Quote from: K-Dog on Apr 04, 2025, 07:46 AMFor the last few months I have wondered if I am a fool to keep all my retirement dead labor in low yielding cash equivalent accounts, and out of mutual funds.

I am not feeling like a fool today.  What a mutual fund would earn in a year has been wiped out in two days.

Neither do I. During the Valentine Day massacre I unloaded nearly every market tracking fund I have been using for 12 years and went into the meager low yield accounts that don't give a crap about the market.

This is the 3rd time I've tried to time things, and the two I've gotten right have more than made up for the one I got wrong. 2008 I bailed in the spring, and then watched the markets disintergrate within 6 months. Moved back in when things reversed. Did the same in 2011...that one was a bust, but I didn't go all in like 2008, it just didn't have the same feel to it. But this February, and being older and closer to retirement, I moved...oh....say...far more than I ever have, and far more than what I sold my parent's house for last summer, this one was a close run thing.

It has always seemed more reasonable and easy to jump out of the markets than back in. And at my age, who wants a hit on their mailbox money?

Quote from: K-DogTrump is the king of me me me.  Yet he has passed for an adult for decades.  Bravado and inherited wealth can go a long way.

So can brains and balls. But at the end of the day it comes down to who can generate results, and who can't. 

Trump definitely gets results.  That's the problem.

RE

Minnesota saw 14,000 in Saint Paul.  Doing a quite reasonable and complicated mathematical calculation based on the population of state capitals in all fifty states yields.

Approximately 4,120,200 people. I won't bore you with the details.





* So skip it if you wish :

1. Base Attendance:

    St. Paul, Minnesota: 14,000 attendees (representing 4.67% of the population of 300,000).

2. Adjustment Factors:
    Commuting Distance:
        States with short commutes (less than 20 miles/day) saw an increase in attendance by 20%.
        States with average commutes (20-30 miles/day) had no adjustment.
        States with long commutes (over 30 miles/day) saw a 20% decrease in attendance.
    Demographics:
        States with younger populations saw an increase in attendance by 20%.
        States with average demographics had no adjustment.
        States with older populations saw a 10% decrease in attendance.
    Political Engagement:
        States with high political engagement (active political participation) saw an increase of 15%.
        States with average political engagement had no adjustment.
        States with low political engagement saw a 10% decrease in attendance.
3. Factors for State Capitals:
    Each state capital was analyzed based on:
        Commuting distance (e.g., urban vs. rural).
        Demographic characteristics (e.g., younger population, more urban, more liberal).
        Political engagement (e.g., history of activism, high civic participation).
4. Formula for Adjusted Attendance:
Adjusted Attendance=Base Attendance×Commute Factor×Demographic Factor×Political Factor
    This was applied for each state capital.
5. Total Calculation:
    The attendance was adjusted for each of the 50 state capitals, then summed to give the total estimate of 4,120,200 attendees.
This calculation considered commuting behavior, demographics, and political factors for each state capital to create a more nuanced estimate of protest participation across the U.S.

The model says Phoenix should have double the turnout.  Dumpster diving across a few Arizona news sources showed that appeared to be the case.


Now would be a good time for Trump and Musk to show their love for the American people.  Drop in at a local Mickey Ds or dine at a Dennys.



Order a McSnitch or have a Denny steak.  Ask the people, ' Hows things going ?

Quote from: RE on Apr 05, 2025, 05:02 PMTrump definitely gets results.  That's the problem.

RE

Well....he certainly has caused heartburn and wild enthusiusm among folks, and what he says and does has consequences, but results....those need a frame of reference. If stopping the "invasion" of America is a "result", but the consequences could be higher food prices because 'MURIKANS aren't about to work for the wages paid to pick fruit, what!?!?! Get DIRTY!!! HOT! I'll sweat!

Americans are such pussys nowadays, and we raised our kids that way.

Before                                                                                        After

No Trump in the second picture.  Trump did not have the cards, and he was not playing with a full deck.  Sycophancy wraps Trump like a warm blanket in Washington.  International relations are a different game.  In that game Trump is out of sync and will sink.

Quotethe most effective people in his cabinet also know better than to try giving him any long explanations verbally.

Effective people in a Trump cabinet is an oxymoron.

There is one exception.  While not effective, Trump can keep up with the short guy.

Quote from: Goldernen Oxernen on Apr 07, 2025, 04:06 AM

Quote from: TDoS on Apr 06, 2025, 06:27 PMGoodness, who ever assumed the guy could think in the first place? He has some kind of quality, persona maybe, that occasionally looks like a non-chimp intelligence level, but the instant it is tested in some way..."gee Mr President, you said XXX, what did you mean?" subject changing slogans and psychobabble bullshit is what comes back.

And that is why when they say in the article that Trump says he hasn't read Agenda 2025, I believe him.

I can as well. Chris Christy gets on TV every Sunday morning and says that's the one thing he doesn't ever do. Read.

Quote from: Goldernen OxernenI think the most effective people in his cabinet also know better than to try giving him any long explanations verbally.

Big font titles on glossy pictures of stuff is probably about as close as they get to passing along "information" to his diminished level of...firing neurons.