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Raw aggresion, Trump war crimes, the war report

Started by K-Dog, Feb 20, 2026, 02:58 PM

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RE


OILPRICE.COM2026-03-30

Is Trump About To Fall Into Iran’s Trap?

Iran is trying to lure the U.S. into a ground war, knowing prolonged involvement could force Washington into a more favorable deal for Tehran. The Houthis’ escalation is meant to trigger U.S. military intervention by endangering global oil flows. Dual chokepoint disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb could cripple up to ~45% of global oil supply, potentially sending prices toward $150–$200+ and pressuring the global economy.


About to?  Well, first he still does have to actually get the Jarheads through the straight before they can even make the attempt to take the island.  Meanwhile, there are hundreds of tankers loaded with Oil floating around in the Gulf.  All the Iranians need to do is sink a couple, then set the oil slick on fire.  This I suspect is what they mean by setting the troops on fire.

RE

K-Dog

#46
Quote from: RE on Mar 30, 2026, 11:42 AM
OILPRICE.COM2026-03-30

Is Trump About To Fall Into Iran’s Trap?

Iran is trying to lure the U.S. into a ground war, knowing prolonged involvement could force Washington into a more favorable deal for Tehran. The Houthis’ escalation is meant to trigger U.S. military intervention by endangering global oil flows. Dual chokepoint disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb could cripple up to ~45% of global oil supply, potentially sending prices toward $150–$200+ and pressuring the global economy.


About to?  Well, first he still does have to actually get the Jarheads through the straight before they can even make the attempt to take the island.  Meanwhile, there are hundreds of tankers loaded with Oil floating around in the Gulf.  All the Iranians need to do is sink a couple, then set the oil slick on fire.  This I suspect is what they mean by setting the troops on fire.

RE

I do not agree with his analysis.  Iran does not want to lose Iranians just to get Americans.  As strategy keeping an enemy out of your borders is a good idea.  Iran has defensive weapons to keep the invasion from happening.  Missiles and drones.  They will use them before they kill their young men.  Iran cares about life more than whoever wrote this article does.  The author has a western warbucks attitude.

Taking out the desalination plants would be effective.  The US would be sidelined by supplying water for millions of people.  That would end the invasion plan.  Our psychopaths in charge will not want to do it, but it is their ass if they do not.

RE

Quote from: K-Dog on Mar 30, 2026, 11:47 AMTaking out the desalination plants would be effective.  The US would be sidelined by supplying water for millions of people.  That would end the invasion plan.  Our psychopaths in charge will not want to do it, but it is their ass if they do not.[/color]

Targeting desalinization plants is a war crime, besides which if they hit the Iranian ones, the Iranians will hit the Saudi, Omani, Kuwaiti & UAE ones.  No oil at all would flow since all the oil workers would be dying of thirst after about a week.

RE

K-Dog

#48
It would not be a war crime if Iran were ready to meet basic thirst requirements.  Iran takes out the desalination plants and then informs the Americans they have to leave immediately as their presence prevents Iran from meeting the basic thirst requirements of the Gulf states. 

Which Iran then shows the world they are ready to do.  Then the US has to counter by supplying water for millions itself, and that sidelines the invasion.  Trucking water for thirst would only be a few million gallons a day.  It would be a logistical nightmare for the US.  But not so much for Iran. 

Taking out a desalination plant would not be a war crime if you stand ready to provide water for basic needs.

RE

If all the desal plants are bombed, where do they get the water from?  Fly it in from Russia?  Millions of bottles of water?  Daily? I don't think so.  Not a good plan.

RE

K-Dog

Quote from: RE on Mar 30, 2026, 02:57 PMIf all the desal plants are bombed, where do they get the water from?  Fly it in from Russia?  Millions of bottles of water?  Daily? I don't think so.  Not a good plan.

RE

I don't agree,  It can be trucked in from someplace up north, and I think the Iranians agreed with me about two hours ago.


ALJAZEERA.COM2026-03-30

Iranian attack damages Kuwait power and desalination plant, kills worker

Kuwaiti authorities say Indian worker killed in attack that also caused ‘significant material damage’ to building.

K-Dog

#51

ACAPMAG.COM.AU2026-03-31

Australians may not see cheaper fuel for weeks despite Labor’s excise cuts

Australians expecting relief from punishing fuel prices in time for Easter travel are set to be disappointed, with the industry predicting the effects of Labor temporarily halving the excise will take days or weeks to reach some bowsers around the country.


