What a fucking farce! The "deal" which was supposed to be signed yesterday which now won't be signed until Friday which NOBODY HAS ACTUALLY SEEN gets announced on Chump's 80th birthday with lots of fanfare and blood & guts with a UFC Cage Fight on the WH Lawn & the stock market does the requisite pump while oil prices dump.  KA-CHING!  WTF buys this shit?

Unless the deal is PUBLISHED for everyone to read first, either side can say the other side changed the wording when they get to the signing ceremony.  There already are obviously different concepts of what this deal supposedly says.  Beyond that, Bibi already says he's not leaving Lebanon, and I can't believe Iran considers Israel keeping all the land they are occupying as a satisfactory end to the war.  Lebanon doesn't get any war reparations?  Come on!

Then the lie that Hormuz is open with toll free passage?  Iran has already said they will run Hormuz together with the Omanis.  Finally, Bibi already says he doesn't accept the agreement, which he hasn't even seen either since he's not in the loop on the negotiations.

So, more bombs will drop this week until MAYBE Vance Dances over to Switzerland, both sides come to the table waving different pieces of parchment claiming the other side changed the wording, and nothing gets signed.  Great Theater!  lol.  Maybe they'll have a fist fight on stage.

Anyhow, 5 days is a long time and other scenarios are quite possible as well.  Chump might still just be using this for cover of a sneak attack on Kharg Island or he might go ahead and Nuke Tehran.  The chances of any meaningful MoU being signed Friday remain slim and none.


RE

I guess the point is to make Trump think he has a deal so fewer bombs drop, some oil flows, and the chance of getting nuked drops.

Humor the man without humor.

There is no deal as long as Israel continues to act like their daddy, NAZI Germany !!

Though it's unclear exactly what the Friday signing will mean if the deal has already been signed digitally. The vice president did say that the full text of the agreement would be released at some point this week and that negotiations were expected to continue.  The exact contents of the agreement is still unclear, and he remained vague about what specifics were in the the text of the already-signed agreement.

This actually *sounds* like real progress, but it does remain to be seen what the agreement actually says.  Most unclear is what "open" really means as far as shipping is concerned.  Also what the Israeli refusal to back out of Lebanon means.

Let's see how the week plays out.

RE

In the Name of God, the Most Compassionate, the Most Merciful

The noble people of Iran are hereby informed:

The Islamic Republic of Iran, under the guidance of its martyred Leader, has completed its achievement of superiority over the American-Zionist enemy. Under the directives of the Leader of the Islamic Revolution, with the support of all segments of the Iranian people and the tireless efforts of the fighters of Islam, and following several months of difficult and intensive negotiations, the text of a memorandum of understanding on negotiations to end the war was finalized between Iran and the United States on the evening of June 14 in Islamabad, in accordance with a resolution of the Supreme National Security Council.

Under the agreements reached, the war and military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon, will come to an immediate and permanent end starting tonight. In addition, the naval blockade against Iran will be lifted immediately and in full. The memorandum of understanding will be formally signed on Friday, June 19.

Negotiations toward a final agreement will be deferred until after the implementation of the other side's commitments in accordance with the memorandum of understanding.

The Islamic Republic of Iran expresses its appreciation for the efforts of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan and the State of Qatar.



Under the agreements reached, the war and military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon, will come to an immediate and permanent end starting tonight!




The denial of service attacks may have stopped.  For quite a while the page was blocked by low orbit ion cannons.

Trump, to honor the peace has to tell Israel to get out of Lebanon now or you, Israel will not be provided with any Americans arms and aid starting yesterday.  If you don't get out of Lebanon now Israel, I am going to shove a presidential order cork up your piggy bank's ass.

I do not expect in my wildest dreams, that Trump is able to do this.  He has no balls.



Read this if you want to understand what Iran expects.

Will the deal even make it to the end of the week?  It's hard to see how there is any way for Chump to spin this as a win even if it does.  The Nuke issue won't be resolved in 60 days, and I doubt they'll release anywhere near the $300B Iran wants to clean up thee mess, even if it's aactually their own money anyhow.  The Israelis are more entrenched than ever, and Bibi actually looks moderate compared to his critics over there.  The Insu7raance companies aren't gonna be lowering their rates anytime soon, so I doubt we see a flood of ships sail out of Hormuz either.

RE

So, the MoU is already essentially null & void.  Until Israel leaves Lebanon, there is no reason for the Iranians to fulfill any of the promises they have made on their side of the deal.  So far as Hormuz being open, it may be but you still gotta pay a toll.  So will any sanctions be lifted or money released?  No, not as long as the Iranians are charging a toll.  Will they start discussing the Nuke issue?  Nope, because the other shit has to be resolved first.

