Quote from: Goldernen Oxernen on Apr 16, 2025, 05:12 PM

Quote from: TDoS on Apr 16, 2025, 03:50 PMYou are mistaken. I've never been paid to mislead anyone about anything, such is not the point of the world of science I am familiar with. And since when was telling people that peak oil occurred 7 years ago now misleading?

And that would be a reason for keeping the academic and alphabet agency work as one hand not knowing what the other is doing and regularly deleting posts . 1890 is more than 7 years ago.

You seem to be wandering farther afield than I can follow. What is an alphabet soup agency, are you referring to the USGS and Hubbert's work for them? Deleting posts certainly has nothing to do with being misleading....it is more like  retrieving the pearls after they've been dropped and no one seems capable of undestanding that they are indeed pearls.

What does 1890 have to do with anything? The first credible "end of oil" was claimed in 1886, so if that claim by JP Lesley is what you're referring to, you are off by a few years.

Quote from: TDoSI don't recall ever brandishing a weapon at a deputy or county official in my life, did you actually DO this and suffer the consequences of it? Or was this just a hypothetical?

I did say also "meter reader or similar". You recounted running someone off the property
with a firearm and landing in legal trouble for it. My point is at that time it didn't come under an agenda category of crime to make it fit, make it stick, or you would unlikely have gone free.

Oh my goodness yes, I certainly ran someone not off my property, but out of the very trailer we lived in! At like 2AM after they broke in. Where you live, is it illegal to defend ones home from folks breaking in? The legal trouble wasn't mine in that case but theirs. And there was nothing to "go free" from. I wasn't arrested or even hassled by the police, I did have to testify in court though. 

If by "legal trouble" you are referring to another incident involving perfectly reasonable defense of ones person using a firearm, again, is self defense not permitted where you live? Because here in America, it is perfectly legal.

Quote from: Goldernen OxernenImagine stating during questioning that a 5 year old would need to be severely retarded to not know they would be hurt if they fell 4-5 ft onto a tiled floor. A tribunal panel of legal experts and a PhD psychologist then state you called someone "a retard" as one of many false misquotations in their reasons against your evidence. Mental Retardation being a clinical term the psychologist on the panel and signing off must be familiar with.  All mammals having an innate fear of falling, clearly saying "severe mental retardation refers to profound developmental delay. And so on up in the 🦘 kangaroo court system.

imagine if we all made up scenarios and pretended that the exception was the rule. Good thing exceptions are exceptions, and not the rule.

Quote from: Goldernen Oxernen

Quote from: TDoSBoy did YOU miss all the really COOL doomer stuff of the early 21st century. Where were you, this stuff was everywhere, the Diner had some of those folks who just LOVED Planet X and some of the more entertaining ones. Can you imagine, back then China going down the tubes was considered a near given, as opposed to battling the US for global economic dominance. It was all over the Diner, did you miss it? Were you locked up somewhere or didn't have internet available?

RE insisted China is toast, counter to my own opinion they were and are thriving. Even here, what happened to Evergreen collapse?

I don't know what an evergreen collapse is. Did a pine tree fall on your house?

Quote from: Goldernen OxernenGiven that most people were not deleting all their posts on the diner, do a search of the old archives and show anyone saying Planet X was going to knock 🌎 Earth out of orbit.

Given that the Diner no longer exists and therefore there ARE NO POSTS AT ALL, I'm not sure what you're getting at? i simply evacuated the burning building early.

Someone sure did like Planet X and Nirubu big time back in the day! You seriously don't think the Diner was the only place attracting folks who vanished into the ether when it turned out that peak oil came and went, Mayan calendar day came and went, and the world just...kept...spinning...do you?

If you remember the Diner, you remember the level of activity through time. It got big when folks could be talked into the world ending, and when it didn't, wasn't getting bigger. It wasn't because the place was burning down, but because the world burning down turned into economic boom times after the 2005 peak oil, and the 2006 one, and the 2008 one, and so on and so forth. It was boredom. Doom never came. If you compare that, to the modern version, even the big and well known ones like peakoil.com, and TOD, the enthusiasm seems to have vanished into Qanon and other interesting topics rather than the REAL problems the planet has.

