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    Peak denial

    Started by K-Dog Sep 17, 2025, 11:54 AM

    Message path : / Planetary Material Conditions / Peak oil / Peak Oil #30


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    K-Dog

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    • Location: Seattle
    Sep 17, 2025, 11:54 AM
    It seems to me you feel like an ant walking across a pick-nick tablecloth.  You are in the middle of the table, and as far as your two ant-eyes can see the tablecloth goes on forever.  No cliff at the edge to fall from.

    America depends on cheap transportation, and electric vehicles are not cheap.  If America's car fleet goes fully electric we need 30% more electricity.  Can we do that and have A.I..  I do not think so.  Drill baby drill won't do it, and even if it could; oh yeah, there is that climate thing.  Increased electrification is showing to be a problem.

    The edge of the table is the Seneca cliff, where everything goes to shit.  By some cherry-picked measures food cost is up over 200% in three years.  The cliff approaches.

    If all you do is look at Hubbert's Peak and debate if and when peak oil happens you really do not understand the situation.  Reality does not match the pretty textbook graph, but the takeaway is there is an actual peak.  And regardless how convoluted the peak is, there is a peak followed by a decline in production.  Where life as we know it falls apart.

    By concentrating on the shape of the peak you deny the table has an edge.

    * Drill baby drill is showing reduced 'oil' cost on the graph.  Enjoy that while it lasts.  Like a person with a credit card out of control, our nation will reckon with consequences from this short term fix.

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