Billionaire Ray Dalio now is making book handicapping the chance for World War escalating up now at 50%.  Considering we've now got two healthy locations disposing of millions of rounds of ammo and tons of C-4 weekly in Gaza and Ukraine, you could make the case this is already World War, given one of the hotspots is in Europe and the other the Middle East.

How does it line up if it continues to escalate?  One would expect the Ruskies to line up with the Muslims despite not liking each other much on the principle of the enemy of my enemy is my friend.  The Anglo-American led NATO alliance includes the Western European countries, and South America is mostly controlled by right wing goobermints controlled by the CIA.  When it inevitably spreads to Asia, you would expect reversal of WWII, with the Nips aligned with the FSoA and Chinese  now in the opposite camp with the Ruskies.

No obvious hotspot on the scale of Gaza or Ukraine has yet flared up in Asia, but Taiwan seems like a good possibility.  The Chinese have some serious economic woes and a whole lot of unemployed useless eaters of their own to keep busy with a war against the capitalist pigs instead of civil war and overthrow of the corrupt CCP, so they definitely have an itchy trigger finger.

Meanwhile, on the economic front,  Treasury auctions continue to go poorly and the vast majority of Amerikans are in a stupor wondering why the shelves at Walmart are so empty while Jeff Bezos launches his newest Yacht, twice the size of the TiTanic and powered by clean Nuclear reactors that can remain out at sea for the next 50 years fishing the pristine waters of the Antarctic hitherto untapped by the coomercial fishing industry that has fished out the entire Northern Hemisphere.

Relax and enjoy the show.

https://fortune.com/2023/10/13/ray-dalio-says-world-war-50-50-israel-palestine-gaza-hamas-russia-ukraine/

Hedge fund billionaire Ray Dalio just put the odds of a 'hot world war' at 50%—thanks to 2 'brutal' ground wars in Ukraine and Gaza

RE

The problem here is that wars are no longer fought the way they were when Napoleon lost at Waterloo to the Duke of Wellington



or even when Montgomery & Patton took on Rommel's Tanks in North Africa.



Big armies don't meet up on empty swaths of land to duke it out mano a mano anymore.  Soldiers don't wear uniforms with insignias showing their rank, and if captured may have a name to give out under interrogation, but probably no rank and serial number on a dogtag.

Armies of people in places that are defacto occupied and controlled by another state are like the French Resistance fighters during WWII.  They are made up of the people who live in those places, and those people include men, women and children.  Regardless of age or gender, just about anyone above the age of 8 or so is enlisted in the fight against oppression.  Boys particularly by the age of 12 are already carrying a rifle, and all those clothes Muslim girls wear can hide a whole heck of a lot of C-4.  The battlefields aren't open farmland or desert sands, they're not even forests and jungles.  They are cities, towns and villages where people live, at least until the Death from Above comes raining down on them.



For the Israelis, or the FSoA or any state wishing to take populated places under their military control, they either have to go in and do house-to-house searches with commandos, or they have to bomb them into submission.  The first method takes a lot of soldiers and they suffer a lot of casualties, if they are even able to accomplish the task.  Method 2 takes few soldiers, incurs nearly zero of their own casualties and is pretty effective as long as they kill everybody in the village.  "We had to destroy the village in order to save it."  As of yet, there are no bombs smart enough to just kill the adults and leave the children standing.  Perhaps AI will fix this problem.

The other method less viually arresting but probably even more effective is another the Israelis are using, shutting off the water and power to the city.  This creates the "Humanitarian Crisis", forcing everyone to leave the place and be herded into refugee camps, where the oppressor can pick out all the men and label them as terrorists.  So they don't leave, and neither do their families.  Then the Red Cross tries to get bottled water and food into the war zone.

Bottom line here, Israel wants this territory.  Unlike many places, their birthrate is actually above replacement.  That means the Palestinians living there gotta go.  All of them.  Men, Women & Children.  One way or the other.

RE

Trump likes to blow up bridges so don't be surprised.




The golden haired orange sage has declared that global heating is a liberul conspiracy, and a plot by the Dems.  With assistace from Canada .

Therefore Canada must be making too much money off milk and cheese.  They are heating up their own forests to induce combustion as a personal insult to embarrass his Trumpness.  Sending the smoke south knowing it will make his eyes red.

Tariffs 50%, take that you Canukes.