The main error with the focus on "Peak Oil" is that Oil isn't the only source of energy to run industrial civilization, and there is a decent amount of flexibility in where and how you get the energy and then apply it.  Second error is it doesn't account for the population size and distribution of the energy.  I was never in the game because of a focus on oil or on CO₂ emissions and climate.  For me, collapse has always been about the economics, so once I made the connection between energy and money (my 4 part masterpiece that got attention from a couple of economists at the World Bank), it became a waiting game for when we turned the corner on PER CAPITA ENERGY CONSUMPTION.  This point has at last been reached, and it comes out as a fairly straightforward Bell Curve.



As you can see, we hit the top of that mountain in 2018, and now are skiing downhill on total energy consumption.  What will be interesting to see now is how the slope on this graph changes.  The second derivative, for you folks familiar with calculus.  Unless I miss my guess, this is where the effects on money supply will become more pronounced and less amenable to manipulation, and the slope should take a marked negative increase over the next 5 years.  It's running positive 2019-20, but probably not for long.  This graph doesn't show past 2020, so gotta wait for an update.

So mark 2018 on your calendar as the Year the Universe Changed.  Notably, this predates Covid.  Ihat should make your conspiracy radar blink.

RE