Quote from: RE on Feb 04, 2024, 12:04 PMA better question is whether China will be able to rule all of SE Asia, plus Australia.  Competitors for running the show in that region would be Oz, Japan and South Korea, because it's unlikely China itself will hold together as a single political unit.  Like the FSoA, I can see China breaking up into regional fiefdoms.

The biggest variable will be the speed of dieoff and who suffers an agricultural failure first.  If China sees a failure of their rice crop first, that will create havoc there and war of course.  Impossible to know what will emerge from such a war.

RE

In terms of food vulnerability, I believe the region under the most threat are the countries within the South Asia subcontinent. India, Pakistan, Bangladesh those kinda countries are already on the edge with food availability and their farmers are struggling to make ends meet.

If you consider that the adverse effects of climate change will likely be more pronounced in this area of the world then this marks South Asia as a potential red zone already. However, it does not stop there as you also need to think of the impending energy/cost of living crisis. Add climate change to an energy crisis and then you can see how things have the real potential to get really bad really quickly. If things kick off in Asia, then this region will face the problems first. Also worth mentioning that South Asia houses close to two billion people so you're going to have a lot of displaced people fleeing to the surrounding countries.