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    - Peak Affluuence

    Started by TDoS Feb 09, 2024, 04:20 PM

    Message path : / Planetary Material Conditions / Limits to growth / Peak Affluence #11


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    TDoS

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    • Master of Post-Gnostic Perspectives
    • Posts: 525
    Feb 09, 2024, 04:20 PM
    Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 07, 2024, 11:04 PMIt seems to me it is easy to get lost in the details.
    Hasn't that always been so? However, sometimes it is referred to as research, and can come in handy. Sometimes, a process or thing can't even happen with the level of details necessary to understand the entire system. Nuclear egineer types running a reactor where the cost of NOT knowing details can be a meltdown?
    Quote from: K-DogLike watching doom porn.  If frogs on a slow boil in a pot had phones they would show each other You-Tube videos of other cooking frogs until they all passed out.The point is:
    • That there has been a peak in oil extraction.
    • That modern life became dependent on oil for food shelter and clothing.
    • The consequence of oil peaking is an end to modern life and mass death.
    Nice list. I noticed there was no temporal component hinted at? For the record, we are 6 years past peak oil now, and global peak oil in 1979 went about 15 years without triggering #2 or #3.

    Quote from: K-DogIf you can find a logical flaw in the above.  Point it out.  Good Luck, you will need it.
    No need. It is as reasonable as "Sun goes out. Humans die 9 minutes later."

    But there are 2 obvious hiccups in the logic.

    A) #2 and #3 hardly require a peak oil(s) as the trigger, they are just generic human dieoff consequences for
     (fill in favorite reason). There are far more efficient and better #1's in the doomer porn world at triggering #2 and #3. Some manmade, some not, but the list of better triggers is huge and far cooler. Real pandemics, nuke war, GRB, yellowstone going boom, crop failures because of climate change on a global scale, continental sized flood basalts, so on and so forth.

    B) We've gone 15 years past peak oil before, so #2 and #3 would seem to need to sit farther out than 15 years. Given that, and the age of most of us here, we'll be feeding the worms before we need to worry about it at all.

    A quick generic question, is everyone here except me (2 kids) and Monsta (youngster) an old fart with no kids? I don't ever recall folks talking about their kids and what doomer advice they are giving them and if they are taking it from their parents. Especially when the consequences of the current peak oil reach out into the unknown only 9 years from now. 

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