[RE]

Trump blockading Iran is beyond stupid.  The whole world suffers you orange dumfuck!  Iran can't export, but that is not going to do them in and by denying the world oil
 

Actually, it doesn't deny the world oil, because the Iranians will let the Chinese ships pass through, and the FSoA ships blockading aren't in the straight, they are in International Waters in the Gulf of Oman.  The only way to stop those ships is to interdict them at sea and board them.  The Chinese have already said they won't allow that, and I seriously doubt Trumpolini would have the cojones to do that and risk a war with the Chinese.  He's a bully who likes to push around the weak, not a real tough guy who will go into a fair fight.

The actual number of ships which will go thru will remain tiny until the insurance companies can assess the risk with confidence and set a price for the insurance.  That won't happen with a cease fire, only with an actual Peace Treaty.

RE

[K-Dog]

According to Professor Marandi, the most significant obstacle to reaching a lasting agreement between Iran and the United States is that America cannot unilaterally impose and dictate its conditions for an agreement. Both sides need to agree on terms, not just those imposed by the U.S.

• EXCLUSIVE: Professor Muhammad Marandi on Lebanon Ceasefire, Iran-US Negotiations, and Regional War Risks
  Reporter: Demetri Lceris | Outlet: Reason to Resist
  Date of Recording: April 17, 2026 | Location: Kamata, Greece (interview); references Tehran, Islamabad, Beirut
  
  1. INTRODUCTION & CONTEXT
  The reporter interviews Professor Muhammad Marandi, an Iranian-American academic and political analyst. Marandi was born and raised in the US, returned to Iran to volunteer in the Iran-Iraq war (1980s), survived two chemical weapons attacks, and was wounded twice. He is now a professor of English literature and orientalism at the University of Tehran.
  
  Key Facts:
  
  • Interviewee: Professor Muhammad Marandi
    
  • Date of Recording: April 17, 2026
    
  • Location: Kamata, Greece (reporter)
    
  • Lebanon Ceasefire: Announced by Trump, effective April 16-17, 2026
    
  • Iran-US Ceasefire Expiry: April 22, 2026
    
  2. LEBANON CEASEFIRE
  Marandi says the ceasefire resulted from Iranian pressure, not the Lebanese puppet government. Netanyahu resisted for an extra day until Iran threatened to strike Israel. Trump backed down.
  
  
  • Iran limited ship passage through Strait of Hormuz to friendly countries
  • Marandi ignores Trump's statements: "Nothing he says means anything"
  
  3. STRAIT OF HORMUZ
  Iran announced the strait is "completely open for the remaining period of the ceasefire" (only a few days).
  
  
  • Iran controls the pace and route of ships
  • Military vessels need special permission
  • If US continues blockade, Iran will escalate in the Red Sea
  • Marandi calls this a "masterful chess move"
  
  4. ISLAMABAD NEGOTIATIONS & 10-POINT PLAN
  Trump called Iran's 10-point peace plan a "workable basis of negotiation."
  
  The 10-Point Plan:
  
  • Non-aggression
  • Iranian control over Strait of Hormuz
  • Acceptance of enrichment
  • Lifting all primary and secondary sanctions
  • Termination of UN and IAEA resolutions
  • Compensation to Iran
  • US withdrawal from region
  • Cessation of war on all fronts
  
  What happened:
  
  • Marandi was in Islamabad but not in negotiating room
  • JD Vance had no real authority, constantly called Netanyahu
  • Vance walked away; negotiations collapsed
  • Washington Post suggested assassinating Iranian negotiators
  • Return plane diverted to Mashhad; Marandi took train to Tehran
  
  5. MOSSAD & US MILITARY BUILDUP
  Mossad chief David Barnea said Iran mission is "incomplete until regime change."
  
  
  • Marandi: "That's been the objective for 47 years"
  • Russia warned of massive US military buildup in West Asia
  • Iran negotiates to show who is reasonable, not because it is fooled
  
  6. PREPARING FOR A FOURTH WAR
  Three wars have been imposed on Iran. Iran is preparing for a fourth.
  
  
  • Iran has emptied bases and installed decoys
  • If US invades, Iran will fight "like a chess master"
  • Iran will retaliate against Gulf states (Qatar, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain)
  • Destruction of Gulf infrastructure would collapse those regimes
  • Global depression worse than 1929 would be "inevitable"
  
  7. WESTERN MEDIA COVERAGE
  Marandi accuses Western journalists in Beirut of lying about Israeli targets.
  
  
  • Israel bombed civilians, medics, hospitals, schools, not just Hezbollah
  • "Western journalists are complicit in genocide"
  
  8. FINAL ASSESSMENT
  
  
  • "Chances of another war against Iran are high"
  • Trump is a "psychopath"; Netanyahu is "worse than Hitler"
  • World has woken up; people see Iran as protagonist
  • Recommends book: "Going to Tehran" by Hillary Mann Leverett
  
  KEY DATA SUMMARY
  
  
  • Date: April 17, 2026
    
  • Interviewee: Professor Muhammad Marandi, University of Tehran
    
  • Background: Iranian-American, fought in Iran-Iraq war, survived chemical attacks
    
  • Lebanon Ceasefire: April 16-17, 2026
    
  • Iran-US Ceasefire Expiry: April 22, 2026
    
  • Iran's 10-Point Plan: Posted April 8, 2026; Trump called it "workable basis"
    
  • Strait of Hormuz: Open for remaining ceasefire period but with Iranian control
    
  • Mossad Goal: Regime change in Iran
    
  • Russian Warning: US military buildup in West Asia
    
  • Marandi's Prediction: High chance of another war
    
  • Economic Consequence: Global depression worse than 1929
    
  
  End of Extraction