"bowser" is Australian English for a fuel pump at a gas station (what Americans usually call a gas pump).


<--  You know, this place.  Back in the day being in the southern hemisphere might have bought some time.  As things are now, down under is among the first places to say :






RE


PAULKRUGMAN.SUBSTACK.COM2026-03-31

The Oil Crisis is About to Get Physical

The price elasticity of demand for crude oil is low meaning even large price increases only cause small declines in demand. What are the possibilities? Three scenarios for the disruption to oil supply are considered.  A “low disruption” scenario where supply is reduced by 8 percent , a medium scenario in which supply falls by 12 percent, and a high disruption scenario in which it falls by 16 percent.



RE

K-Dog

#53
I edit the descriptions if they are long.  A visual appeal thing.  More description can be added in the Diner to keep length shorter.  The idea is to follow the Trackack and read the article for discussion and info.  Which at least you and I are doing.

Good article, Krugman has had a large presence on YouTube in the last few weeks.  I think Krugman feels the same way I do about Trump, but as a public figure he has to keep his feeling more on the downlow.

He chose an interesting video to pair with his article.  Krugman wants to scream to the winds about how much Trump has fucked America.  Trump's next bad move will bake $200 oil in the cake.



ARTBERMAN.COM2026-03-27

A System Failure is Not an Oil Bull Market

This is not simply higher prices. It is disruption of oil, gas, fertilizers, and critical trade flows. It may produce a short-term bull market in energy, but that strength will persist only until the economic system begins to weaken.


Demand destruction and economic fragmentation are the most likely outcomes. That is the core flaw in the structural bull market thesis. In a world constrained by debt, weak growth, and systemic instability, it is unrealistic to assume that capital cycle dynamics from decades past will repeat.

So in summary, after we get high gas prices they will come back down, but nobody will have a job.

K-Dog

#54

NYTIMES.COM2026-03-29

New U.S. Missile Hit Iranian Sports Hall and School, Analysis Shows

The Pentagon used missiles untested in combat in a deadly attack that struck civilian sites near a military compound on Feb. 28, according to visual evidence examined by The Times and weapons experts.


And what a crock of lying bullshit this is :

QuoteSince the weapon is so new, it's more difficult to assess whether the PrSM strikes in Lamerd were intentional, stemmed from a design flaw or manufacturing defect, or were the result of improper target selection.






The Pentagon used missiles untested in combat in a deadly attack on civilian sites on Feb. 28, according to visual evidence.  A cluster bomb of tungsten pellets intended for a sports hall and school. 




  • EXCLUSIVE: Criminal Attacks on Civilians in Shiraz Region, Iran — School Sports Complex Targeted with Prism Missile, Street Sweeper Injured in Drone Strike
    Reporter: Demetri Lceris | Outlet: Reason to Resist
    Date of Recording: March 31, 2026 | Location: On a train between Isfahan and Tehran, Iran

    1. INTRODUCTION & CONTEXT OF ATTACKS
    Reporter Demetri Lceris introduces two cases of civilian victims of US-Israeli aggression in Iran, which he states are underreported in Western corporate media. The report covers a catastrophic attack on a sports complex and elementary school in Lamard, near Shiraz, and a separate drone attack on a street sweeper in Shiraz.

    Key Facts about the Lamard Attack:
    • Location: A sports complex and elementary school in the city of Lamard, close to Shiraz.
    • Weapon Used: The Precision Strike Missile (Prism), an untested-in-combat US military weapon designed to explode above the surface and disperse tungsten pellets at extremely high speeds to kill and maim as many people as possible within the blast radius.
    • Casualties: 21 people killed, many more injured.
    • Contested Claim: A claim was made that a military facility was adjacent to the school and sports complex. However, the reporter states he spent hours at the site days prior and concluded there was "absolutely no evidence" of such a facility. This attack was overshadowed by another on the same day with a higher victim count.
    2. INTERVIEW WITH SOLAR (12-YEAR-OLD BOY, ASPIRING FOOTBALLER)

