What's Cooking? Hottest Day Ever Recorded

[RE]

How many times will we break the Global Heat Record this summer?

Hottest Day Ever Recorded

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yqmv-gXS808

I"ll bet Lucky 13.     Closest guess wins a bag of ice and a bottle of Tequila.

RE

[RE]

Looks like Eddie's burner is on high.

https://247wallst.com/economy/2023/07/22/flee-texas-as-soon-as-possible/

Flee Texas As Soon As Possible

RE

[Nearings Fault]

Looks like Eddie's burner is on high.

https://247wallst.com/economy/2023/07/22/flee-texas-as-soon-as-possible/

Flee Texas As Soon As Possible

RE

hopefully he will time his exit right. He was in the Austin area was he not? He kept wanting to sell off at some point. Hopefully he will turn towards his stead.

[RE]

Still in Austin last time we spoke,maybe a year ago or so I think.  Still pulling teeth and raking in the rents as a slumlord. lol.  Seriously, his rental houses are what used to be lower middle class type, today however in that market I'm sure the rents are a small fortune.  Every time I talk  to him I ask him when he will sell out, but he always has some investment scheme brewing to make him richer than he already is, and he doesn't want to quit drilling molars and capping bicuspids.  He still has the doomstead, but he's much less of a doomer than he was.  I think he's pretty convinced the status quo will last his lifetime these days.  Bottom line, at this point I don't see him leaving TX at all, and not sure how the water situation will hold up on his doomstead.  It was doing well last year for the first time in several years, but this year doesn't sound too good.  Anyhow, we found less and less to talk about each time we spoke, so I pretty much gave up on reaching out to him.

RE

[K-Dog]

It is clear that future extremes will again break records and cause even greater damage. In particular, this is because the damage in many cases is nonlinear.
It rises more and more quickly for each increment of climate change. This should cause concern. It rationally should cause us to step back and assess what is in our economic, social and environmental interests.

[K-Dog]

I have been watching the curve for several years.  Because of the seasonal variation it only makes sense to compare dates from the same time of year.  For this reason I publish a comparison to what the CO2 level is for the current month (actually last month) against the matching month one year ago at:

KDog's excellent adventure.

Today I published July:

Atmospheric CO2

July 2023      422.14 ppm
July 2022      418.85 ppm
Annual change:      +0.79%

Last updated: Aug 5, 2023
Source:
Global Monitoring Laboratory

The important thing is what the automatic percentage calculation yields.  Last month showed an annual increase that is huge.

Annual change:      +0.79%

Kinda close to a one percent increase in only 1 year.  Doom is served.  Green plants are not sucking CO2 as hard as they were last year.  Could it be because it is getting too warm for verdant growth?  I hope not!

The problem is CO2 concentration limits plant growth.  More CO2 means more plant growth, because there is ample sunlight to support faster growth.  CO2 is the normal limit.  Water is also needed for verdant plant growth.  Higher temps could dry plants out.

Higher summer temps could also raise plant metabolism causing plants to respire and release CO2 trapped earlier in the day.

The highest year to year variation I have seen is from last months' data.  This is not good.

[RE]

The problem is CO2 concentration limits plant growth.  More CO2 means more plant growth, because there is ample sunlight to support faster growth.  CO2 is the normal limit.  Water is also needed for verdant plant growth.  Higher temps could dry plants out.

Higher summer temps could also raise plant metabolism causing plants to respire and release CO2 trapped earlier in the day.

I think an even larger factor is the increasing Ocean Surface Temperature.  Ocean covers 75% of the earth surface, and phytoplankton contribute more oxygen to the atmosphere than land plants do.  I do not know however how warmer temps affect the oxygen production of phytoplankton.  On the one hand, it might increase their metabolic rate producing more; on the other if the temp is too hot it might be killing them off, thus reducing production.



RE

[K-Dog]

I did some Googling and found that the oceans produce about half of the Oxygen the Earth produces, and that ocean critters use it up.  So under normal conditions the Ocean O2 contribution cancels out.  But if things get unbalanced the Keeling curve might go bonkers.

The global ocean hit a new record temperature of 21.1 ºC in early April, 0.1 ºC higher than the last record in March 2016.

Light from the sun is essentially constant.  Warm plants consume more oxygen than cooler plants do.  Less surplus oxygen is released in warm conditions because of increased metabolism.  Oxygen production is temperature independent.  Photon capture happens at a fixed rate.

[K-Dog]

"The worst fire season in Canada – in 2021 – is estimated to have caused direct emissions of 290 million tons of carbon-dioxide equivalent. This is about 43% of the emissions from all other sectors in Canada – only – in 2021."

This year is three times as bad.  The fires could be slamming the annual Keeling variation enough for me to have noticed.  Mystery solved.  News articles are big on pointing out that the contribution of wildfires is far less than CO2 generated by humans.  That amounts to a distortion of facts.  Humans bad, nature good.  That story. 

The wildfire CO2 is not coming out of the atmosphere any faster than the CO2 that people put there.  Bad news.

The fires are another brick in the wall.

I expect the step to almost 0.8% annual variation to persist until a year has passed.  Then it will fall back to the human generated rate of 0.6% or so.

[RE]

Cross Hawaii off your list of Bugout Locations.

https://apnews.com/article/maui-hawaii-fires-lahaina-destruction-evacuation-38ec0d6a5c610035a0a72b804fcdffe0

Death toll from Maui wildfire reaches 89, making it the deadliest in the US in more than 100 years

RE

[K-Dog]

And 1000 are still missing.

Satellites with magnifying glasses attached ?



Round up the usual suspects.

 

[RE]

Started this thread with the hottest day ever recorded, now we have the hottest year.  A full 12 months surpassing the 1.5C degree mark.  How long until we make it to 2C?



https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-68110310

World's first year-long breach of key 1.5C warming limit

RE

[monsta666]

Started this thread with the hottest day ever recorded, now we have the hottest year.  A full 12 months surpassing the 1.5C degree mark.  How long until we make it to 2C?

According to NASA figures the world first exceeded 1C of the pre-industrial mean in 2016. If the current rate of increase were to occur then we can expect 2032 to be the year we go over the 2C threshold. What would Greta Thunberg think of this?

[K-Dog]

This is not a hard question.  The Berkeley Earth project, which conducts independent analyses of global temperature data, estimates that global warming surpassed 1 degree Celsius ain 2017.

This is 2024 and the current level was not supposed to happen until 2030 according to the IPCC.  That was then, this is now and 2030 no longer has meaning so:

(2024 - 2017) * 0.85 = 6 years !

The 0.85 fudge factor I get to use because I have been watching the CO2 levels accelerate.  The blip down from COVID is 'ovah'. Further I took a look at the CH4 concentration yesterday.

The Permian Basin Play is putting out methane like there is no tomorrow!

[K-Dog]

There you go RE,  I say 2030 and Monsta says 2032.

At that time it is reasonable to expect the Climate Fuckification Index to be twice what it is now.  With all the bugs gone it will be pegged in the red.



Smack on 2.  And too far in the red, Zed is Dead.