Monthly CO2 Update

[K-Dog]

Paul Beckwith in a long-assed video expounding on tipping points and ecological systems.

A nice video thumbnail to launch the thread.  I confess my attention span reached a tipping point.  There are only so many hours in a day. But watching it even for a few minutes is thought provoking.  I had it on while I produced and edited this post.  Consequently I exaggerate about my attention span reaching a tipping point.  I watched all of it.  Writing this post made it so.

Multiple drivers make tipping points hard crisp and certain.

But belief in the 4th of July interferes with a belief in tipping points.

Americans are too free to see.

That tipping points are real.

*  An understanding of Chaos Theory makes the conclusions of the paper Paul discusses obvious to me.  I learned from the James Gleick's book. that increased stress in a ecological system will lead to chaotic behavior.  Or in other words, collapse.

Specific parameter values assigned to reproduction and mortality rates, carrying capacities, and predator-prey interaction coefficients will influence a system's behavior. Small changes in parameter values can cause transition from stable to chaotic dynamics. 

[K-Dog]

An impressive documentary.

Like Sausages. Better Not to See Them Being Made.  Better Not to See How Fracking is done.

Profit decides how things are done.  Intelligence has nothing to do with it.

I am careful not to pollute my You Tube search algorithm with fluff.  I think this was pushed my way because of the Documentary I watched about the Permian Basin.  Which was pushed in part by recent interest in Permian Fauna.  I wish I had a transcript to help me connect the dots better.

Environmental Oversight and regulation is a scam.  Money commands human action and money wants every molecule of methane freed from being trapped without hope in dank rocky prisons.  If a single drop of oil can turn a profit, that is.  Let the Methane Molecules be free!

 

Banal evil simply follows money.  Mediocrity requires no thought.

[K-Dog]

This looks like a good place:  After a previously incomprehensible rant that has not been looked at in Aeons.

It is the sixth of the month, and I have the routine down. 

Looking back exactly a year to counter seasonal oscillation as I always do, here are the results:

Atmospheric CO2

November 2023      420.46 ppm
November 2022      417.47 ppm

Annual change:      +0.72%  <===========================

Last updated: Dec 5, 2023
Source:
Global Monitoring Laboratory


We are cooking.

Ain't it a gas.

[K-Dog]

It is the same.  It is mid month.  Is there any hope of getting this under control?  NO.

Understanding of what to do is total cave man.  We are not even smart enough to reach a consensus about what is wrong.  Shit can't be fixed when nobody knows what is broken.  And when shit can't get fixed, the only solution is to get new shit. So.

Anybody got one to sell? Can we get one from China.  On Amazon?

At the end.

I mean it is a pretty grim implication.  I mean collapse is collapse.  I do not see a way out from the predicament.  I hope there is one, but I think all systems go through periods of growth and then collapse.  And ours will come sooner than presumably later.

The only hope is growing the de-growth movement. 

Is that going to happen? 

Let me know your thoughts.

[John of Wallan]

https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/

Some information on the subject.

Is de-growth going to happen?
Absolutely. A mathematical certainty.
Its just a matter of how and when it happens...
My money is on the great SNAFU, which I believe has started....



JOW
 

[RE]

So, who is going to police these exclusion zones?  If the oil can be extracted and make 1 penny of profit, it will be.  Even if it comes at a loss, as long as the smartest guys in the room can figure out a way to cook the books or engineer loans with fictitious money it probably will be extracted.  The only way it won't come up out of the ground to be burned is when they can't access enough energy from some other source to pump it up will it stay underground.

Far as having a 5 year cushion left before the 1.5C temperature rise line is crossed,  I doubt even if we stopped cold turkey today, it would still be crossed.  There's enough CO₂ being released every year from forest fires to get the job done without burning the oil.  1.5C is arbitrary anyhow, we have enough climate problems already to have made large swaths of the available land mass less able to support their current populations, that's why we have so much migration going on.  It will get worse of course, but it's bad enough already.  Just check out the the homeless camps and shelters in any "sanctuary city" in the FSoA and Europe.

The Point of No Return has already been passed.  excluding some spots from more drilling won't save the planet.

"Take one last look at this Sacred Heart
Before it Blows
Because Everybody Knows
Everybody Knows"

https://www.newsweek.com/global-warming-oil-regions-temperature-rise-1880296

Map Shows Oil We Must Leave Alone to Avoid 'Irreversible' Climate Change

RE

[K-Dog]

M-3 is Leonard's version on my jukebox.


R-2 plays this by Sigrid


Some oil stays in the ground, and Old Joe still picks cotton.

[RE]

Not many environmental stats the FSoA compares well against other countries with, but at least on making a marginal improvement here with a slower increase in use of FFs for energy production than most other countries.  Mind you, that DOES NOT mean we decreased our use of FFs.  It only means our rate of increase slowed down by a pretty pathetic -2.7%.  That still a lot better than the Billions of Indians, who increased their consumption by a whopping 9%.

Looked at as a Global Carbon Balance Sheet, we're a loooong way from net zero, much less reducing the carbon footprint of Industrial Civilization.



https://www.visualcapitalist.com/charted-the-worlds-carbon-emissions-from-energy-production/

RE