QuoteWhat new offwhite swan wonders are in store that that remain hidden from lack of knowledge and/or confirmation bias?
Not many if any. Offwhite is the reason.
Each swan is a player in the substitution game. Conventional oil that in the early days was even artesian was replaced by a new swan that required fracking rock first and using drill rigs an order of magnitude more complex. This new fracking swan is a dirtier shade of white. Not quite as good or pure.
So then imagine the next white swan. If it is oil based it will be a darker yet shade of gray. No longer a white swan. Declining EROEI makes it a dirty grey swan.
Knowledge and confirmation bias. The world is described by mathematical relationships, and within these relationships, there is only so much possibility. A possibility that in reality is far short of what a Marvel Comic superhero can accomplish. Conservation of mass/energy and thermodynamics puts limits on what is possible.
That is not a confirmation bias, that is a fact.
* And Trump is not yet sworn in. Facts still mean something.