It looks looks like the lady in red is the real deal.  Dream your cornucopian dreams as you do, but the red queen runs.




Well Jumpin Jack Flash - who coulda knowd, a bubble point is reached where an oil well turns into a gas well.

It works like this. Initially, the gassy oil flows easily because the gas is dissolved in the oil under high pressure. But as the oil is pumped and the pressure drops, the gas begins to fizz out of the oil. Gas escaping from a freshly opened can of beer does the same thing. When a can is opened, pressure falls and the gas comes out. The same thing happens with gas dissolved in pressurized oil underground when pumping the oil reduces the pressure.

The oil is trapped within a rock matrix. Gas molecules move through the rock's pores much more easily than oil, flowing around the oil. As a result, the oil stops moving.





So, we may have finally reached peak bullshit.





Water, water, every where,
Nor any drop to drink.

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 21, 2026, 08:15 PMIt looks looks like the lady in red is the real deal.  Dream your cornucopian dreams as you do, but the red queen runs.

TGS.COM 2026-02-02

Rising Gas-Oil Ratios in Delaware Basin Oil Targets

Oil-targeted development in the Delaware Basin is increasingly challenged by rising gas–oil ratios, raising questions about fluid evolution and long-term oil yield across core benches.

Well Jumpin Jack Flash - who coulda knowd, a bubble point is reached where an oil well turns into a gas well.

I'm always amazed when the mass media, or the internet, gets around to "discovering" the most basic principle of solution gas drive reservoirs.

For the record, I've got the individual well counts inside of the Permian that have changed from oil to gas, and when. For example the Spraberry formation wells transition far slower than the Wolfcamp wells. The Eagle Ford has always been a mix, and the Bakken has mostly always stayed oil, even across 2-1/2 decades now.

This fascination with GOR has poppped up a couple of time, over at POB one poster, a local operator in the Permian has been raging about it "gassing out" for at least all of this decade.

For an effect so predictable, I find it amusing that folks keep discovering it, attaching it to a doom argument, and pontificating. Well, when bell shaped curves don't work, there are always other things that can be abused to create a cool oil doomer story.

PS: I've also mapped the regions down to the resolution of about 10,000 acres to find the areas most likely to be effected, as well to well interference is also part of this effect. The more interference, the higher the liklihood of a well transitioning from oil to gas in shorter time spans.

QuoteI've also mapped the regions down to the resolution of about 10,000 acres to find the areas most likely to be effected, as well to well interference is also part of this effect. The more interference, the higher the liklihood of a well transitioning from oil to gas in shorter time spans.

Well isn't that Special,

How convenient, as the church lady would say. Mapped the regions down to 10,000 acres. That must have been a fun exercise for you. Sort of like the trembling pleasure I got adding thousands of articles to the Doomscroll. The quivering ecstasy of thousands of data points. Software to manage all that data too.

I recall you stating there was no point for me to do any of it since only three people come here.

You must have felt defeated, mapping all those regions to see what areas would deplete first, with no one to see. Lucky for you this is your big chance. You can share your data here.

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 22, 2026, 02:53 PMYou must have felt defeated, mapping all those regions to see what areas would deplete first, with no one to see. Lucky for you this is your big chance. You can share your data here.

Now he''s going to tell you about the really important people who have seen his maps and kissed his feet after paying him handsomely for the privilege.  We are not worthy to look upon such things.

RE

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 22, 2026, 02:53 PM

QuoteI've also mapped the regions down to the resolution of about 10,000 acres to find the areas most likely to be effected, as well to well interference is also part of this effect. The more interference, the higher the liklihood of a well transitioning from oil to gas in shorter time spans.

Well isn't that Special,

Actually...not at all. It just isn't common among any except indsutry professionals who work this kind of problem is all.

Quote from: K-DogHow convenient, as the church lady would say. Mapped the regions down to 10,000 acres. That must have been a fun exercise for you. Sort of like the trembling pleasure I got adding thousands of articles to the Doomscroll. The quivering ecstasy of thousands of data points. Software to manage all that data too.

Well, I'm sure you are familiar with how databases work same as I do.   But you would need to add a couple more zeros to "thousands" to even get into the data normally used in a single field study. As far as software, I've plyed with Python but I use older stuff just....because...I am I suppose.

Quote from: K-DogI recall you stating there was no point for me to do any of it since only three people come here.

Not sure I said "no point" but the point of large amounts of work for the three of us, I seem to recall making that point.

To each their own.

Quote from: K-DogYou must have felt defeated, mapping all those regions to see what areas would deplete first, with no one to see. Lucky for you this is your big chance. You can share your data here.

Who said "no one to see" when it comes to my work?  I have quite a substantial audience and have published on jus these types of analysis. Alone, and with others, for decades now. Ive got one pub, written late 90's with a co-author, and I swear to God it is the weirdest thing, I get notifications when someone requests it from some academic paper clearing house or another. That old paper on deep gas resources here or there gets referenced, downloaded or looked at like once a month. Nearly 30 years old that one is!

Maybe if you didn't worry as much about quantity, and go for quality, the viewership will grow?

Quote from: RE on Feb 22, 2026, 04:21 PM

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 22, 2026, 02:53 PMYou must have felt defeated, mapping all those regions to see what areas would deplete first, with no one to see. Lucky for you this is your big chance. You can share your data here.

Now he''s going to tell you about the really important people who have seen his maps........

I rarely do maps, other than to outline an area. I do statistics more like....as far as important people....who cares. But when CSIRO travels halfway across the planet, or the British Geological Survy, PDVSA, Pemex....well I have to admit that having the world come calling is a bit of an ego boost....

Quote from: REand kissed his feet after paying him handsomely for the privilege.  We are not worthy to look upon such things.
RE

Worthy isn't the right word. I don't do EE and genes and chromozones and whatnot.....and neither of you do oil and gas is all. 

Quote from: TDoS on Feb 23, 2026, 07:05 PMWorthy isn't the right word. I don't do EE and genes and chromozones and whatnot.....and neither of you do oil and gas is all. 

Metaphorical pop culture reference.🙄


RE

Quote from: K-Dog on Feb 23, 2026, 10:44 PM

ENERGYSKEPTIC.COM 2026-02-17

Peak crude oil did not happen in 2018. But we are still running out of time

What matters is that oil is finite, and is showing signs of being on the verge of decline since conventional oil entered a plateau in 2005 and unconventional oil (mainly fracked shale oil with a little help from Canadian oil sands) raised the plateau in 2015 and still on that plateau in 2025.  

Count on Alice to always be ready for peak oil....15 years ago, 10 years ago, 5 years ago, etc etc.

She should have stuck to programming software to allow truck drivers to be more efficient. I do like how she provides references and whatnot...of course....only ones that support her current idea of....whatever. Whenever.

I'll have to check the EIA stats on global crude to see if they have updated with more recent information, and if 2025 was FINALLY another peak oil as opposed to 2018.