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    - ‘A new phase’: why climate activists are turning to sabotage instead of protest

    Started by K-Dog Mar 09, 2025, 05:36 AM

    Message path : / Doom / Global collapse / ‘A new phase’: why climate activists are turning to sabotage instead of protest #1


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    K-Dog

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    Mar 09, 2025, 05:36 AM
    Sabotage would not be necessary if more people were active.   As things are now, both Trump and Musk would be fools to travel anywhere in America alone.  But what does this have to do with sabotage?  Actions should be proportional to the number of people willing to take them.  That is the connection.

    If I am pissed enough to go postal should I meet either Trump or Musk with at a 1% chance, meaning there is a 1% chance I would use my bare hands or any close sharp object to make a strong political statement should I met them.  Then what is the chance from a million people feeling exactly like I do of a single person actually taking an action?

    It turns out there is a 88.62 chance from a million people feeling as I do, a chance that 950 to 1050 people would go carpe diem given the opportunity.


    The situation for Musk and Trump is the exact reverse of the situation Spock and Kirk are in here.


    I like it, the video is terrible so you have to pay attention to the dialog.  How does it relate?

         * In probability theory and statistics, the Poisson distribution expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time if these events occur with a known constant mean rate, and occur independently of the time since the last event.  Spock was more accurate and used the full binomial calculation which is harder to do.

    Here 'occur independently of the time since the last event' would not apply, but as in the case of school shootings, the lack of independence means a greater frequency.
         Get some popcorn.  But not for the video, it is only a minute long.  Get popcorn is for the Trump / Musk show.  I think it is a matter of time before this show has another cliffhanger moment.  If normal people are walking around muttering 'Sic semper tyrannis.' under their breath, I'll guess the probability of action is high.

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