Quote from: Goldernen OxernenI also recall soneones expressed dislike for the farm life.

Damn straight. You want it, you keepit. I didn't even know how bad it was until I went to college. You want to scratch your life out of the dirt in the holler, have at it and enjoy. But don't expect all of us who lived that life to join you once we've escaped. Selling poverty is harder than selling peak oil consequences nowadays, 7 years after it finally happened.

Quote from: Goldernen Oxernen on Apr 16, 2025, 05:12 PMRE insisted China is toast, counter to my own opinion they were and are thriving. Even here, what happened to Evergreen collapse?

Thriving?  Tell that to the graduates looking for jobs.



Not doing too well making new Chinese either.



Speaking of Evergrande...



The only thing keeping China's property market from imploding is state intervention on a massive scale.  For somebody who doesn't like big goobermint, I find your enthusiasm somewhat hypocritical.  You don't get bigger than the CCP.

RE

Quote from: RE on Apr 16, 2025, 10:51 PMThe only thing keeping China's property market from imploding is state intervention on a massive scale.  For somebody who doesn't like big goobermint, I find your enthusiasm somewhat hypocritical.  You don't get bigger than the CCP.
RE

China being "toast", a decade or so back on the diner, wasn't really presented as a narrow statement, it tended to more inclusive of overall economic decline/demise. "Demise" being more appropriate to the idea of "toast" probably.  Your statement preceded by "the only thing keeping...." is itself an indication that it certainly isn't toast yet for at least one reason, and there could be others that none of our amateur analysis is aware of.

This has great similarity to early 21st century peak oil claims. While many proclaimed peak and the end, others, better understanding of the systems and sciences involved, weren't even breaking a sweat, and were happy to tell folks why. The Chinese seemed to have kept their secret to themselves to date, although us amateurs are certainly allowed to speculate.

Quote from: Goldernen Oxernen on Apr 16, 2025, 11:16 PM

Quote from: TDoS on Apr 16, 2025, 07:02 PMYou seem to be wandering farther afield than I can follow. What is an alphabet soup agency, are you referring to the USGS and Hubbert's work for them?

CIA, DHS, FBI, ICE, etc. Alphabet agency is a common colloquialism, you should be familiar with given they are your federal govt

If you are American, they are yours as well.

Quote from: TDoSDeleting posts certainly has nothing to do with being misleading....it is more like  retrieving the pearls after they've been dropped and no one seems capable of undestanding that they are indeed pearls.

Quote from: Goldernen OxernenWhich you would not be dropping for free then, fitting with talking about what easy money it is, posting for some govt entity.

Please can we keep silly conspiracies to a minimum?. I have never in my life posted on behalf of a government agency. Period. You are allowed to hallucinate such things of course, but it isn't true and never has been.

Quote from: Goldernen Oxernen
Quite aside from being able to deny you said anything people remember you saying, unless you were quoted if everything is deleted.

Well that is true. Good thing I am happy to repeat myself when people remember some snippet and ask me to answer the question again. The good thing about telling the truth though is you don't need to remember what I said, as it is personal experience and I just say it again. Easier for me of course as they are my personal experience, as compared to someone wishing they could actually remember what I said.

Quote from: Goldernen Oxernen

Quote from: TDoS
What does 1890 have to do with anything? The first credible "end of oil" was claimed in 1886, so if that claim by JP Lesley is what you're referring to, you are off by a few years.

You didn't mention JP Lesley in your answer to the question when was peak oil, if so many other dates are wrong because the wells didnt all run dry in the given year. I guess if extraction in 1890 exceeded dinosaur 🦕 🦖 decomposition and compression, you would have been right.

I mentioned JP Lesley because you brought up something about peak oil from the distant past, and that is almost as distant as it gets for peak oilers. Any peak oiler worth their salt knows this.

