Quote from: K-Dog on Jun 14, 2025, 12:43 PMTDoS, this is your link where you posted this graph.

And it is why you are a troll.  You wrote this and I am responding to it.

I'm a troll.....because you THOUGHT I didn't know about AEO results? I do know about AEO results. Quite some time ago. What is the point? I'm a troll...because you read provided information? This is great!!

Quote from: K-Dog

QuoteAmerican LNG exports coming online means there is some coin to be made producing NG in the US....us now being the world's largest producer of both oil and gas. And word's largest exporter of LNG. Profits to feed the capitalism beast!

Your own graph which you used to counter my assertion that:

➡️ By 2030, approximately 50% of current oil supply will be lost to natural decline.

➡️ By 2035, if demand holds steady, gasoline supply failure becomes imminent.

You posted a graph of energy of crude oil anad lease condensate. In quads. That decline is maybe 1 quad out of 29 between a maximum and 2030. So where did you get gasoline supply failure imminent? Did the EIA say that, or did you not read the graph correctly and karnacked a 3.4% drop in energy into gasoline supply failure? Jesus man, you've got more brains than that, are you posting high again or something?

As far as "demand holding steady", maybe it will, maybe it won't. But you didn't show an EIA graph of demand assumptions, they certainly exist. Did you not reference that one because it doesn't say what you did? Did they SAY "gasoline supply failure imminent!" somewhere. Because if they did, I missed that.

Quote from: K-DogJust came back to haunt you.  You published clear evidence for decline, yet you pivot into a make America great posture.  Just let let the horses run free.  Prosperity is here for those who ride.

Once again...good thing I didn't say those things. Instead I just posted that the US might be peaking. Again. And the world already has, and we all know the HORRORS that has caused. You not able to fuel up the Benz, petro chemical production cratering, gas rationing just like global peak oil in 1979....all these horrors! Obviously the MIB have been erasing all internet news of these events.

Now that you have written new code to keep the MIB out, you can post some real news showing all the rationing and people with cars that won't move because they can't get fuel and whatever? It would be a big scoop for the website!

Quote from: K-DogAfter that the discount at the gas pump you get for buying groceries is going away.

Please. Keep up. I bought a BRAND NEW EV for an easy 405 LESS than your environmentally friendly do-gooder heat pump....why in the world would I give a shit about gas pumps and discounts for buying groceries? Again...I wrote an entire post about that cheap EV ON YOUR BLOG HERE. You missed it? Or just decided to assign this strawman to me forgetting that not everyone is an ICE powered polluter of the world (you know, folks who DO use gas..or DIESEL...pumps).


Peak has always been, and always will be a given. Hubbert's math in his seminal paper in 1956 was correct. Good thing  that Hubbert also wrote (when he declared US peak oil by 1950 back in the late 30's) that there might be multiple peaks along the way!

The man was a genius. Boy was he right! 2025....yet another US peak! Now the question will be can there be more? The answer is obviously dependent on other factors, but I am currently pessimistic. But the means to make it happen might require the same sea change in the economics of resource development that has OBVIOUSLY happened multile times before. You won't find any of thsi knowledge among the peakers, and they tend to be really embarassed nowadays after their hollering and screaming and getting it all wrong the last couple of times.