    Background
    • Name: Solar (Mirsalar Khosravi)
    • Age: 12 years old
    • Ambition: To be a footballer. He is a local elite athlete and plays on a football team.
    • Injury: Injured by shrapnel in three places on his body. He was playing on the field at the time of the attack. His right leg suffered bone and vascular damage, requiring surgery.
    Account of the Attack
    • During the attack: He was on the field. The coach told them to run. Then a missile hit.
    • Future in Football: He has undergone three operations so far, with more planned for a full recovery. His medical team (including Azita Tabatabai, Head Nurse) stated that it will be decided after the operations if he can return to football.
    Personal Interests
    • Favorite Club: Real Madrid (his mother is a Barcelona fan, leading to playful arguments).
    • Favorite Iranian Player: Mehdi Taremi.
    • Favorite International Player: Lionel Messi.
    3. INTERVIEW WITH FAMILY OF SOLAR (PARENTS)

    Mother: Sedigheh Taghizadeh (Age 42)
    • Account of the Attack: She was at home when she heard the explosion. Her husband went to find Solar after they realized the strike was near the Sepah (military base) which is adjacent to the sports complex.
    Father: Samed Khosravi (Age 49)
    • Account of the Attack: He drove to the sports complex, parked his car amidst shooting and explosions, and reached the hospital.
    • Scene at the Hospital: He described a chaotic scene at Mahmoud Haj Heydar Hospital, with a large number of injured and dead, including children, adults, men, women, athletes in sportswear, and 14-year-old girls.
    • Casualties: Approximately 20-30 injured, and 21 people were martyred in total in the city from this attack. Among them were about 5 athletes, including girls.
    Family's Message on "Freedom"
    • When asked by foreign journalists (from Australia, USA, Canada) about the claim that the US came to free the Iranian people, the mother responded: "Freedom by an enemy, by a foreigner, is far-fetched."

    4. INTERVIEW WITH YOUSEF NASIRI (STREET SWEEPER, DRONE ATTACK VICTIM)

    Background
    • Name: Yousef Nasiri
    • Occupation: Street sweeper
    • Location of Attack: On Ghasr-e Dasht Street, a main and central street in Shiraz. The reporter emphasizes there are no military or even paramilitary sites in the vicinity.
    Account of the Attack and Injuries
    • Circumstances: He was injured in a separate drone attack.
    • Description of the Attack: The explosion had thousands of shrapnel pieces.
    • Injuries: He suffered severe shrapnel wounds to his hand.
    • Casualties: Three people were martyred at this site, and several others were injured.
    • Medical Situation: He is awaiting a second surgery. He explains that muscle has come out of his hand and it won't stay in place. Doctors plan to take a graft from his leg. His hand will need to be in a cast for six months. He cannot move his fingers, and further surgery and physiotherapy will be required later. A full recovery is uncertain.
    • Experience: He was on the other side of the street. At the moment the shrapnel hit his hand, he saw his hand spinning.
    5. REPORTER'S CONTEXTUAL NOTE ON THE LAMARD ATTACK

    • The attack on the sports complex and elementary school occurred at the very outset of the war.
    • The reporter states his objective is to give voice to the victims of US-Israeli aggression, who are rarely heard in Western corporate media.
    • The interviewer notes that at the time of meeting, 12-year-old Solar had not yet been told that his coach and a close friend, who also dreamed of being a footballer, were killed in the atrocity.

    KEY DATA SUMMARY

    • Date of Recording: March 31, 2026
    • Location: Shiraz region, Iran (Lamard city and Shiraz city)
    • Attack 1 (Lamard):
      • Target: Sports complex and elementary school
      • Weapon: Precision Strike Missile (Prism) with tungsten pellets
      • Total Killed: 21 civilians
      • Total Injured: Approximately 20-30 civilians
      • Notable Victims: Athletes (including girls), a coach, and a close friend of survivor Solar
    • Attack 2 (Shiraz - Ghasr-e Dasht Street):
      • Target: Civilian area
      • Weapon: Drone attack
      • Total Killed: 3 civilians
      • Total Injured: Several civilians, including Yousef Nasiri (street sweeper)
    • Survivor (Lamard): Mirsalar Khosravi (Solar), age 12, aspiring footballer; underwent three surgeries with more planned for right leg injuries.
    • Survivor (Shiraz): Yousef Nasiri, street sweeper; awaiting second surgery for severe hand injury with uncertain full recovery.