Your representation of the thermogenic process that creates oil and gas is entertaining. And proves a point I often make, how in the HECK is someone to know anything about peak oil when they don't even know where or when it came from, was found, was developed, the kerogen types and all the rest of the geochemistry. They just substitute...DEAD DINOSAURS. tsk tsk. No wonder they got it so wrong a couple decades ago. And in 1990. And 1956. And 1943. And 1936. And 1919. Etc etc, back to JP Lesley.

Quote from: Goldernen Oxernen

Quote from: TDoS
If by "legal trouble" you are referring to another incident involving perfectly reasonable defense of ones person using a firearm, again, is self defense not permitted where you live? Because here in America, it is perfectly legal.

You said you were but a teenager when you had to lawyer up and got away by a whisker of going to jail for it. If that is consistent with either incident mentioned today, puzzle solved.

That's the story. I don't talk about it much. Why is it relevant to you? You are now confused as to how someone with such a record could jive with your working for an alphabet soup agency? Can you see what the background check after that exercise would look like?

CIA (circa2005): Man, this guy knows a BUNCH of this peak oil happening tomorrow afternoon oil nonsense, we should hire him to front for us on all those blogs that might reveal the secret that went down in the Twin Towers! Mike Ruppert has exposed us!

(Background check)

CIA: Holy BatCrap! He defended himself resulting in bad news for the other guy! We can't have someone capable of such lawful acts working for our squeaky clean expert division to sow disinformation in no-name internet clubs!

Quote from: Goldernen Oxernen

Quote from: TDoS
Given that the Diner no longer exists and therefore there ARE NO POSTS AT ALL, I'm not sure what you're getting at? i simply evacuated the burning building early.

Theres a "legacy portal". RE probably saved the entire contents to microfish and 5" floppy disc so you can use your TRS80's TDOS.  Use  MSDOS for the web portal.

Beyond my computer skills. I'm just an oil guy. K-Dog and RE can experiment all they'd like with old computers and whatnot to keep their history alive as long as they are, I specialize in knowing stuff about oil and gas and the future.

Quote from: Goldernen Oxernen
The pattern of events we see unfolding fits my expectations at least. Ill wager that membership was larger not smaller in 2013 meaning nobody was disappointed on 21/12/2012. 

Without knowing your posting history, and I don't because I have primarily focused on those who didn't know much about the geosciences and apply what they don't know enthusiastically, I'm glad what you expected is happening. Same with me and oil. So it sounds like...WE WIN!

Quote from: Goldernen Oxernen

Quote from: TDoSDamn straight. You want it, you keepit. I didn't even know how bad it was until I went to college. You want to scratch your life out of the dirt in the holler, have at it and enjoy. But don't expect all of us who lived that life to join you once we've escaped. Selling poverty is harder than selling peak oil consequences nowadays, 7 years after it finally happened.

Who does the lasooing then?

I don't know what lasooing is. That thing you do from a horse to catch a cow? Peak oil interest died awhile ago, even before it finally happened in 2018. <yawn> I now work on other aspects of resource development.

Quote from: TDoS on Apr 17, 2025, 07:49 AMChina being "toast", a decade or so back on the diner, wasn't really presented as a narrow statement, it tended to more inclusive of overall economic decline/demise.

My "China is TOAST" tag line is a broad statement that goes beyond just economics to environmental, ecological and social problems as well.



In China, the water you drink is as dangerous as the air you breathe.

These findings come from our new water quality report, which found water pollution levels in China's other major cities are also extremely high. In Beijing, 39.9% of water was so polluted that it was essentially functionless. In Tianjin, northern China's principal port city and home to 15 million people, a mere 4.9% of water is usable as a drinking water source.
....
Across China, access to drinkable water is not just a quality of life issue, it's about survival. There have been reports of local authorities digging deeper wells to reach drinkable water, which has become harder to come by as 80% of groundwater from major river basins is "unsuitable for human contact".


