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    - Features of collapse - Famine

    Started by RE Feb 17, 2024, 06:29 PM

    Message path : / Doom / The four horsemen / Features of collapse - Famine #6


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    RE

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    Feb 17, 2024, 06:29 PM
    Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 17, 2024, 02:26 PMYour gangs won't know what to do with the farm which can't grow anything without fossil fuel inputs.  The soil is sterile, it will take several years before live soil can grow crops.  They have no fucking seeds.

    That is an entirely different problem.  Not just the gangs don't know how to farm without fertilizer and seeds purchased from Monsanto, neither do the farmers.

    Again though, this won't happen overnight.  Just like the military will bring Food from the Farms to be rationed out in the cities. in the first year or two they'll bring fertilizer and seed from Monsanto production facilities to the farms.

    This stuff will start running out in a season or two, and the people still left will start saving seeds and shit for fertilizer.  They'll also be burying a lot of bodies.  Great fertilizer.  But of course, still less producton the next season, more fighting, more starving, more killing, more dead people.

    By the 3rd season, 95% of the people are dead.  Your land won't be as productive, but fewer mouths to feed.  At some point, equilibrium will be established.  Everybody is not gonna die.  This is not an extinction level event.  You seem to believe everybody will starve.  No.  At 99%, wild critters will be all over.  Plenty of rats running around.  They make good eating.

    The homo saps will dwindle down exponentially.  Year 1, 1/2 the people dead.  Then half again next year, etc.  I would guess by 5 years, 25=32 or 1/32nd of the original population is left and it will stabilize.  Roughly 97% die off.

    You heard it here first.

    RE

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