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Iran War Oil Issues

Started by RE, Mar 28, 2026, 04:12 AM

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K-Dog

An excellent synopsis from India.


TIMESNOWNEWS.COM2026-04-01

How Trump’s Iran War Gave Tehran What It Wished For

As the US-Israel conflict with Iran continues, the situation has drastically shifted in Tehran's favour.

TDoS

Quote from: K-Dog on Mar 31, 2026, 08:13 PMYour criticism of Berman is accusation without substance.  You have found no fault with his argument.

Maybe. But I have found fault with the pofessional mistakes he has made in public, in front of hundreds of people, or just tens, in national conferences.Or however many were on TOD and knew someone selling an amateurs perspective when it was announced.

What is your experience with his professional mistakes and their magnitude, to believe nothing more than his AI generated argument?

As I have mentioned, folks BELIEVE things they want to believe, first and foremost. Why? Because the scientific training and experience to test out a hypothesis is rare. I can name PhDs who lack such an ability.

Art is a history major for starters. And I caught him at a SIPES meeting not knowing that when it comes to the oil and gas industry as well.

In your world K-Dog, someone who claims to know something about electricity and doesn't know the different between voltage and amps, you take their word for wiring a circuit to your satisfaction do you?



TDoS

Quote from: K-Dog on Apr 01, 2026, 10:52 AM
QuoteHow many people will Trumpolini starve?  He might out kill Hitler, Stalin, Mao & Pol Pot put together!

It comes down to if the narcissistic trapped animal will use a nuke.  But perhaps I should type 'when' instead of 'if' Trump uses a nuke.  At this point I'd bet on it.  After all, the motherfucker wants to go down in history as a big big man, and the heartless cretin will smoke people in a heartbeat.  He has shown that already.

Given the choice of knowing that a lot of Americans are about to die Trump will nuke.  He won't be doing it to save American lives, don't misunderstand.  Trump will do it to prevent the blowback from mass casualties and he thinks using a nuke will save his ass.

Exactly how far is it from Iran can't have nukes to I'm using my nuke.  Somebody get me a map.

We are now living in the time of a trapped animal, unfortunately this animal in not powerless in a bunker as his enemies close in.  He is a demented fool who will play god.



THEPOKE.COM2026-03-31

You’ve not seen a Downfall parody as funny as this one about Donald Trump’s war on Iran because it’s just brilliant

It will come as no surprise to learn it’s about Trump’s catastrophic war on Iran, obviously, but what might take you aback is just how good it is.

Everything you need to know.  Watch this Downfall clip, and you will be up to date on the war.  More will happen, but this brings you up to date.

I clicked the link/image and nothing happened. I went to the website and couldn't find the specific clip. Do we have some tech support here who can cure these kinds of basic issues? Maybe the MIB who erase stuff randomly can help out, and get stuff to work?

K-Dog

Quote from: TDoS on Apr 01, 2026, 03:19 PM
Quote from: K-Dog on Mar 31, 2026, 08:13 PMYour criticism of Berman is accusation without substance.  You have found no fault with his argument.

Maybe. But I have found fault with the pofessional mistakes he has made in public, in front of hundreds of people, or just tens, in national conferences.Or however many were on TOD and knew someone selling an amateurs perspective when it was announced.

What is your experience with his professional mistakes and their magnitude, to believe nothing more than his AI generated argument?

As I have mentioned, folks BELIEVE things they want to believe, first and foremost. Why? Because the scientific training and experience to test out a hypothesis is rare. I can name PhDs who lack such an ability.

Art is a history major for starters. And I caught him at a SIPES meeting not knowing that when it comes to the oil and gas industry as well.

In your world K-Dog, someone who claims to know something about electricity and doesn't know the different between voltage and amps, you take their word for wiring a circuit to your satisfaction do you?

Past mistakes or a history degree don't automatically apply now. If his current argument is 'AI-generated' or logically thin, point to the specific place where it is wrong.  And what do you have against history degrees.

K-Dog

Quote from: TDoS on Apr 01, 2026, 03:25 PM
Quote from: K-Dog on Apr 01, 2026, 10:52 AM
QuoteHow many people will Trumpolini starve?  He might out kill Hitler, Stalin, Mao & Pol Pot put together!