The problems with the water have knock on effects extend to the food supply and energy production.   

https://www.bakerinstitute.org/research/how-chinas-water-challenges-could-lead-global-food-and-supply-chain-crisis

China is on the brink of a water catastrophe that could have devastating consequences for global food security, energy markets and supply chains. The 2022 drought, which mainly impacted China's Sichuan province, offered an uncomfortable preview of what the future could bring if water supplies continue to run dry: Low reservoir levels slashed hydroelectricity output, which in turn forced power rationing to major industrial consumers such as metals and battery producers and electronics assemblers
....

Beijing has the dubious distinction of being the capital of the world's second-largest economy, while having per capita water supplies that have fallen to a level on par with those of cities near Chile's Atacama Desert — the driest place on Earth

Besides the water pollution issues, the air quality problems are legendary.  Pictures are better than words on this one.







While all the industrial countries have demographic problems due to falling birthrates, China's are particularly severe due to the ageing population and the years of the one-child policy, which resulted in a preponderance of male children.

China is far from alone in facing the problem of too many old people and too few young workers to support them. But unlike western nations, it is getting old before it has got rich. The scale of the challenge and the speed at which it is arriving are extraordinary, thanks in large part to the decades of birth restrictions known as the one-child policy. It also means that fewer retirees are able to count on their kids supporting them.

Unlike Western countries which are making up for falling birth rates with immigration, China's population is already shrinking.  This means more retirees and fewer people of working age, for whom there are no jobs anyhow.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/sep/18/the-guardian-view-on-chinas-ageing-population-an-economic-and-social-conundrum

Like the west China has played the extend & pretend game issuing vast quantities of debt much of which doesn't appear on the books because it's contained in the shadow banking system.  Combined with their real estate problem, it lurks in the background and with the global problems being created by Trump's tariff war could jump out of the closet if economic growth stalls.''

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/22/business/china-economy-trusts-zhongrong-zhongzhi.html

Now, given the arrival of the Trumperator on the scene in Amerika, in the race to the bottom of the burnt toaster bin, the FSoA may have now edged ahead of China as toast.  The prognosis is not too good for anyone these days.  A grass hut on the beach of Bora Bora has real appeal.



RE

Last time I checked, it was poor Chinese who were flying across the Pacific and crossing the jungle on foot in the Darien Gap to migrate to Amerika and not poor Amerikans flying to Tibet to crosss the Himalayas on fooot to migrate into China.  It's also rich Chinese buying McMansions to live  as expats in Seattle, not rich Americans buying condos to live as expats in Beijing.  So I'm not sure the Chinese themsellves are quite as impressed by life in China as you seem to be.

I will grant you though that the family structure in China hasn't collapsed as thoroughly as is the case here in the land of good and plenty, and their socialized medical system and care for the elderly is probably better, since it would be hard to do worse on this than here, besides Nigeria and Sudan anyhow.

It's tough to say which side of the pond the toast is smoking more, since the spin down is being handled by such disparate systems.  Solely on the economic level, both countries are so interdependent that it doesn't matter much who toasts first, the other will shortly follow.

RE

QuoteIt's also rich Chinese buying McMansions to live as expats in Seattle, not rich Americans buying condos to live as expats in Beijing.

I am in their preferred zip code.  As you know.  You have been here.

Citizenship has been for sale for years.

Quote from: K-Dog on Apr 18, 2025, 04:59 PMI am in their preferred zip code.  As you know.  You have been here.

That's why I chose Seattle to use in my example.

RE

Hating Harvard and the rest of the Ivy League universities is as core to the MAGA credo as being anti-abortion, anti gun control, anti-welfare and anti-queer.  As every good gun toting redneck with the Stars & Bars decorating his pickup truck knows, they are stuffed with elite liberal intellectual commie pinko nigger loving faggots and pedophiles.  Harvard will have a tough time bringing these folks in to support academic freedom with a PR campaign. lol.

