Quote from: K-Dog on Jun 15, 2024, 08:43 AMIn this case we could figure out what the IEC ASSumptions might be that results in their prediction.
Lots of stuff could be in there, they might even shuffle in or out different variables at different times.
I would definitely have a variable for the Baltic Dry Index, the Prime Lending Rate, Weather forecasting for el Nino/Nina, hurricane forecast, Bankruptcies in the trucking industry, Renminby-Dollar exchange rate to name a few.
If it made a couple of accurate predictions, you wouldn't need a Go Fund Me site. The model would be worth a fortune.
RE