It comes down to if the narcissistic trapped animal will use a nuke.  But perhaps I should type 'when' instead of 'if' Trump uses a nuke.  At this point I'd bet on it.  After all, the motherfucker wants to go down in history as a big big man, and the heartless cretin will smoke people in a heartbeat.  He has shown that already.

Given the choice of knowing that a lot of Americans are about to die Trump will nuke.  He won't be doing it to save American lives, don't misunderstand.  Trump will do it to prevent the blowback from mass casualties and he thinks using a nuke will save his ass.

Exactly how far is it from Iran can't have nukes to I'm using my nuke.  Somebody get me a map.

We are now living in the time of a trapped animal, unfortunately this animal in not powerless in a bunker as his enemies close in.  He is a demented fool who will play god.



THEPOKE.COM2026-03-31

You’ve not seen a Downfall parody as funny as this one about Donald Trump’s war on Iran because it’s just brilliant

It will come as no surprise to learn it’s about Trump’s catastrophic war on Iran, obviously, but what might take you aback is just how good it is.

Everything you need to know.  Watch this Downfall clip, and you will be up to date on the war.  More will happen, but this brings you up to date.

I clicked the link/image and nothing happened. I went to the website and couldn't find the specific clip. Do we have some tech support here who can cure these kinds of basic issues? Maybe the MIB who erase stuff randomly can help out, and get stuff to work?

Try again.  Click the title and scroll down, the video is in the news article.

K-Dog

#35

EDITION.CNN.COM2026-04-01

What Americans think about Donald Trump’s Iran strategy ahead of his White House address

Roughly two-thirds of Americans disapprove of the US taking military action in Iran.

Trump announced his address a day ago, so the lips will be moving with content decided a day ago.  Prepare to be played, the bullshit will be 100%.  Trump will announce victories and demand Iran surrender.  That is my prediction, the con man speaks.  The mad king has you paying for his war, dying for his war, and Trump still makes bank.  Trump will not admit he was a fool, and the consequences for America will be very bad.

Trumpo will be talking about bombing Iran into the stone age.  Trump is evil, and without humanity.  The pain and misery Trump inflicts on others makes him feel like he is 6'3".


I'll conclude my forecast predicting a tornado of stupidity with a 50/50 chance of an attempt to blame things on Biden.

TDoS

Quote from: K-Dog on Apr 01, 2026, 04:24 PMPast mistakes or a history degree don't automatically apply now. If his current argument is 'AI-generated' or logically thin, point to the specific place where it is wrong.  And what do you have against history degrees.

I agree that past behavior demonstrating a lack of critical thinking, consistent logical misfires and no discernable experience in the field of international anything combined with AI could certainly generate a conclusion some might believe is reasonable. Dr Campbell, Dr Hall, and Dr Bardi demonstrate that even advanced degrees are no defense against sometimes tripping over ones past conclusions, so there is no shame for a history major turned geologist to suffer the same.

I have nothing in particular against history degrees. As I have aged, a knowledge of history has struck me as evver more useful, and even in my field of expertise, occasionally critical. After all, if you don't know the history of a particular field of endeavor, how can you even know where to begin trying to advance an understanding in a particular field?

Can you imagine some almost PhD somewhere discovering e=mc^2 and getting all excited over the discovery, just KNOWING he/she would win a Nobel for it? Such a thing could easily happen except....then you learn some history and its an "aw-shucks" kind of moment.

Apparently though Art didn't learn much about the history of oil, or take to heart much from petroleum geologists either before making his proclamations.

Do you have your own evidence and logical assembly to support his claims (you not having the known history he does of screwing the pooch regularly), or do you just agree with his conclusions? You have your own history of course, but I haven't seen you do the embarassing nonsense and claims I've personally watched him commit.

However, to be honest, in your case there is a definitive history of political belief and action that indicates you are a deep down believers in certain concepts. Not that it interferes with your overall brain function, but lets say it might be accused of occasionally....coloring.....the certainty of your conclusions.

TDoS

Quote from: K-Dog on Apr 01, 2026, 04:31 PMTry again.  Click the title and scroll down, the video is in the news article.

That is the funniest fucking thing I've seen in a long time. I was laughing my ass off so hard the wife was like "what the hell are you laughing about!!" I was getting so loud. Thanks for getting it to work, an instant classic. They shoould be playing it on the nightly news. Thumbs up!