Despite the fact that bringing beer swilling Billy Bob 6 Pack on board is unlikely, it is true that Harvard can bring a whole lot of pressure to bear, particularly on the business & legal end.  The bar association would be one place to start, litigating to have Trumps lawyers disbarred for systemic  corruption.  Harvard hedge fund traders could short the living shit out of Trump biznesses, along with a dozen or so Harvard B-school grads running private equity firms.  I'm sure they could get a few theoretical physicists to work up some nasty trading algorithms to predict his market manipulations, he's using tricks that are as old as JP Morgan and Cornelius Vanderbilt to juice and kill stocks.

Anyhow, the big fight is definitely coming.  He's apparently going to try to have Powell sacked as head of Da Fed.  This will not sit well with the Illuminati.  The fun begins.

If Harvard, armor-plated by history and padded with funds, can't beat Trump, no one can

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/apr/18/trump-harvard-university-endowment

RE

Quote from: RE on Apr 19, 2025, 12:36 AMAnyhow, the big fight is definitely coming.  He's apparently going to try to have Powell sacked as head of Da Fed.  This will not sit well with the Illuminati.  The fun begins.

RE

I completely agree. And find it ironic. After all these decades of waiting around for something (lack of resources, climate change, China collapsing, chemtrails, a US draft and all the cool LATOC originated stuff) that might bump the status quo of American life off its axis, even a little, the one that really COULD cause some of the outcomes we've breathlessly hyperventilated endlessly about over those decades, current politics arguably has a far better chance of actually CREATING one.

Quote from: TDoS on Apr 19, 2025, 06:57 AMI completely agree.

Hell just froze over.  lol.

I've always looked at collapse wholistically, having all sorts of social, economic and political repercussions that spin out along the way, and the descent into fascism and the rise of a populist wannabe dictator is one of them.  It's not so simple as the lights just flicking off one day.

Real chaos at some point takes a match to light the dry tinder, and in this case the matchstick is a corpulent septugenarian with an orange head.  The man is walking, talking, tweeting chaos in anthropomorphic form.

Not gonna jump the gun here and gloat too much though, because we still have quite a ways to go before we get real mayhem out of this, how that will manifest itself remains to be seen.  Where will the metaphorical (or literal) bullet come from that pushes this over the cliff?

For you conspiracy theorists out there, of all the agencies in the Federal goobermint, which are the two that El Trumpo has NOT touched?  You guessed it, the CIA and the NSA.  Both agencies are loaded with the Skull & Bones boys from Yale, as you know Bush1 was head of the CIA.  Plenty of Harvard alumni recruited as well.  I can just about guarantee the responses coming won't strictly be reported in the media and ocurring in the courthouse.  The Black Bag Boys will be enlisted for some sort of dirty tricks.

The gloves are off.  You don't bring a knife to a gunfight, and these folks have not played fair for generations.  Trump is a rookie in this game.  He's a PeeWee football quarterback against a NFL front line.  The Purple People Eaters are on the other side.



RE

I haven't checked the newz for almost 2 weeks, and upon my return to reality I think I'll go back to fantasy world.  Reality is utterly PATHETIC.   Having read Gibbon's Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire I read enough about guys like Caligula and Nero to know psycho leaders were to be expected in collapse, and I haven't been disppointed.  However, living while it's happening is unpleasant to watch.  I fully expect Trumpolini to start a big war in his final year to suspend elections.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-dictator-doubling-down_n_68ae0981e4b07bd4ac5eb904

Trump Suggests People Might Want A Dictator For The Second Day In A Row

RE

A showdown is in the works.

There are great speeches and there are speeches.  This one is a home run.





Amid the chaos and insanity, occasional glimpses of greatness.

Pritzker does a good job laying out what is goibg on, but I don't see how he's going to stop it, besides vague promises of using the legal system with more lawsuits.   Court injunctions haven't been very successful thusfar, I see no reason they'll be any more effective going forward.

RE

Quote from: RE on Aug 26, 2025, 08:45 PMI haven't checked the newz for almost 2 weeks, and upon my return to reality I think I'll go back to fantasy world.  Reality is utterly PATHETIC.

Did it take that long to binge watch the TV show you were interested in? It's a good series, we all watched it when it came out and all, but almost 2 weeks?