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Technique of war

Started by K-Dog, Jun 16, 2025, 11:57 AM

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K-Dog

HOW IRAN COULD USE MATH TO BEAT THE IRON DOME 

Let's say Iran wants to make their missile strikes more effective against Israel's Iron Dome - especially if they start using hypersonic missiles. Math could help them figure out the best attack strategies based on what's worked before. Here's the breakdown:

1. CRUNCHING THE NUMBERS ON MISSILE SUCCESS RATES

   - Odds of Getting Through: 
     They'd look at past attacks to calculate the chances different missiles have of slipping past defenses: 
     * Regular ballistic missiles (let's call this PBM) 
     * Hypersonic missiles (PHM) 
     (Hypersonics should do better because they're faster, can maneuver, and fly lower) 

   - Real-World Stats: 
     If they launched 100 regular missiles and 10 got through, PBM = 10%. 
     If 20 hypersonics were launched with 8 successes, PHM = 40%. 

   - Hitting the Target: 
     Even if a missile gets through, there's another calculation for whether it actually hits its target - depends on how accurate the missile is and how big the target is.

2. FINDING THE BEST ATTACK STRATEGY 

   - Missile Math: 
     They could use advanced math (called MILP) to figure out: 
     * Which targets to hit with which missiles 
     * How to cause the most damage with what they've got 
     The formula would weigh: 
     * How valuable each target is 
     * How many missiles they have 
     * The odds of each missile type succeeding 

   - Predicting the Defense: 
     Since Israel would adjust their defenses, Iran might use game theory to guess where Iron Dome batteries would move and plan around that. 

   - Overloading the System: 
     If the Iron Dome can only handle so many missiles at once, Iran could calculate exactly how many to launch at the same time to overwhelm it.

3. OUTMANEUVERING THE DEFENSE 

   - Smarter Flight Paths: 
     For hypersonic missiles, they'd use complex math to: 
     * Fly where radar coverage is weakest 
     * Make last-minute dodges to avoid interceptors 
     * Keep changing routes so defenses can't predict them 

   - Learning from Experience: 
     By studying how Iron Dome reacts to different attacks, they could simulate better approaches for next time.

4. CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 

   - Pattern Recognition: 
     Advanced computers could spot weaknesses in Iron Dome's responses - like: 
     * Where it's slow to react 
     * How many missiles it can handle at once 
     * Favorite interception spots 

   - Live Adjustments: 
     They could tweak attacks in real-time based on how defenses are responding. 

   - Updating the Playbook: 
     As they get more data from each attack, the math gets better at predicting what will work.

THE BOTTOM LINE 

Math would help Iran: 
- Know which missiles work best 
- Use their limited missiles most effectively 
- Develop tricks to avoid interception 
- Keep improving their tactics 

Of course, this all depends on having: 
- Really smart math people 
- Powerful computers 
- Good data (which is hard to get) 
- Time to work all this out 

Israel has their own mathematicians.  It would be good for them to think about all this, and perhaps consider the cost of continuing to walk the path their leaders have them walking on. 

Then perhaps they could get rid of their right wing Zionists genocidal murderers who are bent on bringing the world to Armageddon.