America Has No Good Options in Iran
Three weeks into the joint U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, the outlines of a familiar and dangerous pattern are emerging. The current conflict may for now be significantly different than American wars in Afghanistan, Iraq, or Vietnam—it has not yet drawn in U.S. ground forces in great numbers. But the Iran war shares a deeper strategic reality with these predecessors. Washington is once again fighting a weaker regional power without having clear objectives, a defined theory of victory, and a viable exit strategy.
With no good options available, you can count on Trumpolini to choose the worst one. Kharg Island seems the most likely, even though the main result would be to further restrict global energy supply for a longer period of time. It's unlikely to do anything to get the Iranians to surrender. However, Trumpolini's moving 5000 grunts halfway around the world. He's not doing that to have them sit on the boat twidling their thumbs.
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