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    The Limits to Growth

    Started by K-Dog Apr 30, 2024, 08:18 PM

    Message path : / Planetary Material Conditions / Limits to growth / The Limits to Growth


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    K-Dog

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    Apr 30, 2024, 08:18 PM
    Why should we be interested in half-century-old simulations carried out on clunky, ancient mainframe computers that were Fred Flinstone technology compared to the modern day?

    Because we're living out the simulations now.

    This year an updated version of The Limits to Growth model showed industrial production peaking, with food production peaking soon.

    As the authors caution ....

    Yada Yada Yada, so what.  It is academic and obscure like the first model.  A compartmentalized academic exercise, and if it is not reproduced so the public can understand and play with the model perhaps humanity deserves to expire.  A snarky comment you think?  No, because we are not talking about that much code.  Less code than some of the JavaScript modules I have written here I think.  I have the background to understand all of it. 

    My last professional job was restoring an IBM CRT display like the one which shows at 9:11 in the video.  The one I was tasked to restore was found in an Australian junkyard.  Half of it was missing but i was able to get to tube to work again.  The point is I understand old technology, and the desert air preserved the tube.

    New code will be able be run using JavaScript in a browser.  The master open source model model will be written in Python with modules broken down with chapters written on each to show where data comes from and how it is used.  A forum like this can be on the documentation website to answer questions, and share info.

    A dedicated website where people can go to understand the model.  I am willing to do my part to make this happen.  Start by watching this if you can help:


    The first thing to do is get a copy of the code and break it down so it can be rebuilt as an open source project.  People with the connections and abilities to make this happen, please get in touch with me.

    The first production milestones will be to reproduce the standard run.

    Brian Hayes is not a relation.  Here are two of the books mentioned in the video.  I'll be busy.

    Industrial Dynamics (Jay W Forrester)

    World Dynamics (Jay W Forrester)

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