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Peak Oil

Started by K-Dog, Jul 31, 2023, 09:11 PM

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K-Dog

#30
Yanis has never been gone.  On youtube he is a feature.  If Trumpolini orders a nuke strike I hope one of the Marines standing next to him wearing the white gloves grows a brain.

QuoteWhat happens to capitalism when it can't deal with it with a crisis of its own making when the capitalist class lose control.  They pull levers and they don't work anymore, like hapless pilots in  the cockpit.  Suddenly the levers don't respond to their pulling and pushing.  Fascism is the go-to ideology and the go-to, practices which allow them to remain in power. The fascists have always been particularly useful to the ruling class. Every time the ruling class made a mess of it, and could not contain the crisis of its own making.

What you saw in Minneapolis, the murder of uh American citizens, what you saw with ICE, uh turning into the stormtroopers of Donald Trump from the day he moved into the White House for the second time.

That was happening while he was winning.  So imagine what was going to happen when he was losing.

RE


PBS.ORG 2026-03-18

Iran war pushes Asian nations into energy triage as they conserve power

BANGKOK (AP) — The escalating war with Iran is pushing parts of the world into energy triage, forcing governments to choose where to cut demand or absorb costs, while prioritizing dwindling supplies.  Asia is the most exposed since it relies heavily on imported fuel, much of it shipped through the now-blocked Strait of Hormuz. The narrow passage offshore from Iran is the main route for shipping a fifth of global trade in crude oil and liquified natural gas.  Governments in the region are scrambling to adjust — tallying oil reserves, conserving energy, competing for supplies and trying to blunt prices. That brings difficult trade-offs: saving power may slow business activity. Prioritizing cooking gas for households can hurt restaurants and other businesses.



IMAGEIO.FORBES.COM 2026-03-18

The Countries Most In Danger Of Running Out Of Oil

Before the war, 40 tankers carrying 20 million barrels of crude oil and refined petroleum products traversed the Strait of Hormuz every day. This week Iran has allowed just a handful of tankers to slip through Hormuz, including ships flagged to India and China. Amid oil rationing and shortages, which countries are most in danger of winning the race to empty?


Looks like the real Peak Oil fun is getting underway for all the oil importing countries.  Oil exporters have a bit of an advantage here, but of course everything is so interconnected the problems won't be limited to the importers.  We're on the way back to the Stone Age!

RE

K-Dog

#32

EDITION.CNN.COM 2026-03-18

US warship believed to be carrying additional Marines to Middle East tracked off Singap...

A US Navy warship believed to be carrying Marines and sailors to the Middle East is nearing the Malacca Strait off Singapore as it makes its way to the region.


1915 Dardanelles Campaign

In the Dardanelles, the British and French believed they could force the strait with naval power alone. They were stymied by a "layered defense": mines blocked the water, and mobile howitzers on cliffs prevented minesweepers from eliminating mines.

After failing to force the passage, the Allies were forced into an "ignominious" withdrawal in 1916 after suffering 250,000 casualties.


                                                                                                               
Feature1915 Dardanelles2026 Hormuz/Iran
Tactical ObstacleMines & Cliff-top HowitzersSmart Mines & Anti-Ship Missiles
Strategic GoalKnock Ottoman Empire out of WWINeutralize Iranian Nuclear/Military Power
OutcomeHigh casualties, eventual withdrawalOngoing; Oil $120+; Global supply shock


OMANOBSERVER.OM 2026-03-18

Americas friends must help extricate it from the war

The effects of this retaliation are felt most acutely on the southern side of the Gulf, where Arab countries that had placed their trust in American security co-operation now experience that co-operation as an acute vulnerability, threatening their present security and future prosperity.


PARSTODAY.IR 2026-03-18

Funeral procession held for heroes of Dena Ship, Ali Larijani, and General Gholamreza Soleimani

A mourning ceremony was held for the bodies from the "Dena Ship," the Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, and the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' Basij Organization.  The funeral procession for 84 personnel from the Dena destroyer, Ali Larijani, the Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, and General Gholamreza Soleimani, the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' Basij Organization, was held in Tehran's Enqelab Square.  With a massive presence  of the people.


This is Iranian state news.


PARSTODAY.IR 2026-03-18

Missiles hit over 100 targets without difficulty in wave 61 of Operation True Promise 4

"Tel Aviv," the center of the criminal Zionist regime's malice, was bombarded in wave 61 of Operation True Promise 4 with Kheybar Shekan, Emad, Qadr (multi-warhead), and "Khorramshahr 4" (multi-warhead) missiles, under the code-name "Ya Aba Abdellah al-Hussein (AS)," in retaliation for the blood of Martyr Dr. Ali Larijani and his companions.


It is hard for me to find information about what is going on in Iranian Society.  I suspect they are galvanized like Americans were after Pearl Harbor.


Again an empire attacked.  And America has a Hirohito.

From Gibbon :


Quote"The irresolute emperor, instead of breaking through the toils of the enemy, expected his fate with patient resignation; and accepted the humiliating conditions of peace, which it was no longer in his power to refuse.