IOW, the MoU is about as meaningful as the ceasefire.  Nothing has changed.  Just a few less bombs dropping, mainly because they are running out of ammo,

RE

Days after Trump applied his electronic signature to the agreement, the exact terms of the pact remain known to only a few. Neither side has published the one-and-a-half page text that was formalized in the virtual signing Sunday, leading to sometimes contradictory statements from Washington and Tehran. Even officials inside Trump's government offered slightly different takes on how the plan would work.

SHOW ME THE MONEY!!!
RE

QuoteJust a few less bombs dropping, mainly because they are running out of ammo,

True that. But Iran is expecting accountability, and making a deal with the US from their point of view weakens Israel.  The rub is that Iran is expecting America to force Israel to fall in line.  That is where things break down.

QuoteCitrinowicz* further noted that if an agreement between Tehran and Washington is finalized, Israel will face a strategic reality it cannot alter. He argued that the U.S. administration has little appetite for returning to military confrontation with Iran, a position that enjoys considerable support across the American political establishment.

* Danny Citrinowicz, a senior researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies
40 Haim Levanon St.
Tel Aviv, 6997556
Israel

And this is the source of that :

Is somebody going to inform Bibi?

RE

You heard it here first!  As I said, the deal is meaningless as long as Israel has troops in Lebanon.  The Iranians don't have to do anything until that happens, they can just sip Margueritas.  Of course they knew Bibi wouldn't pull out, it's Political Suicide for him in Israel.

What will this mean as far as Hormuz is concerned?  Well, they WANT it open, because they HAVE to sell their Oil, otherwise they'll have to shut down wells.  They're out of storage space.  Chump wants it open, otherwise we get a Global Recession (which is probably already baked in the cake anyhow).  However, there won't be any negotiation on the Nuke issue.

I wonder how many ships have actually sailed thru since the signing?  No newz on that yet

RE

They really need to STOP using the word "CEASEFIRE".  It has completely lost any meaning whatsoever.  Even putting it in quotes doesn't fix the damage done to this word.  Webster's or Oxford or needs to sue.

Supposedly Witicoff flew out this morning to negotiate, which guarantees nothing will get done.  He couldn't negotiate his way out of a paper bag.

RE

Back to Square 1.

What effect did this have on Oil Prices?  Practically none.  Oil still trading at $76.  What does that tell you?  What it tells me is that Demand Destruction has already set in.  Everybody who can't afford over $80/bbl has dropped out of the buyers market.  Thus, even with Hormuz closed, there is plenty of oil available for buyers at $76.

The problem of course is that even for economies that can afford the current price, it's taking money out of Konsumer pockets they would have used to buy other things, like new carz and toys for the kids and vacations.  Thus economies slow down, biznesses lose customers, jobs are lost, recession sets in.

What's Chump's next move?  Politically, I'd say he HAS to sanction Israel.  He's gotta prove "he's the BOSS".  What sanction would bite hard enough?  I'd say no more Patriot missiles for defense.  Israel would be a sitting duck for Hezbollah missile attacks.  Will he have the balls for that?  Probably not.

RE

I wrote earlier that Trump needs to keep the war going.  The challenge for Trump is that his ability to keep the chaos that he generates by existing, and which he needs like air to stay alive manageable is not possible.  Trump grabbed a tiger by the tail and can't let go.  The minute he lets go the Epstein files bite him.  Never have things been more out of control for Chump, so he needs chaos like a dying man in a desert needs water.

Did Epstein give Israel pictures of Trump with his cock inside a little girls mouth through his Mossad connections.

Or not.

Did Epstein have Mossad connections?  Did Epstein like money?  Did Epstein have pictures of Trump with his cock inside a little girl's mouth?

To construct a statement using Aristotelian logic that establishes Trump is compromised by Israel we must proceed with a logical deduction.

Assumption 1 (Major premise): Epstein had connections to Israel, specifically to Israeli intelligence services.
   
Assumption 2 (Minor premise): Epstein had pictures of Trump with his cock inside a little girl's mouth.
   
Conclusion: If Epstein, had connections to Israeli intelligence services, and had compromising pictures of Trump, it logically follows that Trump is compromised by Israel through these connections. 

Money being the prime mover.

* And in a democracy, and if America had a congress, that would be impeachable.

The text was translated from Persian, that is why it is a bit funky.

It's definitely no coinkidink that Chump started the war right when the heat was turning back up on Epstein.  If Mossad does have Pics or other evidence of his sexual escapades with Jailbait Escorts though, this would be about the  time to leak them.  Problem of course is Chump has the MSM so intimidated even if they get a 250 GB hard drive delivered by FedEx to the editors of the NYT, WaPo and Faux Newz complete with .mov files featuring The Donald's best Money Shots after the Bethesda Junior High Homecoming game they won't make it out of the office.  Even Wikileaks is pathetic these days in terms of getting any real information out of the Black Hole of the FSoA 4th Estate.

I do agree though that eventually His Trumpness will succumb to his own incompetence and Entropy will win the day.  So many things are spinning out of control now it can't be contained and covered up with perpetual lies.  We just need to be patient and he will hang himself.

RE