The thought that I could be blocked from generating the previous transcript is not ludicrous.  I still suspend judgement, but watching this video is a freakout.  The journalists may be targeted.  The places they visit are being bombed a second time.

This is getting a little closer to the Best Case Outcome for the oncoming shitstorm.  The Worst Case Outcome is Global Famine, Riots & civil Wars, Food & Fuel rationing, shortages of basic medicines like Insulin and Antibiotics, and rampant disease epidemics.

RE

Now all they need to do is blow up an LNG tanker in the Suez Canal.  They can get the price up over $200.

RE

The dementia screams for article 25.  The idiot ignores what Iran demonstrates to him.  Kharg Island only means dead Americans.  The best you could say is Trump tries to mislead.  But if he does, he only misleads himself.




No oil from Kharg Island helps the economy of Shri Lanka and Bangladesh how?










Trump, since he can't have 14 year old girls anymore watches a custom made 3 minute highlight video of things blowing up in Iran daily.  He does this every day to get hard.  Hard if only in his mind.  This is how Trump gets his rocks off now.  And since all Trump watches is his custom war porn, he is not well informed.  Trump watches nothing else, for if he did he would not have his war porn.  Think about it.  Trump is in more of a fantasy land now than Hitler was in his final days in the Berlin bunker.

"Take the Oil"?  How?

First off, even if the Jarheads manage to storm the cliffs without being massacred, the Iranians have no doubt already booby-trapped all the storage tanks and will blow up everything themselves before they let them take the oill there.  2nd, the amount stored there is only enough to fill a few tankers and needs to be constantly replenished from oil still underground inside Iran.  3rd, even if they could get that oil, they still couldn't ship it out until they get control of the entire north coast where the IRGC has their missiles and boat and submersible launch points.

Trumpolini's strategic thought process never got past playing Cowboys & Indians at Kindergarten recess.  He has now upped the deployment to around 50,000 while still maintaining he doesn'tt plan to use them.  WTF believes that?  Not the Iranians, that's for sure.  Meanwhile, the IRGC has around 180,000 active troops dug in on home soil.  Even if all the Jarheads are Rambo & Dutch, they're not gonna mow them all down in a 2 hour movie.  It would take months at best, and by the time it was over all that would be left of the infrastructure would be rubble.  All the pumping facilities would need to be rebuilt, which would take years.

The stupidity on display here is breathtaking.

RE

About to?  Well, first he still does have to actually get the Jarheads through the straight before they can even make the attempt to take the island.  Meanwhile, there are hundreds of tankers loaded with Oil floating around in the Gulf.  All the Iranians need to do is sink a couple, then set the oil slick on fire.  This I suspect is what they mean by setting the troops on fire.

RE

Quote from: RE on Mar 30, 2026, 11:42 AM

OILPRICE.COM 2026-03-30

Is Trump About To Fall Into Iran’s Trap?

Iran is trying to lure the U.S. into a ground war, knowing prolonged involvement could force Washington into a more favorable deal for Tehran. The Houthis’ escalation is meant to trigger U.S. military intervention by endangering global oil flows. Dual chokepoint disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb could cripple up to ~45% of global oil supply, potentially sending prices toward $150–$200+ and pressuring the global economy.

About to?  Well, first he still does have to actually get the Jarheads through the straight before they can even make the attempt to take the island.  Meanwhile, there are hundreds of tankers loaded with Oil floating around in the Gulf.  All the Iranians need to do is sink a couple, then set the oil slick on fire.  This I suspect is what they mean by setting the troops on fire.

RE

I do not agree with his analysis.  Iran does not want to lose Iranians just to get Americans.  As strategy keeping an enemy out of your borders is a good idea.  Iran has defensive weapons to keep the invasion from happening.  Missiles and drones.  They will use them before they kill their young men.  Iran cares about life more than whoever wrote this article does.  The author has a western warbucks attitude.

Taking out the desalination plants would be effective.  The US would be sidelined by supplying water for millions of people.  That would end the invasion plan.  Our psychopaths in charge will not want to do it, but it is their ass if they do not.

Quote from: K-Dog on Mar 30, 2026, 11:47 AMTaking out the desalination plants would be effective.  The US would be sidelined by supplying water for millions of people.  That would end the invasion plan.  Our psychopaths in charge will not want to do it, but it is their ass if they do not.[/color]

Targeting desalinization plants is a war crime, besides which if they hit the Iranian ones, the Iranians will hit the Saudi, Omani, Kuwaiti & UAE ones.  No oil at all would flow since all the oil workers would be dying of thirst after about a week.

RE

It would not be a war crime if Iran were ready to meet basic thirst requirements.  Iran takes out the desalination plants and then informs the Americans they have to leave immediately as their presence prevents Iran from meeting the basic thirst requirements of the Gulf states. 

Which Iran then shows the world they are ready to do.  Then the US has to counter by supplying water for millions itself, and that sidelines the invasion.  Trucking water for thirst would only be a few million gallons a day.  It would be a logistical nightmare for the US.  But not so much for Iran. 

Taking out a desalination plant would not be a war crime if you stand ready to provide water for basic needs.

If all the desal plants are bombed, where do they get the water from?  Fly it in from Russia?  Millions of bottles of water?  Daily? I don't think so.  Not a good plan.

RE

Quote from: RE on Mar 30, 2026, 02:57 PMIf all the desal plants are bombed, where do they get the water from?  Fly it in from Russia?  Millions of bottles of water?  Daily? I don't think so.  Not a good plan.

RE

I don't agree,  It can be trucked in from someplace up north, and I think the Iranians agreed with me about two hours ago.

"bowser" is Australian English for a fuel pump at a gas station (what Americans usually call a gas pump).


<--  You know, this place.  Back in the day being in the southern hemisphere might have bought some time.  As things are now, down under is among the first places to say :

RE

I edit the descriptions if they are long.  A visual appeal thing.  More description can be added in the Diner to keep length shorter.  The idea is to follow the Trackack and read the article for discussion and info.  Which at least you and I are doing.

Good article, Krugman has had a large presence on YouTube in the last few weeks.  I think Krugman feels the same way I do about Trump, but as a public figure he has to keep his feeling more on the downlow.

He chose an interesting video to pair with his article.  Krugman wants to scream to the winds about how much Trump has fucked America.  Trump's next bad move will bake $200 oil in the cake.




Demand destruction and economic fragmentation are the most likely outcomes. That is the core flaw in the structural bull market thesis. In a world constrained by debt, weak growth, and systemic instability, it is unrealistic to assume that capital cycle dynamics from decades past will repeat.

So in summary, after we get high gas prices they will come back down, but nobody will have a job.