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Summertime

Started by K-Dog, Jul 06, 2025, 06:43 PM

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K-Dog

Ten inches of rain in a short time on saturated ground over multiple counties.

The death toll so far is 79, it will go up.

How Global Heating Causes Extreme Rain:

The Science Explained


1. The Basic Physics: More Heat, More Water
For every 1°C of warming, the atmosphere can hold ~7% more water vapor—like a sponge expanding. This is a logarithmic relationship: small temperature increases lead to accelerating moisture capacity.
→ At 2°C warming, storms can dump 14% more rain in extreme events PIK Potsdam.

2. Why Rain Turns Extreme
Warmer air doesn't just hold moisture—it unleashes it violently:

    Convective Storms: Hotter air fuels stronger updrafts, creating towering clouds that rain harder and faster.

    Stalled Systems: Heat domes trap rain for days (e.g., 2021 European floods).
    → The heaviest 1% of rains now deliver 20% more water per degree Nature Study.

3. Worse Than Linear: Feedback Loops

    Tropical Regions: Higher humidity = exponential rain risks (e.g., Pakistan's 2022 super floods).

    Colder Areas: More snowfall from the same mechanism (Arctic warming).
    → Once-a-decade storms may occur 2.5x more often at 2°C NOAA.

Key Takeaway
Global heating doesn't just increase rain—it distorts how rain falls, making extremes more sudden and severe. Each degree matters.

K-Dog

#1
The Diner Troll continues to return, and as usual he is tolerated until he gets insulting.  That is pretty much getting to be right away as things are going.

TDOS has been told not to refer to the Diner membership as three old geriatrics several times.

TDOS You forget I am the Übermensch who pays the bills, and who writes the code.  It is sort of like I own the place.  RE and I make the rules.

QuotePlot the relationship between x:y (1:7) and x1:y1 (2:14) and try not to get a straight line. Avoid admitting as best you can that this is EXACTLY why only one of us is still working at our professional peak while the other "elderly gentlemen" are left with being happily stoned stupid or a ward of the state.

TDOS I could delete your post for that, and give you another three days off.  <-----  And I just did.

For someone who is thousands of miles away you sure know a lot about me.  Your clairvoyance is beyond belief.  And still working at your professional peak implies that you are a professional troll because otherwise you would not be arguing with a former engineer with a Masters Degree about an exponential that is piecewise linear with a slope of 7 around the data point of interest.  You would be too busy at your real job, or you must hate your real job with a passion to bother coming here where you only get suspended over and over again for being rude and insulting.

*  I am not feeding the troll.  I just suspended him for three more days.  AGAIN


The statement
QuoteFor every 1°C of warming, the atmosphere can hold ~7% more water vapor—like a sponge expanding
is a good analogy that captures the essence of a fundamental physical principle governed by the Clausius-Clapeyron equation.

The "7% for every 1°C" rule (sometimes cited as 6-7%) is an empirical observation derived from the Clausius-Clapeyron equation. When you plug in the relevant physical constants for water (like the latent heat of vaporization) and consider typical atmospheric temperatures, the equation shows that saturation vapor pressure indeed increases by roughly this percentage for each degree Celsius of warming.

RE

#2
Ward of the State?   Last I checked, I am a disabled citizen who's using his medical insurance to reside in a post acute care rehab facility.  It's not a prison or an orphanage.  So besides trying to insult me, he's inaccurate.  Even if I was a ward of the state, there's no shame in that.  Is it shameful to be an orphan?  It happens.  I got injured and have medical issues.  It happens.

At least I'm not so unhappy with my life I  entertain myself by trying to insult people on the internet.

RE