The five provinces beyond the Tigris... were restored to the Persian monarchy. He acquired, by a single article, the impregnable city of Nisibis; which had sustained, in three successive sieges, the effort of his arms...

The spirit of the Romans was subdued by the edge of famine rather than by the sword of the Barbarians."


TASNIMNEWS.IR 2026-03-18

Foolish Trump Begging for Help in War: Iran’s Top Judge

Iran's Judiciary Chief Gholam Hossein Mohseni Ejei highlighted the defeat of the United States and Israeli regime in their military campaign against Iran, saying the silly president of the US is imploring other countries to deploy naval ships to Hormuz Strait.



TASNIMNEWS.IR 2026-03-18

IRGC Warns People to Stay Away from Oil Facilities in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar

In a statement released on Wednesday, the IRGC warned the Saudi, Emirati and Qatari citizens and residents to keep clear of the following locations:


K-Dog

#33

PALESTINECHRONICLE.COM 2026-03-19

Gulf Under Fire, Northern Front Explodes — Dispatches from the Battlefield – Day 19

Iranian forces strike US military bases across the UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain in coordinated missile and drone operations. Resistance operations intensify across Lebanon and northern Palestine, targeting military sites and confronting advancing forces.

K-Dog


RE

QuoteIranian forces strike US military bases across the UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain in coordinated missile and drone operations.

And not a SINGLE Amerikan grunt was killed!  They missed everybody!  Amazing!

RE

K-Dog

#36

PARSTODAY.IR 2026-03-19

Declaring disavowal of illegal war is the least any American should do

Joe Kent, in a message on X, announced his resignation and wrote: " I cannot in good conscience support the ongoing war in Iran. Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation, and it is clear that we started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby."



JOBURGETC.COM 2026-03-19

Gas Hub in Flames: Qatar Contains ‘Extensive Damage’ After Iranian Missile Strike

The flames that lit up the night sky over Qatar’s northern coast have been extinguished, but the damage they caused extends far beyond the walls of the Ras Laffan Industrial Area. For the first time in this escalating conflict, a major energy facility has been directly struckand the world is watching to see what comes next.


Chucklehead Trump escalates.  Trump did what BIbi told him to do, and Trump let Bibi bomb gas facilities in Iran.

So Iran responds tit for tat.  No surprise, and Iran's leaders would be fools not to respond in kind.  Trump means them no love and Trump is demented.  If you give Trump anything he only takes more.  Taking more than he should is how this emotional vampire gets his self-esteem.  Trump is toxic and is killing people the way a small child might kill a bug.  To make himself feel big.  Because inside he is a very tiny man.

QuoteIran's Revolutionary Guards issued a stark warning to neighboring Gulf nations. Their oil and gas industries would be "completely destroyed" if Israel or the United States conduct any further attacks against Iranian energy infrastructure.

The Sampson Option is why no fool self-serving American president ever was this stupid before.


SILVERSTACKINGMAGAZINE.COM 2026-03-05

Iran’s “Sampson Option”: The Energy Pipeline

That’s what’s starting to happen in the Persian Gulf. As the conflict involving Iran heats up, Tehran has been taking aim at the region’s economic lifelines … LNG terminals, oil refineries, and tanker traffic moving through the Strait of Hormuz.


Trump murders and sacrifices the prosperity and blood of America and you let him.

That is what the Germans did in WWII.

RE

On the positive side, we have moved forward the date where industrial civilization will be no more.

RE

K-Dog


CAPITALFM.CO.KE 2026-03-19

All fires under control at Qatar energy complex

Qatar’s Interior Ministry says that all fires at the Ras Laffan energy facility have now been brought under control without any reported injuries.

monsta666

Just remember the Western media is downplaying the success of Iran's attacks on middle-east infrastructure as it goes against the narrative that Iran has been crippled by the barrage of American/Israel airstrikes.

What I also gather is the UAE government is actively suppressing any information on the damage taking place in their country. It is not a stretch to assume other rich Arab states are following the same protocol as they wish to protect their image of being a safe haven country. All this means is it is quite likely the reality on the ground is worse than what the media is portraying as the Western and Arab media have a vested interest in suppressing coverage of Iran's military successes.

The big question is how long this conflict will last and what impact this will have on Trump's presidency.

K-Dog

#40
QuoteIt goes against the narrative that Iran has been crippled by the barrage of American/Israel airstrikes.

Anything that goes against their narrative of total annihilation is an admission of defeat because the 'regime' is still in power and the straight is closed.  Defeat will not be admitted.  Trump always blames someone else.  But since there is nobody else to blame, Trump has to frame what has happened so far as a smoking awesome victory or man up.  Trump manning up to anything is like asking for rain on a sunny day.  And that also goes for anyone bewitched by his greatness.  Doubling down is Trumps only viable survival strategy.  Trump is going to double down our asses into a nuclear winter.