K-Dog

#38
It is turning out to be as predicted.  No surprises.  He did try to blame the last administration as expected.  He explained how great he is and how foolish other presidents were.

America is doomed.  Trump's lies are pure fantasy.  Trump just mentioned the stone age as expected.

I SCREAM FOR 25 !!



INQUISITR.COM2026-04-01

Ex-Trump Attorney Questions President’s Mental Fitness for Office, Cites 25th Amendment

A former Trump insider escalates criticism, calling for constitutional action (invoke the 25th Amendment) amid intensifying rhetoric.


Trumps speech was a declaration of war.  The American people know Trump has cuked America even if congress pretends he has not.  I would call it a Gleiwitz speech, but the Nazis actually created a real fake incident to justify their shit.  Trump does not bother with that, and he uses incidents years and decades old which are also stained with multitudes of perspectives and interpretations of many different colors.  Trump is a very lazy tyrant.  But whatever, much of America will simply want to know what interpretation everybody is supposed to believe.  Find out which interpretation is popular in the confusion, they will adopt it.  So Trump being lazy won't matter.

K-Dog

#39
QuoteDr Campbell, Dr Hall, and Dr Bardi demonstrate that even advanced degrees are no defense against sometimes tripping over ones past conclusions, so there is no shame for a history major turned geologist to suffer the same.

You are preaching to the choir here, we all know the difference between highly educated and intelligent in the Diner, but that argument still suffers from logical fallacy.

Doctors (Campbell, Hall, Bardi) all having advanced degrees are presumably at the peak of rigorous expertise yet they still trip over past mistakes. Then it is expected and reasonable that a mere historian also trip over mistakes.  So no shame for someone with a different background to experience the same failure as experts.

QuoteDo you have your own evidence and logical assembly to support his claims.


I do not agree that it is my responsibility to do so in this argument as the burden to refute or defend :

QuoteEngage with the actual argument.  That a wartime spike in a debt-saturated economy will destroy demand before supply can respond.  Or admit you have nothing to add.

Is still on you.  The rest is gossip.



RE

#40
Quote from: K-Dog on Apr 01, 2026, 06:42 PM
QuoteEngage with the actual argument.  That a wartime spike in a debt-saturated economy will destroy demand before supply can respond.  Or admit you have nothing to add.

Is still on you.  The rest is gossip.

He can't.  Art is just making the same argument as Krugman & El-Erian.  PK has a Nobel in Economics and M E-E was CEO of fucking PIMCO.  Those guys have unassailable credentials.  TDos merely takes every opportunity he can to bash anyone else in the Peak Oil community with a different spin than his.  He always resorts to Ad Hom attacks to try and undermine their credibility.  At least Art isn't an Anonymous Troll poaching collapse  websites though, regardless of what he majored in at university, so his credibility here is orders of magnitude higher than TDos.  Besides  Art's analysis is the same as PK & M E-E, so it's 3 recognized, non-Anon experts vs 1 annoying Anon Cyber Troll.  I'll side with the 3:1 opinion as an Unrecognized Multi-disciplinary Visionary Genius Autodidact (UMVGA), making it now 4:1. 😁

RE

RE


POLITICO.EU2026-04-01

‘Beyond what we could imagine’: Europe’s coming energy crunch

BRUSSELS — With the war in Iran threatening to choke off energy flows for the foreseeable future, Europe is facing a supply shock that promises to cripple manufacturing, ground airlines, hike up the price of food, spike borrowing costs and send inflation spiraling back to crisis levels.


And even if the war were to end today, it would take a year before the economy was back on track, IEA boss Birol told the same meeting of finance ministers. The longer the conflict continues, the worse it'll get.

It's not ending 2day or 2moro.  Far as semi "normal" traffic thru the Straight with 150 tankers/day transiting?  BEST CASE scenario on that would be MAYBE 3 months.  First the Iranians would have to give up their Toll Booth idea, 2nd some sort of convoy system needs to be organized, 3rd insurance companies have to offer insurance, finally they have to test it a few ships at a time gradually ramping up.  1 ship gets hit, back to square 1.

So what's the over under for the global economy in 6 months?

Short the Phone Book.



RE