      End of Extraction


Where there is war there is no freedom.

K-Dog

#55
Americans are very good at repeating the terrorist pablum our white whale upper class controlled media loves to put out about Iran.  But what are people like there really?

"The most defining characteristic of Iranian social life is Taarof—a complex system of ritual politeness. It's an elegant, indirect way of communicating that prioritizes the other person's dignity over your own needs."

I noticed a characteristic and genuine politeness in the Iran documentaries I have been posting.  Iranians are 'chill'.  I found out 'chill' translates to 'ba-haal.'




K-Dog

#56




This is on my to-do list.  I'll comment later.

RE


BUSINESSINSIDER.COM2026-04-01

Investing legend Mohamed El-Erian says he's avoiding stocks as a demand shock looms for oil

Mohamed El-Erian says he would avoid buying stock indexes at the moment. The former Pimco CEO is eyeing a demand shock stemming from the recent spike in oil prices. Markets may be mispricing the economic consequences from the Iran war, he suggested.


This upcoming likelihood was mentioned by Paul Krugman, but I think ME-E is a little more clear and specific regarding the probability of Demand Destruction becoming the greater problem arising from the current restricted supply.  Your average J6P along with dimwit Pols like El Trumpo focuses more on the inflation they see right now, but once DD kicks in you get the spiral of bankruptcies, rising UE & bank failures as loans & mortgages get defaulted on.  This doesn't happen immediately, it takes a few months as businesses fall behind on their coupon payments until they are forced to default and make it public.  Paul addressses it from the academic side, but M E-E has to deal with this blowback in lotsa real money, so you should pay attention.  I'd give it to mid summer before it really begins to bite, a little sooner in Europe, a bit later here.  Hard to say how deep the spiral goes down yet, but every day that goes by makes it exponentially more difficult to recover from.

RE

RE


ZMESCIENCE.COM2026-04-01

Why The War in Iran Could Trigger the Worst Global Food Crisis Since the 1970s

The Middle East war is coming straight for your dinner plate and grocery bills are about to soar.


The rockets falling in the Middle East are sending shockwaves straight to your dinner plate. When the U.S.-led military intervention in Iran escalated, most expected an energy crisis. They watched the oil markets and the gasoline pumps. And indeed prices have soared, with the Brent barrel hovering at around $105 and U.S. gas prices topping $4 for the first time since 2022.

But the real casualty of this war may be far more insidious, and it starts in the soil.

Our modern food system is based on a foundation of natural gas, and now that foundation is cracking. It's becoming clearer as the war drags on that the world is bound to face a historic global fertiliser shortage. With the Strait of Hormuz restricted by the Iranian military, shipments of critical agricultural chemicals have effectively stopped.

The result is a cascading failure across the global supply chain. This bottleneck is pushing food prices toward record highs not seen since the 1970s energy crisis, threatening millions of people with severe food insecurity...

Follow the link for more.

How many people will Trumpolini starve?  He might out kill Hitler, Stalin, Mao & Pol Pot put together!

RE

K-Dog

#59
QuoteHow many people will Trumpolini starve?  He might out kill Hitler, Stalin, Mao & Pol Pot put together!

It comes down to if the narcissistic trapped animal will use a nuke.  But perhaps I should type 'when' instead of 'if' Trump uses a nuke.  At this point I'd bet on it.  After all, the motherfucker wants to go down in history as a big big man, and the heartless cretin will smoke people in a heartbeat.  He has shown that already.

Given the choice of knowing that a lot of Americans are about to die Trump will nuke.  He won't be doing it to save American lives, don't misunderstand.  Trump will do it to prevent the blowback from mass casualties and he thinks using a nuke will save his ass.

Exactly how far is it from Iran can't have nukes to I'm using my nuke.  Somebody get me a map.

We are now living in the time of a trapped animal, unfortunately this animal in not powerless in a bunker as his enemies close in.  He is a demented fool who will play god.



THEPOKE.COM2026-03-31

You’ve not seen a Downfall parody as funny as this one about Donald Trump’s war on Iran because it’s just brilliant

It will come as no surprise to learn it’s about Trump’s catastrophic war on Iran, obviously, but what might take you aback is just how good it is.

Everything you need to know.  Watch this Downfall clip, and you will be up to date on the war.  More will happen, but this brings you up to date.