As RE has pointed out.  Multiple airstrikes on bases yesterday, and America loses no soldiers.  It is hard to believe.  Very hard to believe.  Yet there are many true believers.

RE

#41
Quote from: K-Dog on Mar 19, 2026, 08:19 PMAs RE has pointed out.  Multiple airstrikes on bases yesterday, and America loses no soldiers.  It is hard to believe.  Very hard to believe.  Yet there are many true believers.

It does not surprise me that no casualties besides the dozen or so thhat were reported from the fueling plane crash have been reported by the FSoA military.  What I do find slightly surprising is that nobody in the media has even questioned it.  It's the elephant in the room nobody has noticed.

Also bothering me is the language used when the corpses were returned.  Every time it is mentioned they use the words "dignified transfer".  Have dead grunts ever been returned in an "undignified" manner?  Why is it so important to mention the ceremony was dignified?

The fact NO casualties are being reported lead me to suspect there are quite a few.  Obviously this goes against the narrative we can win these thing with no dead bodies with surgical precision AI directed robots.  You can't keep this covered up forever, and when it does start to leak out the effect will be worse.  If the marines go running up the beach. it will be a fucking disaster.

RE

RE


THEBULWARK.COM 2026-03-19

The Worst-Case Economic Outcome of Trump’s Iran War

The risk of falling into a doom loop like this was apparent the moment the Strait of Hormuz was effectively shut down, and oil prices shot up. But many hoped the strait might quickly reopen and the shock would be short-lived.  That hasn’t happened. And there’s now no way we can return to the antebellum status quo quickly—or perhaps ever.  That’s because, in a significant escalation, both sides in the conflict have now started targeting energy infrastructure. On Wednesday, Israel bombed Iran’s South Pars gas field, the largest natural gas field in the world and a major lifeline for Iran.3 Subsequently, Iran attacked the world’s largest LNG facility (located in Qatar, whose LNG exports will as a result be down by almost a fifth for up to five years) and it has targeted a host of other natural resources, refineries, and other processing facilities in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Israel. (The AP put together this useful map of major energy infrastructure sites that have been hit so far.)  Destroying fuel-producing infrastructure is fundamentally different from temporarily blocking a fuel transit passageway. When infrastructure is gone, it’s gone. It could take years to rebuild.


Not sure this article describes the "Worst Case Scenario", more like just an easily predictable bad one.  Escalation to Global Thermonuclear War is certainly a possibility, and that would definitely be worse.  A 5 year recession would be bad for sure, but a decade long Global Depression would be worse.  Higher food prices would be bad, but a Global Famine with half the worlld population dying of starvation would be just a little worse, don't ya think?

Are any of these LIKELY outcomes right now?  No, but the chances have definittly risen from minute to significant and are worth considering as worst case scenarios.

At this point, I can't see ANY way "normal" pre-war shipping will return inside the next year, and quite possibly never.  That will significantly reduce the flow of oil from the gulf and keep the prices high until the demand crashes, which it must once the consumers are fully tapped out.  Oil production facilities that manage to survive undamaged will have to be shut in.

Somewhere along the timeline there will be a credit crisis as bankruptcies pile up, followed by bank failures.  This kind of thing is bad enough when it is just resultant from malinvestment in one sector like real estate, or a confined area like southern Europe, but when it's global and across all sectors it's a pretty hopeless situation.  Maybe the Smartest Guys in the Room can find a Magic Bazooka, but it will surprise me if they do.

At most, I think we're 6 months away from a financial crisis that will make 2008 pale in comparison.  I could be wrong of course, wouldn't be the first time.  Not looking good though.


RE

K-Dog

#43

ZEENEWS.INDIA.COM 2026-03-20

Iran downs US F-35: First combat hit on most advanced 'Invisible' stealth jet mid-air

This marks the first time Iran has struck a US aircraft in the late February war. Both the US and Israel deploy F-35s in the conflict; each jet costs over $100 million.


Had the plane actually landed the incident would never have made the news.  At all.  The plane crashed, and the Department of War made truth it's first casualty.  As evidenced by unrealistic casualty reports.

K-Dog

#44

TWZ.COM 2026-03-20

USS Boxer The Second Amphibious Assault Ship Now Heading To Middle East (Updated)

With two Amphibious Ready Groups heading to the Middle East, there is increasing speculation that the U.S. will try to seize Iran's strategic Kharg Island.


Where the 'sunk cost' argument becomes literally true.  5,000 Marines can seize a specific objective, like Kharg Island (approx. 8 sq. miles).  But they will not "hold the door open" across the straight. They will be a landing party that becomes a stationary target once they hit the beach. Marines able to watch retaliatory missiles going into Ras Tanura as they wish upon a star.

On Truth Social today (March 20, 2026), Trump claimed the U.S. is "very close to meeting objectives", and that operation Epstein Fury is nearing completion.  Simultaneously, the Pentagon has accelerated the deployment of the 11th MEU (USS Boxer) to join the 31st MEU (USS Tripoli).  Lies lies and more lies is what Trump delivers.