 hours twice.

A RTX 5090 would be way faster but the latest news is the consumer cards are not being shipped to retail outlets, and the product is going to Bizness customers.  The card is unobtainable and so overpriced that getting a NVIDIA RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell Graphic Card at $17,999.99
with free shipping makes more sense.

Damn I wish I had an extra 20 K laying around.














This is the motherboard on the Diner mothership.  Compare it to the picture I took of our own.  And we have all memory slots filled!

It needs that card.
#87
Tech is always to the rescue / Brookings Study Shows AI’s $10...
Last post by RE - Sep 24, 2026, 04:06 AM

BISNOW.COM 2026-09-23

Brookings Study Shows AI’s $10T Build-Out Cost Will Likely End In Market Correction

The U.S. is pursuing a massive infrastructure push for artificial intelligence, expected to exceed ten trillion dollars by 2032, surpassing historic investments. Tech firms are taking on unsustainable debt, fueling fears of oversupply and financial instability. Growing opacity in private funding obscures systemic risks, and experts caution that unchecked growth could trigger a collapse similar to past asset bubbles despite prevailing optimism about AI’s future earnings.

BWAHAHAHAHA!

That is $10T which is 95% DEBT.  Even the Equity is mostly somebody's debt, since they borrow on rehypothecated assets to leverage up.  The article Title SHOULD read:

Brookings Study Shows AI's $10T Build-Out Cost Will Likely End In FINANCIAL SYSTEM ARMAGEDDON


RE
#88
Global heating / Scientists warn super El Nino ...
Last post by RE - Sep 23, 2026, 02:56 PM

ALJAZEERA.COM 2026-09-23

Scientists warn super El Nino could cause 450,000 deaths: Should we worry?

CIL’s Adaptation Inventory recommends implementing a number of measures to help vulnerable populations cope with extreme heat, including issuing heat warnings, increasing the number of staff at medical facilities during the hottest periods, establishing cooling centres where people can shelter and implementing protections for outdoor workers.


No worries on the Heat Stress Deaths.  Drop in the bucket.  🙄

Food will be a bigger problem.  Either way, we won't know until we get a Global Census after 2030.

4 more years, it should be pretty significant.  Will we lose a Billion?  What's the over-under?


RE


INSIDECLIMATENEWS.ORG 2026-09-23

Super El Niño to Cause 451,000 Heat Deaths

A powerful El Niño is expected to trigger over 450,000 excess deaths from extreme heat within six months, with Nigeria, Indonesia, Sudan, India, and Brazil most affected. Scientists say this mirrors projected climate change impacts decades ahead, threatening health, food, water, and energy systems. Immediate action through cooling centers, warnings, and aid can save lives, but long-term investment is essential as extreme heat becomes routine.
#89
Trump Fascism / Banished to alien lands: Trump...
Last post by RE - Sep 22, 2026, 05:19 AM

THEGUARDIAN.COM 2026-09-21

Banished to alien lands: Trump’s secret deportation deals

Human rights lawyers describe these so-called third-country national arrangements as part of a “show of force” by the US intended to discourage migrants and asylum seekers from entering. People from Peru and Colombia have been sent to the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). On 20 August, four Cubans, a Brazilian and a Cameroonian refused to disembark in Liberia, and were sent to Equatorial Guinea instead.


Among the many reprehensible actions taken by Trumpolini to turn Amerika into a full blown Fascist State, this one stands out as particularly disgusting.  It's hard to believe people who claim to love the FSoA because of Freedom, Democracy and Rule of Law barely make a peep in protest against what are clearly flagrant violations of due process and basic human rights.  Even as Window Dressing Amerika doesn't qualify as a Democracy or even a decent place to live anymore. 

RE
#90
Trump / US TV networks suspend White H...
Last post by RE - Sep 22, 2026, 04:06 AM

THEGUARDIAN.COM 2026-09-21

US TV networks suspend White House pool coverage over Trump media ban

On Friday, Trump abruptly announced he was banning CNN, Politico and MS Now from the White House because, he believes, they “constantly write or report FICTION and LIES”. On Saturday, reporters and other staff from the news organizations were denied access to the White House.


Hilarious!  He should be giving them medals for slavishly dishing out his lies and Propaganda.  Could you imagine if they actually broadcast the TRUTH?  The stuff they talk about at the bar after an event?

What they should do now is stop reporting on him completely.  Not even publish his Tweets on Trump Social.  Nothing on the war from official sources.  Do REAL reporting.

Wonder how this will affect the election?


RE