Regarding TDoS's violations of the Doomstead Diner Code of Conduct
Catalogued Violations
Strawmanning (Severity: High):
Deliberately conflated supply, my claim with production, the graph, despite knowing the distinction.
Sarcasm/Personal Attacks (3 counts, 3-day ban each):
"Posting high again?" → Mocking
"Can't fuel up the Benz" → Ridicule
"MIB erasing news" → Suggesting I am paranoid
Action
9-day ban to commence tomorrow at a time of my choosing.
For Virgin Eyes, what this is about.
➡️ By 2030, approximately 50% of current oil supply will be lost to natural decline.
➡️ By 2035, if demand holds steady, gasoline supply failure becomes imminent.
Production is related to supply, but they are not the same thing. TDoS fully understands the difference but cares to muddy the waters. TDoS is a Troll who countered my claims with a graph concerning Production not Supply. Which was the actual content of my claim.
Even on the graph TDoS posted, by 2030 we are in steep decline. By then we will be in a different economy.
Quotethe means to make it happen might require the same sea change in the economics of resource development that has OBVIOUSLY happened multiple times before.
Multiple times, and so on. Rinse and repeat. Technology will save us, so claims TDoS. For now and forever. I say otherwise.
QuoteSo where did you get gasoline supply failure imminent?
I get that wherever I want to get it because I make my own interpretations. My analysis considers exports are going to take the place of what Americans will not be able to buy when the economy fails. I see shortages ahead when supply chains fail.
Ten years goes by in the blink of an eye. After which no preparations are made. The end will not resemble a gradual fading away. Things will go to shit fast. The Seneca cliff.
As shale output declines and imports face global competition, shortages and supply instability happens. This could happen sooner if black swan events occur, and once there are supply chain problems, they will not be easily resolved. The complexity of the oil industry means that when something goes wrong, it can be difficult to fix, and it's not as simple as just sticking a pipe in the ground as it once was.